Pachuca vs Necaxa: match statistics
Pachuca displays decidedly better home form with 54% wins and only 8% draws at their own stadium, making them the clear favorite for this meeting. The hosts hold a positive goal difference of +5 in home matches, while Necaxa records a dramatic balance of -12 on the road, conceding an average of 2.38 goals per match. Particularly worrying for the visitors is the fact that they have not kept a single clean sheet in away matches this season (0% CS%). The form of the last five matches also favors the hosts – Pachuca earned 2.0 points per match, whereas Necaxa took only 1.2. xG statistics confirm the hosts' advantage (1.48 vs 1.47 for the visitors), and their higher defensive effectiveness in home matches (0.92 goals conceded) combined with Necaxa's vulnerability on the road gives Pachuca solid grounds to achieve victory.
Pachuca vs Necaxa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pachuca played Necaxa in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 4 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Pachuca: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Necaxa: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pachuca scores 1.26 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Necaxa scores 1.36 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pachuca 44%, Necaxa 64%. Over 2.5: Pachuca 48%, Necaxa 56%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Necaxa has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.47. Pachuca: 14.0 shots per match, Necaxa: 15.0.
Match halves
Pachuca: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.56. Necaxa: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Pachuca: 31-45+ (12 goals). Necaxa: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pachuca displays decidedly better home form with 54% wins and only 8% draws at their own stadium, making them the clear favorite for this meeting. The hosts hold a positive goal difference of +5 in home matches, while Necaxa records a dramatic balance of -12 on the road, conceding an average of 2.38 goals per match. Particularly worrying for the visitors is the fact that they have not kept a single clean sheet in away matches this season (0% CS%). The form of the last five matches also favors the hosts – Pachuca earned 2.0 points per match, whereas Necaxa took only 1.2. xG statistics confirm the hosts' advantage (1.48 vs 1.47 for the visitors), and their higher defensive effectiveness in home matches (0.92 goals conceded) combined with Necaxa's vulnerability on the road gives Pachuca solid grounds to achieve victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pachuca | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pachuca is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Pachuca · 1.2 pts / match - Necaxa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Necaxa is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Pachuca · 1.36 goals / match - Necaxa
Pachuca is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Pachuca · 1.8 goals / match - Necaxa
Pachuca scores in 63% of matches (17 of 27 matches), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 25 matches).
Necaxa scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Pachuca keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pachuca
Over / Under - Necaxa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pachuca is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Pachuca · 0.96 pts / match - Necaxa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pachuca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Necaxa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pachuca
Necaxa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Pachuca | Liga | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.37 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 24% | ▼ 4% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 76% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pachuca 1 - 0 - 0 Necaxa. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pachuca vs Necaxa?
The Liga MX match finished Pachuca 2:1 Necaxa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pachuca vs Necaxa?
Pachuca score 1.26 goals per game on average and Necaxa 1.36. The Liga MX average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Pachuca's matches and 64% of Necaxa's.
What form are Pachuca and Necaxa in?
Over the last 5 games Pachuca have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Necaxa 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pachuca vs Necaxa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.