Oulu vs HJK: match statistics
Oulu vs HJK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Oulu played HJK in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 12 October 2026. Venue: Raatin stadion. Final score: 3:4.
Current form
Oulu: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. HJK: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Oulu scores 1.04 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. HJK scores 1.73 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Oulu 38%, HJK 42%. Over 2.5: Oulu 35%, HJK 58%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
HJK has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.23. Oulu: 10.5 shots per match, HJK: 13.8.
Match halves
Oulu: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.65. HJK: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Oulu: 61-75 (8 goals). HJK: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-3. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
HJK sit 3rd and have picked up 8 points in their last 5 matches, while fifth-placed Oulu have collected 4 points and scored just 2 goals. The visitors also hold a clear attacking edge: away from home, they average 1.46 goals from an xG of 1.60, while Oulu score 1.00 goals per game at home from an xG of 1.17. HJK average 13.85 shots away from home, including 4.31 on target, compared with Oulu’s 9.85 shots and 3.54 on target at home. However, the hosts could make life difficult for their opponents, as they concede an average of just 0.92 goals on home soil, fewer than HJK’s 1.08 away from home. HJK’s advantage in chance creation and recent form points to an away win, although Oulu’s solid defence means a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have recorded BTTS in fewer than half of their matches this season: 42% for Oulu and 46% for HJK, compared with the league average of 49%. The strongest case for BTTS - No is Oulu’s recent scoring form: they have scored just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in only 20% of those games. HJK also has periods without a goal, having failed to score in 31% of its matches this season, although its average xG of 1.60 is slightly higher than Oulu’s 1.53. The teams’ averages of 4.67 and 4.31 shots on target per match increase the chance of goals at both ends, so this is not an outright pick. Nevertheless, Oulu’s poor recent finishing and the season-long BTTS rates point towards a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Oulu matches average 2.92 goals, while HJK matches average 2.54; however, both teams’ recent results point to a lower goal total. In their last five matches, Oulu scored 2 goals and conceded 4, while HJK scored 5 and also conceded 4. The 3.5-goal line was not exceeded in 67% of Oulu matches and as many as 85% of HJK matches, making this a stronger combined signal than the data for lower lines. Although their attacking xG averages are 1.53 and 1.60, respectively, Oulu’s recent scoring form limits the expected total to around 2.45 goals. Therefore, Under 3.5 offers the strongest edge among the available lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most compelling outcome based on current form: both teams were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, and neither held a Half-Time lead during that period. Oulu did not score before half-time in any of those five games, while HJK averaged just 0.2 goals, further weighing against an early breakthrough. After the break, the advantage shifts towards the visitors: over their last five matches, they averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded in the second half, compared with 0.4 scored and 0.4 conceded for Oulu. HJK also earned an average of 1.6 points per match during this period, against Oulu’s 0.8, making an HJK win after a level first half the strongest individual HT/FT scenario. Confidence in this pick is tempered by the hosts’ season-long results: Oulu have won 58% of their matches, compared with HJK’s 38%, so the other outcomes retain a significant share of the forecast.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Oulu | HJK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
HJK is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Oulu · 2.2 pts / match - HJK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HJK is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - Oulu · 1.73 goals / match - HJK
Oulu scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).
HJK scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Oulu keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oulu
Over / Under - HJK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
HJK is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Oulu · 1.58 pts / match - HJK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oulu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
HJK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Oulu
HJK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Oulu | Liga | HJK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.46 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 43% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 30% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 72% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 72% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Oulu 1 - 0 - 3 HJK. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Oulu vs HJK?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Oulu 3:4 HJK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Oulu and HJK?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Oulu won 1, HJK won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Oulu vs HJK?
Oulu score 1.04 goals per game on average and HJK 1.73. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Oulu's matches and 42% of HJK's.
What form are Oulu and HJK in?
Over the last 5 games Oulu have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and HJK 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oulu vs HJK?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.