Estonia - MeistriliigaData current as of 06 September 2026

Paide vs Trans: match statistics

Paide crest
Paide
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Trans crest
Trans
165%(1.53)
X22%(4.00)
213%(4.60)

Paide shows a significantly better form over their last five matches with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss (10 points), whereas Trans has won only once, losing as many as 4 games (3 points). The hosts scored an impressive 15 goals in their last five fixtures, conceding only 4, which yields an excellent goal difference of +11. Trans, on the other hand, scored only 7 goals and conceded 9 in the same period, highlighting struggles in both offense and defense. The form of both teams is distinctly different – Paide concludes their streak with a superb record (wwdlw), while Trans finds themselves in a slump (lwlll). Taking all statistical data into consideration, the hosts' superiority is obvious, justifying a high probability of their victory in this matchup.

Paide vs Trans: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Paide played Trans in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Paide: 0-0-1, 0.00 points/match. Trans: 0-0-1, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Paide scores 2.00 and concedes 3.00 goals per match. Trans scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.86 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paide 100%, Trans 100%. Over 2.5: Paide 100%, Trans 100%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 71%.

xG, shots and style

Trans has higher xG: 3.05 vs 1.96. Paide: 14.0 shots per match, Trans: 25.0.

Match halves

Paide: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 2.00. Trans: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Paide: 46-60 (2 goals). Trans: 76-90+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.86 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 71%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 25%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Paide shows a significantly better form over their last five matches with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss (10 points), whereas Trans has won only once, losing as many as 4 games (3 points). The hosts scored an impressive 15 goals in their last five fixtures, conceding only 4, which yields an excellent goal difference of +11. Trans, on the other hand, scored only 7 goals and conceded 9 in the same period, highlighting struggles in both offense and defense. The form of both teams is distinctly different – Paide concludes their streak with a superb record (wwdlw), while Trans finds themselves in a slump (lwlll). Taking all statistical data into consideration, the hosts' superiority is obvious, justifying a high probability of their victory in this matchup.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

70Possession (%)30
PaideTrans
14Shots4
PaideTrans
2Shots on target0
PaideTrans
1.57xG0.62
PaideTrans
5Corners4
PaideTrans
75Dangerous attacks50
PaideTrans
7Fouls14
PaideTrans
2Cards3
PaideTrans

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2Goals scored / match1
PaideTrans
3Goals conceded / match2
PaideTrans
56%Average possession59%
PaideTrans
6Shots on target / match9
PaideTrans

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14Shots per match25
PaideTrans
6Shots on target9
PaideTrans
14.3%Shot conversion4%
PaideTrans
56%Possession59%
PaideTrans
1.96xG for3.05
PaideTrans
1.27xG against1.51
PaideTrans

Shooting quality

Paide: DominantTrans: Dominant
PaideTrans
Accuracy (shots on target)43%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.11

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paide
L
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% R100% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-1
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-1
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 at home
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.96Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Trans
L
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% R100% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-1
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-1
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 away
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 3.05Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paide is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Paide · 1 goals / match - Trans

Trans is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

3 goals / match - Paide · 2 goals / match - Trans

Paide scoring profile: very strong

Paide scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).

Trans scoring profile: very strong

Trans scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).

2Goals scored (season)1
PaideTrans
3Goals conceded (season)2
PaideTrans
5Average goals in match3
PaideTrans
2Goals scored (last 5)1
PaideTrans
3Goals conceded (last 5)2
PaideTrans

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
PaideTrans
100%2 goals0%
PaideTrans
0%3 goals0%
PaideTrans
0%4 goals0%
PaideTrans

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
PaideTrans
100%2 goals100%
PaideTrans
100%3 goals0%
PaideTrans
0%4 goals0%
PaideTrans

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
PaideTrans
0%BTTS in both halves0%
PaideTrans
0%Scored in both halves0%
PaideTrans

BTTS and goal count

100%Min. 3 goals and BTTS100%
PaideTrans
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PaideTrans
100%BTTS - last 5100%
PaideTrans

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

0%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
PaideTrans
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time100%
PaideTrans
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
PaideTrans

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
PaideTrans
100%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
PaideTrans
100%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
PaideTrans

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paide - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Trans - half-time state
0% leading0% draw100% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0
PaideTrans
0Goals scored (1st half)0
PaideTrans
0Goals conceded (1st half)2
PaideTrans
0Average goals (1st half)2
PaideTrans
100%Clean sheet before half-time0%
PaideTrans
100%No goal before half-time100%
PaideTrans

After half-time (2nd half)

0Points per match (2nd half)3
PaideTrans
2Goals scored (2nd half)1
PaideTrans
3Goals conceded (2nd half)0
PaideTrans
5Average goals (2nd half)1
PaideTrans
0%Clean sheet after half-time100%
PaideTrans
0%No goal after half-time0%
PaideTrans

Paide - second-half results

0% W0% R100% P
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+3.0

Concedes 3.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Trans - second-half results

100% W0% R0% P
0
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-2.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paide - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.00
Goals scored / match0.02.0
Goals conceded / match0.03.0
Average goals in match0.05.0
1 goal0%100%
2 goals0%100%
3 goals0%100%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Trans - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.003.00
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match2.00.0
Average goals in match2.01.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet0%100%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paide
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Trans
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
100%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-44%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paide

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.69
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.73
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
263%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+2.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Trans

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-2.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-2.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

PaideLigaTrans
Average goals in match 5.003.86 3.00
Both teams scored 100%57% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 100%71% 100%
Clean sheets 0%21% 0%
Goal before half-time 0%86% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%86% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.86
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
2.71
Home goals / match
1.14
Away goals / match
+138%
Home attack advantage
+58%
Home defence advantage
+42%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
29%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. TransYellow cardMurad Velijev
  2. PaideYellow cardHenri Anier
  3. TransYellow cardDenis Polyakov
  4. PaideSubstitutionOn: Daniel Cabral de OliveiraOff: Martin Miller
  5. TransSubstitutionOn: Nikita BaljabkinOff: Viktor Kudriashov
  6. TransYellow cardDaniil Pareiko
  7. TransSubstitutionOn: Sergei KondrattsevOff: Artjom Škinjov
  8. PaideSubstitutionOn: Abdourahman BadamosiOff: Modou Sohna

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Paide 2 - 0 - 2 Trans. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.

JK Narva Trans
2 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
JK Narva Trans
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 1
JK Narva Trans
JK Narva Trans
1 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond

FAQ

What was the result of Paide vs Trans?

The Meistriliiga match finished Paide 1:0 Trans. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Paide and Trans?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Paide won 2, Trans won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Paide vs Trans?

Paide score 2.00 goals per game on average and Trans 1.00. The Meistriliiga average is 3.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Paide's matches and 100% of Trans's.

What form are Paide and Trans in?

Over the last 5 games Paide have a 0-0-1 record (0.00 points per game) and Trans 0-0-1 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paide vs Trans?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.