Oued Akbou vs ES Sétif: match statistics
Oued Akbou vs ES Sétif: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Oued Akbou played ES Sétif in Ligue 1 (Algeria). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Oued Akbou: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. ES Sétif: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Oued Akbou scores 1.30 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. ES Sétif scores 0.96 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Oued Akbou 57%, ES Sétif 50%. Over 2.5: Oued Akbou 39%, ES Sétif 33%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
ES Sétif has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.23. Oued Akbou: 9.4 shots per match, ES Sétif: 9.5.
Match halves
Oued Akbou: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74. ES Sétif: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Oued Akbou: 76-90+ (9 goals). ES Sétif: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Oued Akbou holds a clear home advantage: they win 73% of matches at home, concede on average 0.73 goals and record 45% clean sheets, indicating a solid defensive profile. Offensively the hosts score 1.36 goals per home game and have an xG of 1.56 with 4.82 shots on target and an 11% conversion rate, whereas ES Sétif away manages only 0.33 goals on average, xG 1.14 and 2.83 shots on target. The visitors are markedly weaker on the road: just 8% away wins, fail to score in 67% of away matches, concede 1.42 goals on average away and have a -13 goal difference away from home. In their last 5 matches Oued Akbou scored 6 goals, won 3 and drew 2, averaging 2.2 points per game, while ES Sétif also scored 6 goals but only has 2 wins and 1 draw with a 1.4 points per game average. Considering superior possession (53% vs 47%), better quality of chances (4.82 shots on target and 11% conversion vs opponents’ 2.83 and 4%) and ES Sétif’s clear away issues, I tip a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
ES Sétif average only 0.33 goals away and were shut out in 67% of their away matches this season, a strong signal against BTTS. Oued Akbou at home scores 1.58 goals per game with xG 1.50, has a home BTTS rate of 75%, averages 4.67 shots on target and a conversion rate of 16%, so the hosts will create chances. In the last 5 matches both teams recorded BTTS at 40% and the visitors have recently improved xG to 1.62 and average 1.2 goals, which partially reduces the argument against BTTS. Still, due to the very low seasonal away goals average for the visitors (0.33), ES Sétif’s high percentage of scoreless away games (67%) and the visitors’ seasonal BTTS of 25%, it is more likely the match will end with No BTTS.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I model expected goals as the average of the home attack xG and the opponent’s defense xG: (1.50 + 1.67)/2 = 1.59 for Oued Akbou and (1.14 + 1.12)/2 = 1.13 for ES Sétif, yielding a total of 2.72 expected goals. This supports the over market, since the home side averages 1.58 goals scored per game versus 0.33 for the visitors, 4.67 shots on target vs 2.83 and a conversion rate of 16% vs 4%, meaning they create and convert more chances. Season occurrences above 1.5 goals are 83% for home matches and 58% for away matches; in the Poisson model the probability of exceeding 1.5 is about 76%, while over 2.5 is ~51%. Additionally Oued Akbou scores on average 1.08 goals in the second half (vs 0.17 for ES Sétif), which suggests the hosts frequently add goals after halftime and help push past the 1.5 threshold; therefore I recommend over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Oued Akbou has a clear offensive advantage: they average 1.58 goals per match versus ES Sétif’s 0.33, and the home win percentage is 42% compared to just 8% for the visitors. Both teams very often draw at half-time — 67% of home matches and 67% of away matches end level after 45 minutes — therefore a draw at the break is the most likely scenario. In the second half Oued Akbou is markedly more dangerous: they score an average of 1.08 goals after the break and have 83% of matches with at least one goal in the second half, while ES Sétif scores only 0.17 goals in the second half. Additionally, the hosts’ conversion rate of 16% versus 4% for the visitors and an xG of 1.5 versus 1.14 suggest Oued will more frequently convert their chances and stage a turnaround after the break, hence the selection: draw at half-time and home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Oued Akbou | ES Sétif | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Oued Akbou is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Oued Akbou · 1.4 pts / match - ES Sétif
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oued Akbou is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Oued Akbou · 0.96 goals / match - ES Sétif
Oued Akbou is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Oued Akbou · 1.21 goals / match - ES Sétif
Oued Akbou scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while ES Sétif keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
ES Sétif scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Oued Akbou keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oued Akbou
Over / Under - ES Sétif
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oued Akbou is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Oued Akbou · 1.04 pts / match - ES Sétif
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oued Akbou - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
ES Sétif - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Oued Akbou
ES Sétif
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Oued Akbou | Liga | ES Sétif | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.35 | 2.17 | • 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 39% | 36% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 31% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 62% | ▼ 46% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Oued Akbou 0 - 1 - 0 ES Sétif. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Oued Akbou vs ES Sétif?
The Ligue 1 match finished Oued Akbou 1:0 ES Sétif. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Oued Akbou vs ES Sétif?
Oued Akbou score 1.30 goals per game on average and ES Sétif 0.96. The Ligue 1 average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Oued Akbou's matches and 50% of ES Sétif's.
What form are Oued Akbou and ES Sétif in?
Over the last 5 games Oued Akbou have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and ES Sétif 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oued Akbou vs ES Sétif?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Oued Akbou vs ES Sétif: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.