Pakhtakor vs Mash'al: match statistics
Pakhtakor vs Mash'al: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pakhtakor played Mash'al in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 13 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Pakhtakor: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Mash'al: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pakhtakor scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Mash'al scores 0.17 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pakhtakor 50%, Mash'al 17%. Over 2.5: Pakhtakor 50%, Mash'al 33%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Pakhtakor has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.12. Pakhtakor: 13.0 shots per match, Mash'al: 8.8.
Match halves
Pakhtakor: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33. Mash'al: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.17.
Goals by minute
Pakhtakor: 46-60 (4 goals). Mash'al: 61-75 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pakhtakor is the clear favorite and I predict a home win; they average 1.67 goals per home match versus just 0.33 goals scored by Mash'al on the road. The hosts create significantly more chances — on average 14.67 shots and 5.67 on target per home game, while the visitors record 7 shots and 2 on target, with a conversion rate of 11% versus 5%. xG also favors Pakhtakor: home xG is 1.77 versus 0.82 for Mash'al (difference +0.95 xG), and the away defense concedes 2.33 goals on average on the road compared to 1.00 conceded by Pakhtakor at home. In the last 5 matches Pakhtakor have 3 wins and scored 8 goals, while Mash'al have lost 5 of 5 and scored only 1 goal; the visitors also have 0% clean sheets away and average 0 points in their last five games. Considering these disparities (including possession 65% vs 37% and a substantial advantage in chance volume), I assign an 85% probability to a home win, 10% to a draw and 5% to an upset by Mash'al.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics favor No Goal (BTTS - No): I recommend BTTS "no" with a probability 80% vs 20% for "yes". Mash'al has scored only 1 goal this season and averages 0.33 goals per away match and 1 goal in the last 5 matches (0.2 per match), indicating very low offensive efficiency. Pakhtakor has 8 goals in the last 5 matches (1.6 per match) and generates on average xG 1.41 per match, while Mash'al concedes an average xG against of 2.08 per match — the hosts have the edge in chance creation, but opponents rarely respond. Season BTTS rates are 0% for Pakhtakor and 33% for Mash'al, and in the last 5 matches were 40% vs 20%; the league has BTTS 46% and 57% clean sheets, which further favors No Goal outcomes. The activity differential (shots average 10.67 vs 7.0 and shots on target 3.67 vs 2.0) combined with Mash'al’s very low conversion rate pushes No Goal as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project a total of approximately 2.88 goals: Pakhtakor 1.75 and Mash'al 1.13 (calculated from home offensive xG 1.41 and away xG against 2.08 for Pakhtakor, and away offensive xG 0.82 and home xG against 1.43 for Mash'al). In the last 5 matches Pakhtakor scored 8 goals (1.6 avg), while Mash'al scored only 1 goal (0.2); recent form is 3 wins and 2 losses for Pakhtakor versus 5 losses for Mash'al, which strengthens the home advantage. Seasonally, home matches finished over 1.5 goals in 67% of cases and Mash'al’s matches in 100%, so I estimate the combined probability of Over 1.5 at around 78%. I would price Over 2.5 at about 55% based on the expected 2.88 goals and the league average of 2.4 goals, whereas Over 3.5 is less likely (~33%) also considering that the home side has 0% of matches over 2.5 this season. Therefore the best and strongest line to play is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back HT/FT 1/1 (Pakhtakor leads at the break and wins the match). Pakhtakor has a clear advantage in xG: 1.41 versus 0.82, and records more shots on average (10.67 vs 7.0) and more shots on target (3.67 vs 2.0), which translates into a higher number of goal-scoring opportunities. In the last five matches the home side has won 3 of 5 (60%), while Mash'al has lost all 5 (100%), so the hosts are favored to win after 90 minutes. Additionally, Pakhtakor led at the break in 40% of their most recent five games and scores an average of 0.8 goals before halftime, whereas Mash'al failed to score before the break in those five matches (0.0) and concedes an average of 1.2 goals by halftime; this increases the likelihood of the hosts leading after 45 minutes. Therefore I consider the 1/1 scenario the most justified, while half-time draw variants (1/X or X/X) remain possible, and a turnaround in favor of the visitors is unlikely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pakhtakor | Mash'al | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.06 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pakhtakor is 1076% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Pakhtakor · 0.17 goals / match - Mash'al
Pakhtakor is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Pakhtakor · 2 goals / match - Mash'al
Pakhtakor scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Mash'al keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
Mash'al scores in 17% of matches (1 of 6 matches), while Pakhtakor keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pakhtakor
Over / Under - Mash'al
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pakhtakor is 882% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Pakhtakor · 0.17 pts / match - Mash'al
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pakhtakor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mash'al - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pakhtakor
Mash'al
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Pakhtakor | Liga | Mash'al | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.40 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 17% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Pakhtakor 2 - 0 - 0 Mash'al. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pakhtakor vs Mash'al?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Pakhtakor 2:1 Mash'al. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Pakhtakor and Mash'al?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Pakhtakor won 2, Mash'al won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Pakhtakor vs Mash'al?
Pakhtakor score 2.00 goals per game on average and Mash'al 0.17. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Pakhtakor's matches and 17% of Mash'al's.
What form are Pakhtakor and Mash'al in?
Over the last 5 games Pakhtakor have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Mash'al 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pakhtakor vs Mash'al?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pakhtakor vs Mash'al: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.