Paju Citizen vs Seongnam: match statistics
Paju Citizen vs Seongnam: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paju Citizen played Seongnam in K League 2 (South Korea). The match was played on 16 August 2026. Venue: Paju Public Stadium. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Paju Citizen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Seongnam: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paju Citizen scores 0.95 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Seongnam scores 1.05 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paju Citizen 45%, Seongnam 58%. Over 2.5: Paju Citizen 45%, Seongnam 37%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Seongnam has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.30. Paju Citizen: 10.3 shots per match, Seongnam: 12.2.
Match halves
Paju Citizen: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.45. Seongnam: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Paju Citizen: 76-90+ (5 goals). Seongnam: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 2: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Seongnam enter the match in significantly better current form, having won 4 of their last 5 games and scored 7 goals in that run, while Paju Citizen have recorded just 1 win and only 2 goals over the same period. At home, the hosts average 0.8 goals and have failed to score in 60% of their matches; combined with their 8% finishing efficiency, this significantly limits their chances of breaking through. The visitors create slightly more high-quality chances, posting an away xG of 1.42 compared with Paju’s 1.22, while also enjoying more possession (54% to 45%). Seongnam’s away defence is not flawless, conceding an average of 1.44 goals, so a draw remains a realistic outcome. However, the hosts’ lack of attacking threat and the clear trend in recent results point towards the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - No is the stronger signal, primarily due to Paju Citizen’s poor recent finishing: in their last 5 matches, the team scored just 2 goals, averaging 0.4 per game, while BTTS occurred in only 20% of those fixtures. The hosts failed to score in 40% of their season matches, whereas Seongnam kept a clean sheet in only 11%, giving them a realistic but limited chance of finding the net. Seongnam are in better offensive form, averaging 1.4 goals across their last five games, but Paju Citizen concede only 0.9 goals per match over the season and have recorded 30% clean sheets. Season-long BTTS figures stand at 50% for the hosts and 67% for the visitors; however, the drop to 20% and 40% respectively over the last five matches, combined with Paju’s low goal output, shifts the forecast towards a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The season profiles of both teams point to a limited number of high-scoring games: Paju had under 3.5 goals in 80% of its matches, while Seongnam did so in 67%. The hosts average just 1.00 goal per match, and have scored only 2 goals in their last five appearances, or 0.4 per game. Seongnam has been more effective recently, averaging 1.4 goals across five matches, but its games went over 2.5 goals in only 44% of the entire season. Although the teams’ average xG figures suggest goal-scoring opportunities—1.70 for Paju and 1.42 for Seongnam—the hosts’ low current scoring efficiency reduces the risk of four goals being scored. The strongest pick is under 3.5 goals, as both teams very rarely score more than 2 goals on their own.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seongnam are clearly the stronger side based on current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 points per game, while Paju Citizen have managed only 0.8 points and lost 3 times. The visitors scored 1.4 goals per game during this period, compared with just 0.4 for the hosts, which significantly increases the likelihood of maintaining their lead after half-time. Seongnam led at the break in 60% of their last five matches and averaged 0.8 first-half goals, whereas Paju failed to score in the first half in any match of that run. Although the hosts concede only 0.9 goals per home game over the season, Seongnam’s defence allows opponents an average of 1.44 goals, making the HT/FT scenario of a Seongnam lead at the break followed by a full-time win only marginally stronger than a draw at half-time followed by a Seongnam victory.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paju Citizen | Seongnam | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paju Citizen is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Paju Citizen · 1.2 pts / match - Seongnam
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Seongnam is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Paju Citizen · 1.05 goals / match - Seongnam
Seongnam is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Paju Citizen · 1.16 goals / match - Seongnam
Paju Citizen scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Seongnam keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Seongnam scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Paju Citizen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paju Citizen
Over / Under - Seongnam
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Seongnam is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Paju Citizen · 1.47 pts / match - Seongnam
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paju Citizen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Seongnam - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paju Citizen
Seongnam
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).
Teams vs league
| Paju Citizen | Liga | Seongnam | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 62% | ▼ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 55% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 69% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paju Citizen 1 - 0 - 0 Seongnam. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paju Citizen vs Seongnam?
The K League 2 match finished Paju Citizen 2:1 Seongnam. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paju Citizen vs Seongnam?
Paju Citizen score 0.95 goals per game on average and Seongnam 1.05. The K League 2 average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Paju Citizen's matches and 58% of Seongnam's.
What form are Paju Citizen and Seongnam in?
Over the last 5 games Paju Citizen have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Seongnam 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paju Citizen vs Seongnam?
The statistical background for Paju Citizen vs Seongnam — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.