Paderborn vs Stuttgart: match statistics
Paderborn vs Stuttgart: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paderborn played Stuttgart in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Home Deluxe Arena. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Paderborn: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match. Stuttgart: 1-0-3, 0.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paderborn scores 0.75 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Stuttgart scores 1.50 and concedes 2.25. League average: 3.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paderborn 25%, Stuttgart 75%. Over 2.5: Paderborn 50%, Stuttgart 75%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 78%.
xG, shots and style
Stuttgart has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.19. Paderborn: 11.8 shots per match, Stuttgart: 15.3.
Match halves
Paderborn: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25. Stuttgart: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Paderborn: 16-30 (1 goals). Stuttgart: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.81 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 78%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paderborn hold a slight advantage thanks to home-field advantage: they have won 1 of their 2 home matches, while Stuttgart have lost both of their away games so far. The hosts average 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded at home, whereas the visitors score 1 goal per away game and concede as many as 3.5. However, the quality of chances created tempers confidence in this prediction: Paderborn’s home xG is 1.46, while Stuttgart have recorded a similar 1.48 on the road; both teams also allow their opponents plenty of chances, worth 1.93 and 2.32 xG respectively. In their last five matches, Stuttgart have won 3 times and scored 12 goals, while Paderborn have claimed 2 wins and scored 4, so an improvement in the visitors’ finishing could make this a more even contest. Nevertheless, Stuttgart’s defensive record away from home so far supports a cautious pick for a Paderborn win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for both teams to score is supported by the fact that BTTS has landed in 100% of Stuttgart’s matches so far and 50% of Paderborn’s. The hosts average 2.0 goals, while the visitors concede 3.5, making a Paderborn goal look likely; this is also backed by the hosts’ xG of 1.93 compared with the 2.32 xG conceded by Stuttgart. Stuttgart average 1.0 goal per match and have scored an average of 2.4 in their last five games, giving them a strong case to break down a Paderborn defence that allowed chances worth 1.82 xG per match over that period. However, caution is warranted: BTTS landed in only 20% of Paderborn’s and 40% of Stuttgart’s last five matches, so the lean towards BTTS - Yes is not strong.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the estimated total of 3.30 goals gives this line a clearer edge than the higher thresholds. Paderborn register 1.93 xG at home, while Stuttgart concede 2.32 xG away, which favors chances for the hosts. The visitors have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches, an average of 2.4, while Paderborn have conceded 5 goals over that period. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 100% of Stuttgart’s away matches, although both teams’ figures come from small samples. I therefore rate the probability of at least 2 goals at 84%, and the more demanding Over 2.5 goals line at 64%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal comes from the teams’ records in their respective roles: Paderborn led at the break in 1 of 2 home matches, while Stuttgart were trailing at half-time in both of their 2 away games. The hosts conceded an average of 0 goals before the break, while the visitors scored an average of 0, which points to Paderborn leading at half-time. The case for them maintaining that advantage is also supported by Paderborn’s average of 2 goals scored at home compared with Stuttgart’s 3.5 goals conceded away; after the break, those figures are 1.5 and 2.5, respectively. However, Stuttgart have the better form over their last 5 matches overall, scoring an average of 2.4 goals compared with Paderborn’s 0.8, so a Stuttgart win cannot be ruled out. Despite this countervailing factor, the most likely scenario remains the hosts leading at the break and going on to win, although the home and away data cover only 2 matches each.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paderborn | Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 17% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paderborn is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Paderborn · 0.75 pts / match - Stuttgart
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stuttgart is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Paderborn · 1.5 goals / match - Stuttgart
Paderborn is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Paderborn · 2.25 goals / match - Stuttgart
Paderborn scores in 25% of matches (1 of 4 matches), while Stuttgart keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
Stuttgart scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paderborn
Over / Under - Stuttgart
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stuttgart - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paderborn
Stuttgart
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Paderborn | Liga | Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 3.81 | • 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 59% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 86% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Paderborn vs Stuttgart?
The Bundesliga match finished Paderborn 0:2 Stuttgart. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paderborn vs Stuttgart?
Paderborn score 0.75 goals per game on average and Stuttgart 1.50. The Bundesliga average is 3.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 78% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Paderborn's matches and 75% of Stuttgart's.
What form are Paderborn and Stuttgart in?
Over the last 5 games Paderborn have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Stuttgart 1-0-3 (0.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paderborn vs Stuttgart?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.