Paksi SE vs Diósgyőr: match statistics
Paksi SE is displaying significantly better form and statistics in home matches, where they achieve 50% wins and average 2.3 goals per game with only 10% of matches without a goal scored. Diósgyőr performs very poorly in away matches - 70% losses, no clean sheets, and a negative goal difference of -11. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals (2.34 xG vs 1.15 xG for the visitors), possession (51% vs 45%), and shot accuracy. Diósgyőr's form in their last five away matches is disastrous with a series of defeats, while Paksi, despite recent overall difficulties, maintains a solid level at home. All key indicators point to a certain victory for the hosts, who occupy 4th place in the table, while the visitors hover in 11th position.
Paksi SE vs Diósgyőr: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paksi SE played Diósgyőr in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Paksi SE: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Diósgyőr: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paksi SE scores 1.95 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Diósgyőr scores 1.33 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paksi SE 71%, Diósgyőr 67%. Over 2.5: Paksi SE 67%, Diósgyőr 57%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Paksi SE has higher xG: 2.09 vs 1.24. Paksi SE: 16.9 shots per match, Diósgyőr: 11.4.
Match halves
Paksi SE: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.19. Diósgyőr: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Paksi SE: 76-90+ (12 goals). Diósgyőr: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paksi SE is displaying significantly better form and statistics in home matches, where they achieve 50% wins and average 2.3 goals per game with only 10% of matches without a goal scored. Diósgyőr performs very poorly in away matches - 70% losses, no clean sheets, and a negative goal difference of -11. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals (2.34 xG vs 1.15 xG for the visitors), possession (51% vs 45%), and shot accuracy. Diósgyőr's form in their last five away matches is disastrous with a series of defeats, while Paksi, despite recent overall difficulties, maintains a solid level at home. All key indicators point to a certain victory for the hosts, who occupy 4th place in the table, while the visitors hover in 11th position.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paksi SE | Diósgyőr | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paksi SE is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Paksi SE · 0.4 pts / match - Diósgyőr
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paksi SE is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.95 goals / match - Paksi SE · 1.33 goals / match - Diósgyőr
Paksi SE is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Paksi SE · 1.67 goals / match - Diósgyőr
Paksi SE scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Diósgyőr keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
Diósgyőr scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Paksi SE keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paksi SE
Over / Under - Diósgyőr
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Diósgyőr is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Paksi SE · 1.48 pts / match - Diósgyőr
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paksi SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Diósgyőr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paksi SE
Diósgyőr
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Paksi SE | Liga | Diósgyőr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 3.02 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 68% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 89% | • 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paksi SE 0 - 0 - 1 Diósgyőr. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paksi SE vs Diósgyőr?
The NB I match finished Paksi SE 1:2 Diósgyőr. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paksi SE vs Diósgyőr?
Paksi SE score 1.95 goals per game on average and Diósgyőr 1.33. The NB I average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Paksi SE's matches and 67% of Diósgyőr's.
What form are Paksi SE and Diósgyőr in?
Over the last 5 games Paksi SE have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Diósgyőr 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paksi SE vs Diósgyőr?
The statistical background for Paksi SE vs Diósgyőr — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.