Paksi SE vs Ferencváros: match statistics
The match promises to be very even, which favors a draw or a narrow victory for either side. Paksi SE displays excellent home form with 56% of matches won at home and an impressive run of four victories in their last five games, scoring 9 goals while conceding only 4. On the other hand, Ferencváros, despite their recent weaker form (only 0.8 points per match), boasts a phenomenal away record with 78% wins and a 13-goal advantage in away matches this season. A key factor is Ferencváros's advantage in possession (58% vs 51%) and a high percentage of clean sheets away (44%), indicating a solid defensive organization. Considering the high efficiency of both teams (averaging over 2 goals per match) and balanced xG statistics, I expect a fierce, open encounter where neither side will have a clear advantage, making a draw the most likely outcome.
Paksi SE vs Ferencváros: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paksi SE played Ferencváros in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Paksi SE: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Ferencváros: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paksi SE scores 2.16 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Ferencváros scores 1.89 and concedes 1.11. League average: 3.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paksi SE 79%, Ferencváros 63%. Over 2.5: Paksi SE 74%, Ferencváros 68%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Paksi SE has higher xG: 2.15 vs 1.95. Paksi SE: 17.4 shots per match, Ferencváros: 16.4.
Match halves
Paksi SE: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 1.32. Ferencváros: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Paksi SE: 76-90+ (12 goals). Ferencváros: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.07 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very even, which favors a draw or a narrow victory for either side. Paksi SE displays excellent home form with 56% of matches won at home and an impressive run of four victories in their last five games, scoring 9 goals while conceding only 4. On the other hand, Ferencváros, despite their recent weaker form (only 0.8 points per match), boasts a phenomenal away record with 78% wins and a 13-goal advantage in away matches this season. A key factor is Ferencváros's advantage in possession (58% vs 51%) and a high percentage of clean sheets away (44%), indicating a solid defensive organization. Considering the high efficiency of both teams (averaging over 2 goals per match) and balanced xG statistics, I expect a fierce, open encounter where neither side will have a clear advantage, making a draw the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paksi SE | Ferencváros | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paksi SE is 33% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Paksi SE · 1.8 pts / match - Ferencváros
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paksi SE is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
2.16 goals / match - Paksi SE · 1.89 goals / match - Ferencváros
Ferencváros is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Paksi SE · 1.11 goals / match - Ferencváros
Paksi SE scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Ferencváros keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Ferencváros scores in 95% of matches (18 of 19 matches), while Paksi SE keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paksi SE
Over / Under - Ferencváros
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ferencváros is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Paksi SE · 1.84 pts / match - Ferencváros
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paksi SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ferencváros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paksi SE
Ferencváros
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Paksi SE | Liga | Ferencváros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.58 | 3.07 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 79% | 62% | • 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 60% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 69% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 89% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paksi SE 0 - 1 - 0 Ferencváros. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paksi SE vs Ferencváros?
The NB I match finished Paksi SE 0:1 Ferencváros. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paksi SE vs Ferencváros?
Paksi SE score 2.16 goals per game on average and Ferencváros 1.89. The NB I average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 79% of Paksi SE's matches and 63% of Ferencváros's.
What form are Paksi SE and Ferencváros in?
Over the last 5 games Paksi SE have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Ferencváros 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paksi SE vs Ferencváros?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Paksi SE vs Ferencváros: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.