Paderborn vs Nürnberg: match statistics
Paderborn displays solid home form with a 60% win rate and an impressive average of 1.7 goals per match at home, with just 10% of matches without a goal scored. The hosts dominate offensive statistics, generating an average of 17.9 shots and 6 shots on target per match, and their xG of 1.95 confirms the quality of chances created. Nürnberg shows serious problems in away matches, where they lose as many as 67% of matches, without keeping a single clean sheet and scoring an average of only 0.89 goals. A goal difference of -7 in away matches and 44% of matches without scoring a goal demonstrate the offensive weakness of the visitors. Paderborn's advantage in possession (56% vs 50%) and better form in recent home matches (wlwwwwlldw) further support a home win. Considering all indicators, Paderborn has a clear advantage, though the unpredictability of football and the recent form of both teams (1.4 PPG each) leave room for alternative scenarios.
Paderborn vs Nürnberg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paderborn played Nürnberg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Paderborn: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Nürnberg: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paderborn scores 1.55 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Nürnberg scores 1.15 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paderborn 60%, Nürnberg 60%. Over 2.5: Paderborn 60%, Nürnberg 55%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Paderborn has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.53. Paderborn: 16.3 shots per match, Nürnberg: 13.4.
Match halves
Paderborn: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.05. Nürnberg: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Paderborn: 46-60 (8 goals). Nürnberg: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paderborn displays solid home form with a 60% win rate and an impressive average of 1.7 goals per match at home, with just 10% of matches without a goal scored. The hosts dominate offensive statistics, generating an average of 17.9 shots and 6 shots on target per match, and their xG of 1.95 confirms the quality of chances created. Nürnberg shows serious problems in away matches, where they lose as many as 67% of matches, without keeping a single clean sheet and scoring an average of only 0.89 goals. A goal difference of -7 in away matches and 44% of matches without scoring a goal demonstrate the offensive weakness of the visitors. Paderborn's advantage in possession (56% vs 50%) and better form in recent home matches (wlwwwwlldw) further support a home win. Considering all indicators, Paderborn has a clear advantage, though the unpredictability of football and the recent form of both teams (1.4 PPG each) leave room for alternative scenarios.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paderborn | Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paderborn is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Paderborn · 1.15 goals / match - Nürnberg
Paderborn is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Paderborn · 1.4 goals / match - Nürnberg
Paderborn scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Nürnberg keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).
Nürnberg scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paderborn
Over / Under - Nürnberg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paderborn is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Paderborn · 1.1 pts / match - Nürnberg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nürnberg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paderborn
Nürnberg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Paderborn | Liga | Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.70 | 2.84 | ▼ 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 25% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 84% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paderborn 0 - 1 - 0 Nürnberg. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paderborn vs Nürnberg?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Paderborn 2:1 Nürnberg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paderborn vs Nürnberg?
Paderborn score 1.55 goals per game on average and Nürnberg 1.15. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Paderborn's matches and 60% of Nürnberg's.
What form are Paderborn and Nürnberg in?
Over the last 5 games Paderborn have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Nürnberg 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paderborn vs Nürnberg?
The statistical background for Paderborn vs Nürnberg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.