Pakhtakor vs Nasaf: match statistics
Pakhtakor vs Nasaf: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pakhtakor play Nasaf in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 28 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Pakhtakor: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Nasaf: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pakhtakor scores 1.92 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Nasaf scores 1.25 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pakhtakor 69%, Nasaf 58%. Over 2.5: Pakhtakor 54%, Nasaf 33%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Pakhtakor has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.39. Pakhtakor: 13.2 shots per match, Nasaf: 12.1.
Match halves
Pakhtakor: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.00. Nasaf: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Pakhtakor: 31-45+ (5 goals). Nasaf: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I back the hosts (1). Pakhtakor is in clearly better form — they have won all 5 of their last matches (an average of 3 points per game) and have an 80% home win rate (8 wins, 1 loss), while Nasaf have only 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 (an average of 1 point per game). Offensively the hosts create more opportunities: they score an average of 2.2 goals at home with 6 shots on target and 14.2 attempts per match (15% conversion), whereas Nasaf away average 1.25 goals with 3.75 shots on target and 10.5 attempts (12% conversion). Quality of chances also favors Pakhtakor — average xG for the hosts is 1.74 versus 1.24 for the visitors, and Nasaf have conceded 7 goals in their last 5 matches compared to 4 conceded by the hosts, indicating a worse defensive trend for the visitors. Additionally, possession control 64% vs 46% and a higher number of shots on target (6 vs 3.75) sustain the hosts' advantage, therefore I assess the probability of a Pakhtakor win at 70%, a draw 20% and a Nasaf win 10%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pakhtakor | Nasaf | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pakhtakor is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Pakhtakor · 1 pts / match - Nasaf
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pakhtakor is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
1.92 goals / match - Pakhtakor · 1.25 goals / match - Nasaf
Nasaf is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Pakhtakor · 1 goals / match - Nasaf
Pakhtakor scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Nasaf keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
Nasaf scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Pakhtakor keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Pakhtakor
Over / Under — Nasaf
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pakhtakor is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.85 pts / match - Pakhtakor · 1 pts / match - Nasaf
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pakhtakor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nasaf - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pakhtakor
Nasaf
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Pakhtakor | Liga | Nasaf | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 55% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 54% | 53% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Pakhtakor 1 - 1 - 0 Nasaf. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pakhtakor vs Nasaf?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Pakhtakor 2:2 Nasaf. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Pakhtakor and Nasaf?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Pakhtakor won 1, Nasaf won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Pakhtakor vs Nasaf?
Pakhtakor score 1.92 goals per game on average and Nasaf 1.25. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Pakhtakor's matches and 58% of Nasaf's.
What form are Pakhtakor and Nasaf in?
Over the last 5 games Pakhtakor have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Nasaf 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pakhtakor vs Nasaf?
The statistical background for Pakhtakor vs Nasaf — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.