Portugal - Liga 3Estádio Capital do MóvelData current as of 20 October 2026

Paços de Ferreira vs Leça: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Paços de Ferreira vs Leça: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Paços de Ferreira play Leça in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match date is 23 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Capital do Móvel.

Current form

Paços de Ferreira: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Leça: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Paços de Ferreira scores 1.00 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Leça scores 1.50 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.48 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paços de Ferreira 67%, Leça 50%. Over 2.5: Paços de Ferreira 50%, Leça 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Leça has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.31. Paços de Ferreira: 10.5 shots per match, Leça: 11.5.

Match halves

Paços de Ferreira: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. Leça: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Paços de Ferreira: 46-60 (2 goals). Leça: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga 3: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Paços de FerreiraLeça
1Goals scored / match1.5
Paços de FerreiraLeça
1.67Goals conceded / match1.33
Paços de FerreiraLeça
46%Average possession52%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
3.83Shots on target / match5.67
Paços de FerreiraLeça

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.5Shots per match11.5
Paços de FerreiraLeça
3.83Shots on target5.67
Paços de FerreiraLeça
9.5%Shot conversion13%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
46%Possession52%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
1.31xG for1.46
Paços de FerreiraLeça
1.53xG against1.4
Paços de FerreiraLeça

Shooting quality

Paços de Ferreira: BalancedLeça: Efficient finishing
Paços de FerreiraLeça
Accuracy (shots on target)36%49%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Leça is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira · 1.8 pts / match - Leça

Paços de Ferreira
LLDDW
Season result split
17% W33% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-3
0.83 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 at home
0-1-2
LLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Leça
LWLWW
Season result split
50% W17% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 away
2-0-1
LWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Leça is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira · 1.5 goals / match - Leça

Leça is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira · 1.33 goals / match - Leça

Paços de Ferreira scoring profile: very strong

Paços de Ferreira scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Leça keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Leça scoring profile: very strong

Leça scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Paços de Ferreira keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

6Goals scored (season)9
Paços de FerreiraLeça
10Goals conceded (season)8
Paços de FerreiraLeça
2.67Average goals in match2.83
Paços de FerreiraLeça
5Goals scored (last 5)8
Paços de FerreiraLeça
8Goals conceded (last 5)7
Paços de FerreiraLeça

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal67%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
17%2 goals50%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
0%3 goals17%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
0%4 goals17%
Paços de FerreiraLeça

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal83%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
50%2 goals33%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
17%3 goals17%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
17%4 goals0%
Paços de FerreiraLeça

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

67%
Paços de Ferreira - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.4 of 6 matches
48%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time33%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
0%Scored in both halves33%
Paços de FerreiraLeça

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
60%BTTS - last 540%
Paços de FerreiraLeça

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
Paços de FerreiraLeça

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Paços de FerreiraLeça

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Leça is 149% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira · 1.67 pts / match - Leça

Paços de Ferreira - half-time state
17% leading17% draw67% trailing
Leça - half-time state
50% leading17% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)1.67
Paços de FerreiraLeça
0.33Goals scored (1st half)1
Paços de FerreiraLeça
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Paços de FerreiraLeça
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.67
Paços de FerreiraLeça
33%Clean sheet before half-time33%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
67%No goal before half-time50%
Paços de FerreiraLeça

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.67
Paços de FerreiraLeça
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Paços de FerreiraLeça
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Paços de FerreiraLeça
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.17
Paços de FerreiraLeça
33%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Paços de FerreiraLeça
50%No goal after half-time50%
Paços de FerreiraLeça

Paços de Ferreira - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Leça - second-half results

50% W17% D33% L
10
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paços de Ferreira - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Leça - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paços de Ferreira
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Leça
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paços de Ferreira

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
152%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Leça

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).

Teams vs league

Paços de FerreiraLigaLeça
Average goals in match▲ 2.672.48▲ 2.83
Both teams scored▲ 67%48%▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%48%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 17%32%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%68%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▲ 83%70%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Paços de Ferreira and Leça play?

Paços de Ferreira face Leça on 23 October 2026 in Liga 3 at Estádio Capital do Móvel. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Paços de Ferreira vs Leça?

Paços de Ferreira score 1.00 goals per game on average and Leça 1.50. The Liga 3 average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Paços de Ferreira's matches and 50% of Leça's.

What form are Paços de Ferreira and Leça in?

Over the last 5 games Paços de Ferreira have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Leça 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paços de Ferreira vs Leça?

The statistical background for Paços de Ferreira vs Leça — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.