Hungary - NB IData current as of 23 July 2026

Paksi SE vs Kazincbarcika: match statistics

Paksi SE crest
Paksi SE
5 : 1half-time 1:0
Kazincbarcika crest
Kazincbarcika

Paksi SE vs Kazincbarcika: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Paksi SE play Kazincbarcika in NB I (Hungary). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 5:1.

Current form

Paksi SE: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Kazincbarcika: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Paksi SE scores 1.91 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Kazincbarcika scores 0.94 and concedes 2.12. League average: 3.00 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paksi SE 67%, Kazincbarcika 52%. Over 2.5: Paksi SE 61%, Kazincbarcika 73%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Paksi SE has higher xG: 1.92 vs 1.07. Paksi SE: 15.4 shots per match, Kazincbarcika: 9.0.

Match halves

Paksi SE: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.09. Kazincbarcika: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.39.

Goals by minute

Paksi SE: 76-90+ (20 goals). Kazincbarcika: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NB I: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.

Match description

The favorites in this match are the hosts, Paksi SE, who have scored 49 goals this season and average 2.15 goals per home game (xG 2.29), while Kazincbarcika have 26 goals this season and score an average of 1.15 goals away with xG 1.02. The hosts create significantly more opportunities — averaging 18.62 shots and 7.23 shots on target per home match versus the visitors’ 8.62 shots and 2.85 on target away — translating into clearly superior chance quality. Defensively the visitors are prone to mistakes: Kazincbarcika have conceded 55 goals this season and 2.0 goals on average away (xG against 2.28), whereas Paksi concede 1.85 at home on average (xG against 1.45). Recent form also favors the hosts — Paksi have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches with a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses (1.0 point per match), while Kazincbarcika scored 6 and conceded 13 in their last five, with only 1 win and 4 losses (0.6 points per match). Considering league positions (5th vs 12th), superior win tally (11 vs 5) and clear advantages in xG (2.29 vs 1.02) and shots on target (7.23 vs 2.85), I predict a home win.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
4 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

58Possession (%)42
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
21Shots7
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
10Shots on target2
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
2.77xG0.91
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
9Corners1
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
105Dangerous attacks43
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
16Fouls17
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
2Cards5
Paksi SEKazincbarcika

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Paksi SEKazincbarcika
1.91Goals scored / match0.94
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
1.39Goals conceded / match2.12
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
48%Average possession40%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
6Shots on target / match3.24
Paksi SEKazincbarcika

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.42Shots per match9
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
6Shots on target3.24
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
12.4%Shot conversion10.4%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
48%Possession40%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
1.92xG for1.07
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
1.53xG against2.05
Paksi SEKazincbarcika

Shooting quality

Paksi SE: AttackingKazincbarcika: Balanced
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
Accuracy (shots on target)39%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paksi SE is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Paksi SE · 1 pts / match - Kazincbarcika

Paksi SE
LWLWW
Season result split
45% W24% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-8-10
1.61 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-4-4
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Kazincbarcika
LLDWD
Season result split
18% W12% R70% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-23
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -39
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-11
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.98Opponent xG: 1.98BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paksi SE is 103% better for: goals scored per match.

1.91 goals / match - Paksi SE · 0.94 goals / match - Kazincbarcika

Paksi SE is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.39 goals / match - Paksi SE · 2.12 goals / match - Kazincbarcika

Paksi SE scoring profile: very strong

Paksi SE scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Kazincbarcika keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 33 matches).

Kazincbarcika scoring profile: strong

Kazincbarcika scores in 61% of matches (20 of 33 matches), while Paksi SE keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).

63Goals scored (season)31
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
46Goals conceded (season)70
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
3.3Average goals in match3.06
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
9Goals scored (last 5)4
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
7Goals conceded (last 5)10
Paksi SEKazincbarcika

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal61%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
55%2 goals21%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
33%3 goals9%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
12%4 goals3%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal88%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
42%2 goals67%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
12%3 goals39%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
3%4 goals12%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time18%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
15%BTTS in both halves0%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
42%Scored in both halves6%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS24%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
40%BTTS - last 540%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time48%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
39%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paksi SE is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.52 pts / match - Paksi SE · 0.94 pts / match - Kazincbarcika

Paksi SE - half-time state
33% leading52% draw15% trailing
Kazincbarcika - half-time state
18% leading39% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.52Points per match (1st half)0.94
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
0.82Goals scored (1st half)0.55
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.82
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
1.3Average goals (1st half)1.36
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
64%Clean sheet before half-time42%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
42%No goal before half-time67%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per match (2nd half)0.55
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
1.09Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
0.91Goals conceded (2nd half)1.3
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
2Average goals (2nd half)1.7
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
30%Clean sheet after half-time24%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika
36%No goal after half-time67%
Paksi SEKazincbarcika

Paksi SE - second-half results

39% W21% R39% P
50
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kazincbarcika - second-half results

12% W18% R70% P
31
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-30
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Paksi SE - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Kazincbarcika - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paksi SE
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
9
6
16-30
13
7
31-45
8
9
46-60
8
12
61-75
20
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

Kazincbarcika
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
6
8
16-30
7
12
31-45
4
9
46-60
6
11
61-75
3
23
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -20 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.18
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paksi SE

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Kazincbarcika

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.98
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).

Teams vs league

Paksi SELigaKazincbarcika
Average goals in match 3.303.00 3.06
Both teams scored 67%60% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 61%60% 73%
Clean sheets 18%22% 12%
Goal before half-time 67%70% 73%
Goal after half-time 91%87% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.00
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.44
Away goals / match
+8%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Paksi SE 2 - 0 - 0 Kazincbarcika. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Kazincbarcikai SC
0 : 2
Paksi SE
Paksi SE
3 : 0
Kazincbarcikai SC

FAQ

What was the result of Paksi SE vs Kazincbarcika?

The NB I match finished Paksi SE 5:1 Kazincbarcika. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Paksi SE and Kazincbarcika?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Paksi SE won 2, Kazincbarcika won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Paksi SE vs Kazincbarcika?

Paksi SE score 1.91 goals per game on average and Kazincbarcika 0.94. The NB I average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Paksi SE's matches and 52% of Kazincbarcika's.

What form are Paksi SE and Kazincbarcika in?

Over the last 5 games Paksi SE have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Kazincbarcika 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paksi SE vs Kazincbarcika?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.