Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City: match statistics
Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paju Citizen played Gimhae City in K League 2 (South Korea). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Paju Citizen: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Gimhae City: 0-0-4, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paju Citizen scores 1.40 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Gimhae City scores 0.50 and concedes 2.75. League average: 2.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paju Citizen 60%, Gimhae City 50%. Over 2.5: Paju Citizen 60%, Gimhae City 75%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Paju Citizen has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.16. Paju Citizen: 8.8 shots per match, Gimhae City: 9.5.
Match halves
Paju Citizen: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.40. Gimhae City: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Paju Citizen: 16-30 (3 goals). Gimhae City: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 2: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paju Citizen are favorites to win at home: they average 1.0 goals scored per home match and concede only 0.5 goals per home match, keeping a clean sheet in 50% of home fixtures. Gimhae City average 0.0 goals scored on the road, concede 2.0 goals per away match and have failed to score in 100% of away games, with a shot conversion rate of 0%. Over the last 5 matches Paju have scored 7 goals and average 1.2 points per match, while Gimhae have conceded 11 goals in their last five fixtures and average just 0.6 points, indicating the visitors’ poorer form. The quality of created chances is comparable (0.93 xG for Paju versus 0.96 xG for Gimhae), but the visitors allow more opportunities for opponents (1.65 xG against them vs 1.39 xG against the hosts), which combined with the visitors’ lack of finishing favors a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes at 72% vs 28% because the statistical signals strongly indicate goals from both sides. The home side has a seasonal BTTS rate of 67% and 60% in the last 5 matches, while the league average BTTS is 63%, providing a solid context for both teams to score. Both teams have 0% clean sheets this season; the home team concedes an average of 3.0 goals per match and the visitors 2.0, so the risk of conceding on both sides is high. xG shows 1.22 for the home team vs 0.96 for the visitors, and in the last 5 matches xG_for is 1.17 and 1.25 with xG_against 1.34 and 1.53, indicating chance creation and goal threat from both teams. Despite the visitors’ season conversion rate being 0% and only 2 goals this season, they have scored 5 goals in the last 5 fixtures and average 4.0 shots on target, so a Goal/Goal outcome is realistic.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on home xG 1.22 and away xG 0.96, and xG against 1.82 (Paju) and 1.65 (Gimhae), the calculated forecast is about 1.44 goals for Paju and 1.39 for Gimhae (total 2.83). Additionally, Paju concedes 3.0 goals on average at home and Gimhae concedes 2.0 on the road, which increases the likelihood of goals in this match. In the last 5 matches Paju averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded (2.8 total), while Gimhae averaged 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded (3.2 total); the percentage of Over 2.5 goals in the last 5 is 60% for Paju and 80% for Gimhae. Seasonally Paju has 100% of home matches Over 2.5, and Gimhae has 0% of away matches Over 2.5, so signals are mixed, but combined xG and current form lean toward an Over 2.5 selection, which I rate at ~70% probability.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back HT/FT 1/1 (Paju leads at the break and wins). The home side has the superior xG of 1.22 versus 0.96 and better form — 1.2 points per game in the last five for Paju versus 0.6 for Gimhae — which increases the hosts’ chances of victory. At half-time Paju have averaged 1.0 goals in their last five HTs, while Gimhae average 0.6, and the hosts led at the break in 40% of those matches. Gimhae, however, struggle to finish chances: a season goals average of 0.0 and a conversion rate of 0.0 despite averaging 4.0 shots on target, which reduces their ability to mount a turnaround. Paju are vulnerable to goals late on (3 conceded in mins 61–75 and 4 conceded in mins 76–90), but the last five matches show defensive stabilization (conceding 1.4 goals on average), so I have weighted the 1/1 scenario the most.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paju Citizen | Gimhae City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paju Citizen is 180% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Paju Citizen · 0.5 goals / match - Gimhae City
Paju Citizen is 96% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Paju Citizen · 2.75 goals / match - Gimhae City
Paju Citizen scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Gimhae City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
Gimhae City scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Paju Citizen keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paju Citizen
Over / Under - Gimhae City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paju Citizen is 113% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Paju Citizen · 0.75 pts / match - Gimhae City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paju Citizen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gimhae City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 0% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paju Citizen
Gimhae City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).
Teams vs league
| Paju Citizen | Liga | Gimhae City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.80 | 2.89 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 60% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 80% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 67% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?
The K League 2 match finished Paju Citizen 3:1 Gimhae City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?
Paju Citizen score 1.40 goals per game on average and Gimhae City 0.50. The K League 2 average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Paju Citizen's matches and 50% of Gimhae City's.
What form are Paju Citizen and Gimhae City in?
Over the last 5 games Paju Citizen have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Gimhae City 0-0-4 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.