Oxford United vs Swansea City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Oxford United played Swansea City in Championship (England). The match was played on 29 December 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Oxford United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Swansea City: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Oxford United scores 1.04 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Swansea City scores 1.04 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.63 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Oxford United 61%, Swansea City 57%. Over 2.5: Oxford United 52%, Swansea City 48%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Oxford United has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.29. Oxford United: 13.2 shots per match, Swansea City: 11.5.

Match halves

Oxford United: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.35. Swansea City: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Oxford United: 16-30 (7 goals). Swansea City: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
11Shots10
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
2Shots on target5
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
1.04xG1.36
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
1Corners5
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
26Dangerous attacks50
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
13Fouls11
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
2Cards4
Oxford UnitedSwansea City

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Oxford UnitedSwansea City
1.04Goals scored / match1.04
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
1.39Goals conceded / match1.35
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
43%Average possession55%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
3.83Shots on target / match3.61
Oxford UnitedSwansea City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.22Shots per match11.52
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
3.83Shots on target3.61
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
7.9%Shot conversion9.1%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
43%Possession55%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
1.4xG for1.29
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
1.6xG against1.41
Oxford UnitedSwansea City

Shooting quality

Oxford United: BalancedSwansea City: Balanced
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
Accuracy (shots on target)29%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Swansea City is 125% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Oxford United · 1.8 pts / match - Swansea City

Oxford United
LDLLW
Season result split
22% W30% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-11
0.96 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Swansea City
WWLWL
Season result split
30% W22% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-11
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-7
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Oxford United scoring profile: strong

Oxford United scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Swansea City keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).

Swansea City scoring profile: very strong

Swansea City scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Oxford United keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 matches).

24Goals scored (season)24
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
32Goals conceded (season)31
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
2.43Average goals in match2.39
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
4Goals scored (last 5)6
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
Oxford UnitedSwansea City

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal74%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
35%2 goals30%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
4%3 goals0%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
0%4 goals0%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal78%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
39%2 goals35%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
9%3 goals17%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
0%4 goals4%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time17%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
4%BTTS in both halves4%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
22%Scored in both halves13%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
60%BTTS - last 540%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
22%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Oxford United is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.22 pts / match - Oxford United · 0.74 pts / match - Swansea City

Oxford United - half-time state
30% leading30% draw39% trailing
Swansea City - half-time state
9% leading48% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.22Points per match (1st half)0.74
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.35
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
0.78Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
1.48Average goals (1st half)1
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
43%Clean sheet before half-time39%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
48%No goal before half-time74%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City

After half-time (2nd half)

0.87Points per match (2nd half)1.35
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
0.35Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.7
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
0.96Average goals (2nd half)1.39
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
43%Clean sheet after half-time52%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City
65%No goal after half-time39%
Oxford UnitedSwansea City

Oxford United - second-half results

13% W48% D39% L
28
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding73%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Swansea City - second-half results

30% W43% D26% L
17
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.74
PPG before half-time
Lead holding333%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Oxford United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Swansea City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Oxford United
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
7
4
16-30
5
8
31-45
2
8
46-60
1
3
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Swansea City
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
0
2
16-30
4
9
31-45
3
8
46-60
6
0
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.41
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Oxford United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Swansea City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Oxford UnitedLigaSwansea City
Average goals in match 2.432.63 2.39
Both teams scored 61%59% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 52%51% 48%
Clean sheets 9%23% 22%
Goal before half-time 83%74% 70%
Goal after half-time 70%78% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Swansea CityGoalŽan VipotnikAssist: Josh Tymon
  2. Oxford UnitedYellow cardTyler Goodhram
  3. Swansea CityYellow cardMelker Widell
  4. Swansea CityYellow cardZeidane Inoussa
  5. Oxford UnitedSubstitutionOn: Filip Yavorov KrastevOff: Luke Harris
  6. Oxford UnitedYellow cardJack Currie
  7. Swansea CityYellow cardMarko Stamenic
  8. Swansea CityYellow cardJi-Sung Eom
  9. Swansea CitySubstitutionOn: Malick Junior YalcouyéOff: Ji-Sung Eom
  10. Oxford UnitedSubstitutionOn: Ole ter Haar RomenyOff: Stanley Mills

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Adam HerczegMatches officiated: 22
3.86Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 241%Home wins18%Draws41%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Oxford United 0 - 0 - 1 Swansea City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Oxford United vs Swansea City?

The Championship match finished Oxford United 0:1 Swansea City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Oxford United vs Swansea City?

Oxford United score 1.04 goals per game on average and Swansea City 1.04. The Championship average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Oxford United's matches and 57% of Swansea City's.

What form are Oxford United and Swansea City in?

Over the last 5 games Oxford United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Swansea City 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oxford United vs Swansea City?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.