Paderborn vs Preußen Münster: match statistics
Paderborn displays significantly better home form with a 56% win rate and only 11% draws at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.67 goals per home match with an xG of 1.83, testifying to offensive efficiency. Preußen Münster has a disastrous away record – 75% losses, 0% draws, and not a single clean sheet, conceding an average of 1.88 goals on the road. The difference in quality is also confirmed by possession (55% vs 62%), where Münster, despite greater control, cannot translate it into effectiveness – barely 1.0 goal on average away with xG 1.29. The goal difference of both teams (+2 for Paderborn in home matches vs -7 for Münster away) and recent form (Paderborn 1.4 PPG vs Münster 1.0 PPG) clearly favor the hosts.
Paderborn vs Preußen Münster: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paderborn played Preußen Münster in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Paderborn: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Preußen Münster: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paderborn scores 1.56 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Preußen Münster scores 1.22 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paderborn 56%, Preußen Münster 72%. Over 2.5: Paderborn 56%, Preußen Münster 61%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Paderborn has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.40. Paderborn: 15.9 shots per match, Preußen Münster: 13.0.
Match halves
Paderborn: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.06. Preußen Münster: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Paderborn: 46-60 (7 goals). Preußen Münster: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paderborn displays significantly better home form with a 56% win rate and only 11% draws at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.67 goals per home match with an xG of 1.83, testifying to offensive efficiency. Preußen Münster has a disastrous away record – 75% losses, 0% draws, and not a single clean sheet, conceding an average of 1.88 goals on the road. The difference in quality is also confirmed by possession (55% vs 62%), where Münster, despite greater control, cannot translate it into effectiveness – barely 1.0 goal on average away with xG 1.29. The goal difference of both teams (+2 for Paderborn in home matches vs -7 for Münster away) and recent form (Paderborn 1.4 PPG vs Münster 1.0 PPG) clearly favor the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paderborn | Preußen Münster | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Preußen Münster is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Paderborn · 1 pts / match - Preußen Münster
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paderborn is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Paderborn · 1.22 goals / match - Preußen Münster
Paderborn is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Paderborn · 1.56 goals / match - Preußen Münster
Paderborn scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Preußen Münster keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).
Preußen Münster scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paderborn
Over / Under - Preußen Münster
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paderborn is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Paderborn · 0.89 pts / match - Preußen Münster
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Preußen Münster - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paderborn
Preußen Münster
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Paderborn | Liga | Preußen Münster | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 2.82 | • 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 57% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 66% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 83% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paderborn 0 - 1 - 0 Preußen Münster. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paderborn vs Preußen Münster?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Paderborn 2:1 Preußen Münster. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paderborn vs Preußen Münster?
Paderborn score 1.56 goals per game on average and Preußen Münster 1.22. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Paderborn's matches and 72% of Preußen Münster's.
What form are Paderborn and Preußen Münster in?
Over the last 5 games Paderborn have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Preußen Münster 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paderborn vs Preußen Münster?
The statistical background for Paderborn vs Preußen Münster — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.