Paderborn vs Dynamo Dresden: match statistics
Paderborn displays significantly better form at home with a 62% win rate and impressive recent home performances. The hosts have a positive goal difference (+7) in home matches, while Dynamo Dresden away concedes an average of 1.85 goals and has a negative goal difference (-5). xG statistics show Paderborn's advantage (1.98 vs 1.43), confirming their higher offensive efficiency. Dynamo Dresden wins only 23% of away matches and struggles with clean sheets (8%), making them vulnerable to defeat. Considering all factors, Paderborn is a clear favorite for this match, although Dresden's solid form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG) could make it a close encounter.
Paderborn vs Dynamo Dresden: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paderborn played Dynamo Dresden in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Paderborn: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Dynamo Dresden: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paderborn scores 1.65 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Dynamo Dresden scores 1.69 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paderborn 65%, Dynamo Dresden 77%. Over 2.5: Paderborn 62%, Dynamo Dresden 77%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Paderborn has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.43. Paderborn: 15.6 shots per match, Dynamo Dresden: 13.0.
Match halves
Paderborn: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.04. Dynamo Dresden: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Paderborn: 76-90+ (10 goals). Dynamo Dresden: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paderborn displays significantly better form at home with a 62% win rate and impressive recent home performances. The hosts have a positive goal difference (+7) in home matches, while Dynamo Dresden away concedes an average of 1.85 goals and has a negative goal difference (-5). xG statistics show Paderborn's advantage (1.98 vs 1.43), confirming their higher offensive efficiency. Dynamo Dresden wins only 23% of away matches and struggles with clean sheets (8%), making them vulnerable to defeat. Considering all factors, Paderborn is a clear favorite for this match, although Dresden's solid form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG) could make it a close encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paderborn | Dynamo Dresden | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paderborn is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Paderborn · 1.6 pts / match - Dynamo Dresden
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paderborn is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Paderborn · 1.69 goals / match - Dynamo Dresden
Paderborn scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Dynamo Dresden keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).
Dynamo Dresden scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paderborn
Over / Under - Dynamo Dresden
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dynamo Dresden is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Paderborn · 1.65 pts / match - Dynamo Dresden
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dynamo Dresden - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +8 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paderborn
Dynamo Dresden
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Paderborn | Liga | Dynamo Dresden | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.81 | 2.90 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 58% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 23% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 69% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 85% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paderborn 1 - 0 - 0 Dynamo Dresden. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paderborn vs Dynamo Dresden?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Paderborn 2:1 Dynamo Dresden. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paderborn vs Dynamo Dresden?
Paderborn score 1.65 goals per game on average and Dynamo Dresden 1.69. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Paderborn's matches and 77% of Dynamo Dresden's.
What form are Paderborn and Dynamo Dresden in?
Over the last 5 games Paderborn have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Dynamo Dresden 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paderborn vs Dynamo Dresden?
The statistical background for Paderborn vs Dynamo Dresden — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.