Pachuca vs Atlas: match statistics
Pachuca displays significantly better home form with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3) at their stadium. The hosts average 1.17 goals per home match while conceding only 0.92, confirming defensive solidity (33% clean sheets). Atlas performs very poorly in away fixtures – only 18% wins, a staggering 64% losses, and a disastrous goal difference (-12). The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per away game while scoring only 0.91, highlighting their offensive and defensive struggles. Pachuca's advantage in possession (52% vs 44%), shooting efficiency, and xG metrics (1.54 vs 0.91) further bolster the case for a home win. Considering both teams' recent form and Pachuca's clear home dominance, a home victory is the most probable outcome of this encounter.
Pachuca vs Atlas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pachuca played Atlas in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Pachuca: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Atlas: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pachuca scores 1.21 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Atlas scores 1.32 and concedes 1.77. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pachuca 42%, Atlas 50%. Over 2.5: Pachuca 46%, Atlas 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Pachuca has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.08. Pachuca: 14.0 shots per match, Atlas: 10.1.
Match halves
Pachuca: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.50. Atlas: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Pachuca: 31-45+ (11 goals). Atlas: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pachuca displays significantly better home form with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3) at their stadium. The hosts average 1.17 goals per home match while conceding only 0.92, confirming defensive solidity (33% clean sheets). Atlas performs very poorly in away fixtures – only 18% wins, a staggering 64% losses, and a disastrous goal difference (-12). The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per away game while scoring only 0.91, highlighting their offensive and defensive struggles. Pachuca's advantage in possession (52% vs 44%), shooting efficiency, and xG metrics (1.54 vs 0.91) further bolster the case for a home win. Considering both teams' recent form and Pachuca's clear home dominance, a home victory is the most probable outcome of this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pachuca | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlas is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Pachuca · 2 pts / match - Atlas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlas is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Pachuca · 1.32 goals / match - Atlas
Pachuca is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Pachuca · 1.77 goals / match - Atlas
Pachuca scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
Atlas scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Pachuca keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pachuca
Over / Under - Atlas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlas is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Pachuca · 1.55 pts / match - Atlas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pachuca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pachuca
Atlas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Pachuca | Liga | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 25% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 76% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pachuca 1 - 0 - 0 Atlas. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pachuca vs Atlas?
The Liga MX match finished Pachuca 3:1 Atlas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pachuca vs Atlas?
Pachuca score 1.21 goals per game on average and Atlas 1.32. The Liga MX average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Pachuca's matches and 50% of Atlas's.
What form are Pachuca and Atlas in?
Over the last 5 games Pachuca have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlas 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pachuca vs Atlas?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pachuca vs Atlas: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.