Oxford United vs Blackburn Rovers: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Oxford United occupies 23rd place in the table with a record of 8-11-17, while Blackburn Rovers sits in 21st position with a 10-9-17 record. Both squads share an identical average total goals in their home/away matches (2.24) and a similar goal difference (-8 for the hosts at home, -6 for the visitors away). Blackburn has a better away win rate (35% vs Oxford's 24% at home), but the recent form of both teams is identical (1.4 PPG in their last 5 fixtures). Oxford has a slightly better expected goals metric at home (1.43 xG) than Blackburn on the road (1.26 xG), giving the hosts a marginal edge. Taking into account the even form, similar offensive and defensive statistics, and the fact that both teams are fighting against relegation, the most probable scenario is a draw or a narrow victory for either side.
Oxford United vs Blackburn Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Oxford United played Blackburn Rovers in Championship (England). The match was played on 11 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Oxford United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Blackburn Rovers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Oxford United scores 0.94 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Blackburn Rovers scores 0.94 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Oxford United 56%, Blackburn Rovers 50%. Over 2.5: Oxford United 53%, Blackburn Rovers 42%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Blackburn Rovers has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.25. Oxford United: 11.7 shots per match, Blackburn Rovers: 11.7.
Match halves
Oxford United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.31. Blackburn Rovers: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Oxford United: 0-15 (8 goals). Blackburn Rovers: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Oxford United occupies 23rd place in the table with a record of 8-11-17, while Blackburn Rovers sits in 21st position with a 10-9-17 record. Both squads share an identical average total goals in their home/away matches (2.24) and a similar goal difference (-8 for the hosts at home, -6 for the visitors away). Blackburn has a better away win rate (35% vs Oxford's 24% at home), but the recent form of both teams is identical (1.4 PPG in their last 5 fixtures). Oxford has a slightly better expected goals metric at home (1.43 xG) than Blackburn on the road (1.26 xG), giving the hosts a marginal edge. Taking into account the even form, similar offensive and defensive statistics, and the fact that both teams are fighting against relegation, the most probable scenario is a draw or a narrow victory for either side.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Oxford United | Blackburn Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oxford United scores in 58% of matches (21 of 36 matches), while Blackburn Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
Blackburn Rovers scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Oxford United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oxford United
Over / Under - Blackburn Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Blackburn Rovers is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Oxford United · 1.28 pts / match - Blackburn Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oxford United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 22%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Blackburn Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Oxford United
Blackburn Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Oxford United | Liga | Blackburn Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.28 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 51% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 25% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Oxford United 0 - 1 - 0 Blackburn Rovers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Oxford United vs Blackburn Rovers?
The Championship match finished Oxford United 1:0 Blackburn Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Oxford United vs Blackburn Rovers?
Oxford United score 0.94 goals per game on average and Blackburn Rovers 0.94. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Oxford United's matches and 50% of Blackburn Rovers's.
What form are Oxford United and Blackburn Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Oxford United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Blackburn Rovers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oxford United vs Blackburn Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.