Paderborn vs Hamburger SV: match statistics
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Paderborn vs Hamburger SV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paderborn play Hamburger SV in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Home Deluxe Arena.
Current form
Paderborn: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Hamburger SV: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paderborn scores 0.83 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Hamburger SV scores 1.00 and concedes 2.50. League average: 3.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paderborn 33%, Hamburger SV 33%. Over 2.5: Paderborn 50%, Hamburger SV 67%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 74%.
xG, shots and style
Paderborn has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.20. Paderborn: 13.7 shots per match, Hamburger SV: 11.2.
Match halves
Paderborn: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.17. Hamburger SV: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Paderborn: 16-30 (3 goals). Hamburger SV: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.69 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 74%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paderborn | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 22% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hamburger SV is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Paderborn · 1.8 pts / match - Hamburger SV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hamburger SV is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Paderborn · 1 goals / match - Hamburger SV
Paderborn is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Paderborn · 2.5 goals / match - Hamburger SV
Paderborn scores in 33% of matches (2 of 6 matches), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Hamburger SV scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paderborn
Over / Under - Hamburger SV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paderborn is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Paderborn · 0.83 pts / match - Hamburger SV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hamburger SV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paderborn
Hamburger SV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Paderborn | Liga | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 3.69 | ▼ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 59% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | • 83% | 83% | • 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 87% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Paderborn and Hamburger SV play?
Paderborn face Hamburger SV on 24 October 2026 in Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paderborn vs Hamburger SV?
Paderborn score 0.83 goals per game on average and Hamburger SV 1.00. The Bundesliga average is 3.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Paderborn's matches and 33% of Hamburger SV's.
What form are Paderborn and Hamburger SV in?
Over the last 5 games Paderborn have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Hamburger SV 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paderborn vs Hamburger SV?
The statistical background for Paderborn vs Hamburger SV — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.