Paide vs Harju Jalgpallikool: match statistics
Paide vs Harju Jalgpallikool: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paide play Harju Jalgpallikool in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 17 June 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Paide linnastaadion. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Paide: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Harju Jalgpallikool: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paide scores 1.60 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.50 and concedes 1.70. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paide 70%, Harju Jalgpallikool 50%. Over 2.5: Paide 55%, Harju Jalgpallikool 70%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Paide has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.53. Paide: 13.7 shots per match, Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.3.
Match halves
Paide: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.80. Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Paide: 31-45+ (6 goals). Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 2-2-2. Average goals 3.83, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I predict a home win for Paide — their seasonal goal record is 23 scored and 20 conceded versus Harju’s 20 scored and 26 conceded, giving Paide a +3 goal difference compared to -6 for the visitors. At home Paide averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per match with an attacking xG of 1.43 and 3.29 shots on target, while Harju away records 1.14 goals scored but concedes 2.00 goals and has an attacking xG of 1.39 with 3.00 shots on target, suggesting Paide’s superiority in control and defense (possession 52% vs 48%). Additionally, Paide failed to score in only 14% of their home matches, whereas Harju were goalless in 43% of away games; Paide also has more clean sheets at home (29% vs 14% for the visitors). Both teams are in weaker form: Paide have scored 4 goals and failed to win in their last 5 matches (0W, 2D, 3L), averaging 0.4 points per game, while Harju have scored 6 goals, won 1 of their last 5 and average 0.6 points per game. Considering the home side’s seasonal defensive advantage, superior goal record and lower percentage of matches without scoring, I assign Paide a 58% probability to win, a draw 22% and a Harju win 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paide | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paide is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Paide · 1.2 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paide is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Paide · 1.5 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Paide is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Paide · 1.7 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Paide scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Paide
Over / Under — Harju Jalgpallikool
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paide is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Paide · 1.3 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paide - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paide
Harju Jalgpallikool
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Paide | Liga | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.11 | • 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 88% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Paide 2 - 2 - 2 Harju Jalgpallikool. Average goals 3.83, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paide vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
The Meistriliiga match finished Paide 1:0 Harju Jalgpallikool. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paide and Harju Jalgpallikool?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Paide won 2, Harju Jalgpallikool won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paide vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
Paide score 1.60 goals per game on average and Harju Jalgpallikool 1.50. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Paide's matches and 50% of Harju Jalgpallikool's.
What form are Paide and Harju Jalgpallikool in?
Over the last 5 games Paide have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Harju Jalgpallikool 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paide vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Paide vs Harju Jalgpallikool: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.