Pachuca vs Santos Laguna: match statistics
Pachuca vs Santos Laguna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pachuca played Santos Laguna in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Pachuca: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Santos Laguna: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pachuca scores 1.31 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Santos Laguna scores 1.23 and concedes 1.97. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pachuca 53%, Santos Laguna 63%. Over 2.5: Pachuca 50%, Santos Laguna 73%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Pachuca has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.23. Pachuca: 14.2 shots per match, Santos Laguna: 10.9.
Match halves
Pachuca: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.63. Santos Laguna: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Pachuca: 31-45+ (13 goals). Santos Laguna: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pachuca is the clear favorite: at home they win 56% of matches, score an average of 1.38 goals and concede 0.94 per game, while Santos win only 7% of away fixtures, score 1.00 on average and concede 2.53. In the last 5 matches Pachuca have a 3-2-0 record with 8 goals scored and 2.2 points per game, whereas Santos over their last 5 are 2-1-2 with 6 goals and 1.4 PPG. xG metrics show the hosts create better chances: average xG for Pachuca at home is 1.53 versus 1.12 xG for Santos away, and xG against is 1.11 for Pachuca and 1.97 for Santos, indicating clear defensive issues for the visitors. Pachuca also average more shots (14.69 vs 9.67) and more on target (4.75 vs 3.67) with comparable finishing rates (9% vs 10%), and the hosts have 25% of matches with a clean sheet compared to 0% clean sheets for the visitors on the road. Considering the defensive edge, higher quality of created chances and better form (PPG 2.2 vs 1.4), I predict a Pachuca victory; probabilities estimated at 72% for the hosts, 16% for a draw and 12% for Santos.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams give a strong signal for BTTS: Pachuca has a seasonal BTTS rate of 60% and Santos Laguna 67%, with the last 5 matches showing 100% for Pachuca and 80% for Santos. Santos concedes on average 2.53 goals per match this season and has xG against of 1.97 away, while Pachuca generates 1.34 xG at home and scores 1.47 goals per match on the season, suggesting the hosts have the capacity to score. Santos scores 1.0 goals per match seasonally and has 0% clean sheets, yet in the last 5 away games it has scored 6 goals (1.2 average), indicating a real ability to find the net. Additionally, the league averages 2.9 goals per match, with over 2.5 rates of 60% for Pachuca and 87% for Santos, and the over 2.5 + BTTS combination at 53% and 67% respectively, which reinforces the both-teams-to-score scenario. Based on this, I recommend BTTS - Yes as the strongest pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals are around 3.12 based on xG: Pachuca xG_for 1.34 vs xG_against Santos 1.97 yields ~1.66 for the home side, and Santos xG_for 1.12 vs xG_against Pachuca 1.80 yields ~1.46 for the visitors. Both teams have high season over 1.5 rates: 73% (Pachuca at home) and 87% (Santos), which combined with the projected 3.12 goals strongly favors Over 1.5. Additionally, Santos have conceded 59 goals this season (2.53 per match on average), while Pachuca score 1.47 at home and record 4.73 shots on target, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals. Season Over 2.5 values are also high (60% for Pachuca and 87% for Santos), so Over 2.5 carries a significant probability (~72%), whereas Over 3.5 is less certain (33%/53% -> approx. 44%). For these reasons I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal, with Over 2.5 as a secondary, riskier option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Pachuca led at the break in 6 of 15 matches (40%), while Santos led at the break in only 2 of 15 (13%), indicating a home advantage in the first 45 minutes. At home Pachuca wins 47% of matches, scoring an average of 1.47 goals and conceding 1.4, whereas Santos away has only a 7% win rate, averages 1.0 goals scored and 2.53 conceded, so the visitors’ defense looks weaker. Pachuca also posts higher xG (1.34 vs 1.12) and generates more shots (12.2 vs 9.67) and shots on target (4.73 vs 3.67), increasing the likelihood of maintaining a lead. The hosts have kept a clean sheet at the break in 67% of home matches, while Santos concedes an average of 1.47 goals before half-time, which further supports a Pachuca lead after 45 minutes. Therefore the most reliable and strongest signal from the data is the 1/1 scenario: Pachuca leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pachuca | Santos Laguna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pachuca is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Pachuca · 1.4 pts / match - Santos Laguna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pachuca is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Pachuca · 1.23 goals / match - Santos Laguna
Pachuca is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Pachuca · 1.97 goals / match - Santos Laguna
Pachuca scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Santos Laguna keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
Santos Laguna scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Pachuca keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pachuca
Over / Under - Santos Laguna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pachuca is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Pachuca · 1.1 pts / match - Santos Laguna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pachuca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Santos Laguna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pachuca
Santos Laguna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Pachuca | Liga | Santos Laguna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.90 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | • 72% | 72% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 66% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pachuca 0 - 0 - 1 Santos Laguna. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
The Liga MX match finished Pachuca 4:2 Santos Laguna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
Pachuca score 1.31 goals per game on average and Santos Laguna 1.23. The Liga MX average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Pachuca's matches and 63% of Santos Laguna's.
What form are Pachuca and Santos Laguna in?
Over the last 5 games Pachuca have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Santos Laguna 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
The statistical background for Pachuca vs Santos Laguna — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.