Pakhtakor vs Buxoro: match statistics
Pakhtakor vs Buxoro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pakhtakor played Buxoro in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 6 August 2026. Venue: Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Pakhtakor: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Buxoro: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pakhtakor scores 1.73 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Buxoro scores 1.27 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pakhtakor 60%, Buxoro 53%. Over 2.5: Pakhtakor 47%, Buxoro 40%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Pakhtakor has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.36. Pakhtakor: 13.7 shots per match, Buxoro: 11.3.
Match halves
Pakhtakor: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.93. Buxoro: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Pakhtakor: 46-60 (6 goals). Buxoro: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pakhtakor are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, while Buxoro have lost 3 of their last 5 games and conceded as many as 9 goals during that run. At home, the hosts average 2 goals per match, with an xG of 1.65, whereas the visitors score just 1 goal away from home and create chances worth an average of 1.27 xG. Pakhtakor’s superiority is also evident in their control of the game: average possession stands at 62% compared with Buxoro’s 43%, while shots on target average 5 to 3.86 per match. Buxoro’s defence concedes 1.57 goals per away game and has a 57% defeat rate, which, combined with Pakhtakor’s 63% home win rate, strongly supports the scenario of a home victory. Buxoro may create isolated chances, as Pakhtakor keep a clean sheet in only 13% of their home matches, but the quality-of-chances balance and current form point towards a win for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Pakhtakor has been highly effective at limiting opponents, conceding an average of just 0.63 goals per match throughout the season and only 2 goals in its last five fixtures, or 0.4 per game. Buxoro averages 1.0 goal per match and currently has an xG of 1.26, but will face a team with a latest xGA of just 1.07. The hosts should score, however, as Buxoro has conceded an average of 1.57 goals this season and as many as 1.8 in its last five matches, while Pakhtakor is currently creating chances worth 1.72 xG. Season-long BTTS rates of 50% for Pakhtakor and 57% for Buxoro do not provide a decisive edge to the Goal/Goal scenario, while the hosts’ outstanding current defensive form strengthens the BTTS - No selection, meaning that at least one team is expected not to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Pakhtakor scores an average of 1.50 goals at home, while Buxoro concedes 1.57 goals away, clearly supporting a home-dominant scenario. At the same time, Pakhtakor’s defence is highly stable: across the season, it allows opponents just 0.63 goals per match, and has conceded only 2 goals in its last five games, averaging 0.40 per match. Over the same period, Buxoro conceded 1.80 goals per game, but its attack averages just 1.00 goal, making an open, high-scoring game with a significant contribution from the visitors unlikely. Historically, at least four goals were scored in only 13% of Pakhtakor’s matches and 29% of Buxoro’s games, while the Under 3.5 goals line landed in 87% and 71% of cases, respectively. The projected total of 2.50 goals points to a preference for Under 3.5 goals, even with a realistic chance of two or three goals being scored.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Pakhtakor won 75% of its matches, averaging 2.38 points per game, while Buxoro lost 57% of its fixtures and averages only 1.00 point. The home side led at the break in 6 of 8 matches, or 75% of the time, whereas the visitors did so only once; Buxoro went into half-time level in as many as 71% of its matches. Pakhtakor’s advantage is also evident defensively: it concedes 0.63 goals per game compared with the opponent’s 1.57, and has allowed just 0.4 goals per match over the last five rounds. After the break, the hosts concede an average of only 0.25 goals, while Buxoro concedes as many as 0.86, which supports the likelihood of preserving or extending an early lead. The HT/FT scenario of Pakhtakor leading at half-time and securing the full-time win is therefore best supported by the teams’ season-long quality and the difference in their defensive organization.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pakhtakor | Buxoro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pakhtakor is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Pakhtakor · 1.27 goals / match - Buxoro
Pakhtakor is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - Pakhtakor · 1.07 goals / match - Buxoro
Pakhtakor scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Buxoro keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
Buxoro scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Pakhtakor keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pakhtakor
Over / Under - Buxoro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pakhtakor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Buxoro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pakhtakor
Buxoro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Pakhtakor | Liga | Buxoro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 66% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Pakhtakor 3 - 0 - 0 Buxoro. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pakhtakor vs Buxoro?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Pakhtakor 2:2 Buxoro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Pakhtakor and Buxoro?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Pakhtakor won 3, Buxoro won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Pakhtakor vs Buxoro?
Pakhtakor score 1.73 goals per game on average and Buxoro 1.27. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Pakhtakor's matches and 53% of Buxoro's.
What form are Pakhtakor and Buxoro in?
Over the last 5 games Pakhtakor have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Buxoro 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pakhtakor vs Buxoro?
The statistical background for Pakhtakor vs Buxoro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


