Paksi SE vs MTK: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Paksi SE played MTK in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 6 December 2025. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Paksi SE: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. MTK: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Paksi SE scores 2.13 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. MTK scores 1.87 and concedes 1.93. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paksi SE 80%, MTK 53%. Over 2.5: Paksi SE 73%, MTK 73%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.

xG, shots and style

Paksi SE has higher xG: 2.05 vs 1.62. Paksi SE: 16.6 shots per match, MTK: 14.0.

Match halves

Paksi SE: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 1.40. MTK: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.13.

Goals by minute

Paksi SE: 76-90+ (11 goals). MTK: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NB I: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
Paksi SEMTK
17Shots12
Paksi SEMTK
6Shots on target4
Paksi SEMTK
2.2xG1.51
Paksi SEMTK
4Corners2
Paksi SEMTK
98Dangerous attacks65
Paksi SEMTK
17Fouls22
Paksi SEMTK
3Cards7
Paksi SEMTK

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.13Goals scored / match1.87
Paksi SEMTK
1.6Goals conceded / match1.93
Paksi SEMTK
48%Average possession50%
Paksi SEMTK
6.07Shots on target / match5.13
Paksi SEMTK

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.6Shots per match14
Paksi SEMTK
6.07Shots on target5.13
Paksi SEMTK
12.9%Shot conversion13.3%
Paksi SEMTK
48%Possession50%
Paksi SEMTK
2.05xG for1.62
Paksi SEMTK
1.69xG against1.96
Paksi SEMTK

Shooting quality

Paksi SE: AttackingMTK: Attacking
Paksi SEMTK
Accuracy (shots on target)37%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paksi SE
LDWLL
Season result split
40% W40% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-6-3
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.91BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
MTK
DLWLL
Season result split
40% W13% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-7
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-5
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 2.20BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paksi SE is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

2.13 goals / match - Paksi SE · 1.87 goals / match - MTK

Paksi SE is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.6 goals / match - Paksi SE · 1.93 goals / match - MTK

Paksi SE scoring profile: very strong

Paksi SE scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).

MTK scoring profile: very strong

MTK scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Paksi SE keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).

32Goals scored (season)28
Paksi SEMTK
24Goals conceded (season)29
Paksi SEMTK
3.73Average goals in match3.8
Paksi SEMTK
7Goals scored (last 5)5
Paksi SEMTK
9Goals conceded (last 5)12
Paksi SEMTK

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal80%
Paksi SEMTK
60%2 goals47%
Paksi SEMTK
40%3 goals27%
Paksi SEMTK
13%4 goals20%
Paksi SEMTK

How often they concede at least...

87%1 goal73%
Paksi SEMTK
53%2 goals40%
Paksi SEMTK
20%3 goals40%
Paksi SEMTK
0%4 goals20%
Paksi SEMTK

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time13%
Paksi SEMTK
27%BTTS in both halves7%
Paksi SEMTK
47%Scored in both halves33%
Paksi SEMTK

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Paksi SEMTK
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
Paksi SEMTK
60%BTTS - last 540%
Paksi SEMTK

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time87%
Paksi SEMTK
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
Paksi SEMTK
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time27%
Paksi SEMTK

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Paksi SEMTK
73%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
Paksi SEMTK
53%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Paksi SEMTK

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paksi SE is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Paksi SE · 0.93 pts / match - MTK

Paksi SE - half-time state
13% leading73% draw13% trailing
MTK - half-time state
27% leading13% draw60% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)0.93
Paksi SEMTK
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.73
Paksi SEMTK
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)1.07
Paksi SEMTK
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.8
Paksi SEMTK
53%Clean sheet before half-time33%
Paksi SEMTK
53%No goal before half-time67%
Paksi SEMTK

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per match (2nd half)2
Paksi SEMTK
1.4Goals scored (2nd half)1.13
Paksi SEMTK
1.07Goals conceded (2nd half)0.87
Paksi SEMTK
2.47Average goals (2nd half)2
Paksi SEMTK
27%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Paksi SEMTK
13%No goal after half-time20%
Paksi SEMTK

Paksi SE - second-half results

40% W33% D27% L
17
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding308%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

MTK - second-half results

67% W0% D33% L
14
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paksi SE - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match0.62.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
MTK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.6
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paksi SE
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
5
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
7
5
46-60
3
6
61-75
11
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

MTK
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
8
16-30
6
6
31-45
7
2
46-60
5
3
61-75
5
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.76
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
121%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+33%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paksi SE

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

MTK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).

Teams vs league

Paksi SELigaMTK
Average goals in match 3.733.11 3.80
Both teams scored 80%62% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 73%62% 73%
Clean sheets 13%21% 27%
Goal before half-time 53%71% 87%
Goal after half-time 93%88% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / match
1.49
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. MTKYellow cardÁdin Molnár
  2. Paksi SEYellow cardMilán Szekszárdi
  3. MTKYellow cardArtúr Horváth
  4. Paksi SEYellow cardAttila Osváth
  5. MTKYellow cardJakub Plšek
  6. Paksi SEGoalDániel Böde
  7. Paksi SEGoalDániel BödeAssist: Barna Tóth
  8. MTKYellow cardPatrik Kovács
  9. Paksi SESubstitutionOn: Ákos SzendreiOff: Barna Tóth
  10. MTKYellow cardIlia Beriashvili
  11. Paksi SEYellow cardKristóf Papp
  12. MTKYellow cardPatrik Péter Szűcs

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Paksi SE 1 - 0 - 0 MTK. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

MTK Budapest FC
2 : 3
Paksi SE

FAQ

What was the result of Paksi SE vs MTK?

The NB I match finished Paksi SE 3:1 MTK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Paksi SE vs MTK?

Paksi SE score 2.13 goals per game on average and MTK 1.87. The NB I average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Paksi SE's matches and 53% of MTK's.

What form are Paksi SE and MTK in?

Over the last 5 games Paksi SE have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and MTK 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paksi SE vs MTK?

The statistical background for Paksi SE vs MTK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.