Paksi SE vs Győri ETO: match statistics
Győri ETO, as the league leader, presents significantly better form than Paksi SE, confirmed by the points per match record in the last 5 meetings (2.2 vs 0.6). The visitors have not lost any of their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while the hosts have won just once and recorded four consecutive defeats. Győri ETO boasts impressive away effectiveness with 55% wins and never returns without a goal (0% FTS), scoring an average of 2.45 goals per away match. Paksi SE is going through a form crisis, illustrated by a series of five defeats, poor defensive disposition (11 goals conceded in the last 5 matches), and only 9% clean sheets at home. The goal difference away for Győri (+14) compared to Paksi's balance at home (+5) further speaks for the favorite. Considering all statistics, a victory for the visitors is the most probable scenario for this meeting.
Paksi SE vs Győri ETO: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paksi SE played Győri ETO in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 3:4.
Current form
Paksi SE: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Győri ETO: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paksi SE scores 1.91 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Győri ETO scores 1.95 and concedes 0.95. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paksi SE 73%, Győri ETO 55%. Over 2.5: Paksi SE 68%, Győri ETO 45%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Paksi SE has higher xG: 2.08 vs 2.05. Paksi SE: 16.8 shots per match, Győri ETO: 17.2.
Match halves
Paksi SE: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.18. Győri ETO: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
Paksi SE: 76-90+ (13 goals). Győri ETO: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Győri ETO, as the league leader, presents significantly better form than Paksi SE, confirmed by the points per match record in the last 5 meetings (2.2 vs 0.6). The visitors have not lost any of their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while the hosts have won just once and recorded four consecutive defeats. Győri ETO boasts impressive away effectiveness with 55% wins and never returns without a goal (0% FTS), scoring an average of 2.45 goals per away match. Paksi SE is going through a form crisis, illustrated by a series of five defeats, poor defensive disposition (11 goals conceded in the last 5 matches), and only 9% clean sheets at home. The goal difference away for Győri (+14) compared to Paksi's balance at home (+5) further speaks for the favorite. Considering all statistics, a victory for the visitors is the most probable scenario for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paksi SE | Győri ETO | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Győri ETO is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Paksi SE · 2.2 pts / match - Győri ETO
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Győri ETO is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - Paksi SE · 0.95 goals / match - Győri ETO
Paksi SE scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Győri ETO keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
Győri ETO scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Paksi SE keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paksi SE
Over / Under - Győri ETO
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Győri ETO is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Paksi SE · 1.95 pts / match - Győri ETO
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paksi SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Győri ETO - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paksi SE
Győri ETO
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Paksi SE | Liga | Győri ETO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.32 | 3.00 | • 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 59% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 21% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 69% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 88% | ▼ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Paksi SE 0 - 2 - 0 Győri ETO. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paksi SE vs Győri ETO?
The NB I match finished Paksi SE 3:4 Győri ETO. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paksi SE and Győri ETO?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Paksi SE won 0, Győri ETO won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paksi SE vs Győri ETO?
Paksi SE score 1.91 goals per game on average and Győri ETO 1.95. The NB I average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Paksi SE's matches and 55% of Győri ETO's.
What form are Paksi SE and Győri ETO in?
Over the last 5 games Paksi SE have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Győri ETO 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paksi SE vs Győri ETO?
The statistical background for Paksi SE vs Győri ETO — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.