Paderborn vs Elversberg: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Paderborn played Elversberg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 6 December 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Paderborn: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Elversberg: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Paderborn scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Elversberg scores 1.93 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paderborn 57%, Elversberg 36%. Over 2.5: Paderborn 50%, Elversberg 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Elversberg has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.67. Paderborn: 15.4 shots per match, Elversberg: 15.5.

Match halves

Paderborn: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.86. Elversberg: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.21.

Goals by minute

Paderborn: 46-60 (5 goals). Elversberg: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

2. Bundesliga: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
PaderbornElversberg
9Shots16
PaderbornElversberg
3Shots on target5
PaderbornElversberg
1.1xG1.67
PaderbornElversberg
3Corners10
PaderbornElversberg
43Dangerous attacks43
PaderbornElversberg
19Fouls5
PaderbornElversberg
6Cards1
PaderbornElversberg

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PaderbornElversberg
1.5Goals scored / match1.93
PaderbornElversberg
1Goals conceded / match0.93
PaderbornElversberg
53%Average possession54%
PaderbornElversberg
5.21Shots on target / match5.07
PaderbornElversberg

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.36Shots per match15.5
PaderbornElversberg
5.21Shots on target5.07
PaderbornElversberg
9.8%Shot conversion12.4%
PaderbornElversberg
53%Possession54%
PaderbornElversberg
1.67xG for1.69
PaderbornElversberg
1.39xG against1.21
PaderbornElversberg

Shooting quality

Paderborn: AttackingElversberg: Attacking
PaderbornElversberg
Accuracy (shots on target)34%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paderborn is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Paderborn · 1 pts / match - Elversberg

Paderborn
WWWLL
Season result split
64% W14% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-2-3
2.07 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Elversberg
LDLWD
Season result split
57% W21% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-3-3
1.93 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-3
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Elversberg is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Paderborn · 1.93 goals / match - Elversberg

Elversberg is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Paderborn · 0.93 goals / match - Elversberg

Paderborn scoring profile: strong

Paderborn scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Elversberg keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).

Elversberg scoring profile: strong

Elversberg scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).

21Goals scored (season)27
PaderbornElversberg
14Goals conceded (season)13
PaderbornElversberg
2.5Average goals in match2.86
PaderbornElversberg
6Goals scored (last 5)5
PaderbornElversberg
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
PaderbornElversberg

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal71%
PaderbornElversberg
50%2 goals57%
PaderbornElversberg
7%3 goals29%
PaderbornElversberg
7%4 goals21%
PaderbornElversberg

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal57%
PaderbornElversberg
29%2 goals36%
PaderbornElversberg
7%3 goals0%
PaderbornElversberg
0%4 goals0%
PaderbornElversberg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time21%
PaderbornElversberg
7%BTTS in both halves7%
PaderbornElversberg
43%Scored in both halves57%
PaderbornElversberg

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
PaderbornElversberg
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
PaderbornElversberg
60%BTTS - last 540%
PaderbornElversberg

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
PaderbornElversberg
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
PaderbornElversberg
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
PaderbornElversberg

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
PaderbornElversberg
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
PaderbornElversberg
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
PaderbornElversberg

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paderborn - half-time state
43% leading36% draw21% trailing
Elversberg - half-time state
43% leading36% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.64Points per match (1st half)1.64
PaderbornElversberg
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.71
PaderbornElversberg
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
PaderbornElversberg
1.21Average goals (1st half)1.21
PaderbornElversberg
64%Clean sheet before half-time64%
PaderbornElversberg
36%No goal before half-time43%
PaderbornElversberg

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per match (2nd half)1.93
PaderbornElversberg
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)1.21
PaderbornElversberg
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
PaderbornElversberg
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.64
PaderbornElversberg
57%Clean sheet after half-time71%
PaderbornElversberg
36%No goal after half-time29%
PaderbornElversberg

Paderborn - second-half results

43% W43% D14% L
23
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding149%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Elversberg - second-half results

50% W43% D7% L
23
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paderborn - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.60.8
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Elversberg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paderborn
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
3
4
16-30
4
4
31-45
5
0
46-60
3
2
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Elversberg
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
4
3
16-30
3
2
31-45
3
0
46-60
2
2
61-75
12
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.68
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paderborn

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Elversberg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
147%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.93
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

PaderbornLigaElversberg
Average goals in match 2.502.80 2.86
Both teams scored 57%52% 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%57% 50%
Clean sheets 36%27% 43%
Goal before half-time 79%69% 71%
Goal after half-time 79%83% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.80
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.31
Away goals / match
+13%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ElversbergGoalYounes EbnoutalibAssist: Tom Zimmerschied
  2. ElversbergSubstitutionOn: Felix KeidelOff: Lasse Günther
  3. PaderbornYellow cardNick Bätzner
  4. PaderbornGoalSven MichelAssist: Ruben Müller
  5. PaderbornRed cardCalvin Marc Brackelmann
  6. PaderbornSubstitutionOn: Jonah Benedict StickerOff: Nick Bätzner
  7. PaderbornYellow cardRaphael Obermair
  8. ElversbergSubstitutionOn: Amara CondéOff: Julius Frederik Schmahl
  9. PaderbornYellow cardRuben Müller
  10. ElversbergYellow cardOtto Emerson Stange
  11. PaderbornYellow cardSven Michel

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Paderborn vs Elversberg?

The 2. Bundesliga match finished Paderborn 1:2 Elversberg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Paderborn vs Elversberg?

Paderborn score 1.50 goals per game on average and Elversberg 1.93. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Paderborn's matches and 36% of Elversberg's.

What form are Paderborn and Elversberg in?

Over the last 5 games Paderborn have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Elversberg 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paderborn vs Elversberg?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.