Paderborn vs Elversberg: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Paderborn play Elversberg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 6 December 2025 at 13:00. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Paderborn: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Elversberg: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Paderborn scores 1.74 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Elversberg scores 1.88 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.93 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paderborn 68%, Elversberg 56%. Over 2.5: Paderborn 62%, Elversberg 59%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Paderborn has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.68. Paderborn: 15.3 shots per match, Elversberg: 15.0.

Match halves

Paderborn: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.03. Elversberg: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.06.

Goals by minute

Paderborn: 76-90+ (15 goals). Elversberg: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

2. Bundesliga: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
PaderbornElversberg
9Shots16
PaderbornElversberg
3Shots on target5
PaderbornElversberg
1.1xG1.67
PaderbornElversberg
3Corners10
PaderbornElversberg
43Dangerous attacks43
PaderbornElversberg
19Fouls5
PaderbornElversberg
6Cards1
PaderbornElversberg

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PaderbornElversberg
1.74Goals scored / match1.88
PaderbornElversberg
1.32Goals conceded / match1.15
PaderbornElversberg
53%Average possession53%
PaderbornElversberg
5.38Shots on target / match5.15
PaderbornElversberg

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.29Shots per match15
PaderbornElversberg
5.38Shots on target5.15
PaderbornElversberg
11.3%Shot conversion12.5%
PaderbornElversberg
53%Possession53%
PaderbornElversberg
1.69xG for1.68
PaderbornElversberg
1.37xG against1.24
PaderbornElversberg

Shooting quality

Paderborn: AttackingElversberg: Attacking
PaderbornElversberg
Accuracy (shots on target)35%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Elversberg is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Paderborn · 2 pts / match - Elversberg

Paderborn
DLLDW
Season result split
53% W24% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-8-8
1.82 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-3-4
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Elversberg
WDWLW
Season result split
53% W24% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-8-8
1.82 pts / match · goal difference +25
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-4-6
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Elversberg is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.74 goals / match - Paderborn · 1.88 goals / match - Elversberg

Elversberg is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.32 goals / match - Paderborn · 1.15 goals / match - Elversberg

Paderborn scoring profile: very strong

Paderborn scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Elversberg keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).

Elversberg scoring profile: very strong

Elversberg scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).

59Goals scored (season)64
PaderbornElversberg
45Goals conceded (season)39
PaderbornElversberg
3.06Average goals in match3.03
PaderbornElversberg
8Goals scored (last 5)15
PaderbornElversberg
11Goals conceded (last 5)7
PaderbornElversberg

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal82%
PaderbornElversberg
59%2 goals53%
PaderbornElversberg
12%3 goals32%
PaderbornElversberg
12%4 goals12%
PaderbornElversberg

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal71%
PaderbornElversberg
41%2 goals32%
PaderbornElversberg
12%3 goals12%
PaderbornElversberg
3%4 goals0%
PaderbornElversberg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time21%
PaderbornElversberg
9%BTTS in both halves3%
PaderbornElversberg
32%Scored in both halves47%
PaderbornElversberg

BTTS and goal count

59%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
PaderbornElversberg
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
PaderbornElversberg
80%BTTS - last 560%
PaderbornElversberg

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
PaderbornElversberg
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
PaderbornElversberg
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
PaderbornElversberg

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
PaderbornElversberg
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
PaderbornElversberg
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
PaderbornElversberg

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Elversberg is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.53 pts / match - Paderborn · 1.62 pts / match - Elversberg

Paderborn - half-time state
41% leading29% draw29% trailing
Elversberg - half-time state
44% leading29% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.53Points per match (1st half)1.62
PaderbornElversberg
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.82
PaderbornElversberg
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
PaderbornElversberg
1.41Average goals (1st half)1.38
PaderbornElversberg
56%Clean sheet before half-time56%
PaderbornElversberg
47%No goal before half-time44%
PaderbornElversberg

After half-time (2nd half)

1.59Points per match (2nd half)1.79
PaderbornElversberg
1.03Goals scored (2nd half)1.06
PaderbornElversberg
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
PaderbornElversberg
1.65Average goals (2nd half)1.65
PaderbornElversberg
44%Clean sheet after half-time56%
PaderbornElversberg
32%No goal after half-time26%
PaderbornElversberg

Paderborn - second-half results

41% W35% R24% P
52
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Elversberg - second-half results

50% W29% R21% P
55
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
61
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paderborn - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.80
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match2.21.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Elversberg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.401.60
Goals scored / match2.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match2.81.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+6+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 10

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paderborn
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
10
9
16-30
8
12
31-45
10
2
46-60
10
7
61-75
15
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Elversberg
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
9
7
16-30
11
7
31-45
8
6
46-60
8
5
61-75
20
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.04
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+97%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paderborn

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.82
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Elversberg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
145%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

PaderbornLigaElversberg
Average goals in match 3.062.93 3.03
Both teams scored 68%59% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 62%58% 59%
Clean sheets 26%23% 29%
Goal before half-time 79%71% 79%
Goal after half-time 88%84% 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.93
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Paderborn 0 - 0 - 1 Elversberg. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Paderborn vs Elversberg?

The 2. Bundesliga match finished Paderborn 1:2 Elversberg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Paderborn vs Elversberg?

Paderborn score 1.74 goals per game on average and Elversberg 1.88. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Paderborn's matches and 56% of Elversberg's.

What form are Paderborn and Elversberg in?

Over the last 5 games Paderborn have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Elversberg 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paderborn vs Elversberg?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.