Palermo vs Calcio Padova: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Palermo played Calcio Padova in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 27 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Palermo: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Calcio Padova: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Palermo scores 1.59 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. Calcio Padova scores 1.00 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Palermo 41%, Calcio Padova 59%. Over 2.5: Palermo 41%, Calcio Padova 35%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Palermo has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.16. Palermo: 14.5 shots per match, Calcio Padova: 10.4.

Match halves

Palermo: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.00. Calcio Padova: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.65.

Goals by minute

Palermo: 76-90+ (7 goals). Calcio Padova: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

41Possession (%)59
PalermoCalcio Padova
11Shots11
PalermoCalcio Padova
3Shots on target6
PalermoCalcio Padova
1.25xG1.47
PalermoCalcio Padova
3Corners8
PalermoCalcio Padova
46Dangerous attacks49
PalermoCalcio Padova
12Fouls11
PalermoCalcio Padova
2Cards2
PalermoCalcio Padova

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PalermoCalcio Padova
1.59Goals scored / match1
PalermoCalcio Padova
0.76Goals conceded / match1.12
PalermoCalcio Padova
49%Average possession49%
PalermoCalcio Padova
4.53Shots on target / match3.76
PalermoCalcio Padova

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.47Shots per match10.41
PalermoCalcio Padova
4.53Shots on target3.76
PalermoCalcio Padova
11%Shot conversion9.6%
PalermoCalcio Padova
49%Possession49%
PalermoCalcio Padova
1.56xG for1.16
PalermoCalcio Padova
1.32xG against1.6
PalermoCalcio Padova

Shooting quality

Palermo: AttackingCalcio Padova: Balanced
PalermoCalcio Padova
Accuracy (shots on target)31%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Palermo is 38% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Palermo · 1.6 pts / match - Calcio Padova

Palermo
DWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
47% W35% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-3
1.76 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Calcio Padova
LWDWD
Season result split
29% W41% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-5
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-3
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palermo is 59% better for: goals scored per match.

1.59 goals / match - Palermo · 1 goals / match - Calcio Padova

Palermo is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.76 goals / match - Palermo · 1.12 goals / match - Calcio Padova

Palermo scoring profile: very strong

Palermo scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).

Calcio Padova scoring profile: strong

Calcio Padova scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).

27Goals scored (season)17
PalermoCalcio Padova
13Goals conceded (season)19
PalermoCalcio Padova
2.35Average goals in match2.12
PalermoCalcio Padova
12Goals scored (last 5)5
PalermoCalcio Padova
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
PalermoCalcio Padova

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal76%
PalermoCalcio Padova
47%2 goals24%
PalermoCalcio Padova
18%3 goals0%
PalermoCalcio Padova
12%4 goals0%
PalermoCalcio Padova

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal76%
PalermoCalcio Padova
12%2 goals29%
PalermoCalcio Padova
6%3 goals6%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%4 goals0%
PalermoCalcio Padova

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time18%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%BTTS in both halves6%
PalermoCalcio Padova
35%Scored in both halves12%
PalermoCalcio Padova

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
PalermoCalcio Padova
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PalermoCalcio Padova
60%BTTS - last 560%
PalermoCalcio Padova

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
PalermoCalcio Padova
12%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
PalermoCalcio Padova

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
PalermoCalcio Padova
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
PalermoCalcio Padova
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
PalermoCalcio Padova

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Palermo is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.59 pts / match - Palermo · 0.82 pts / match - Calcio Padova

Palermo - half-time state
47% leading18% draw35% trailing
Calcio Padova - half-time state
12% leading47% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.59Points per match (1st half)0.82
PalermoCalcio Padova
0.59Goals scored (1st half)0.35
PalermoCalcio Padova
0.35Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
PalermoCalcio Padova
0.94Average goals (1st half)1
PalermoCalcio Padova
65%Clean sheet before half-time47%
PalermoCalcio Padova
53%No goal before half-time71%
PalermoCalcio Padova

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per match (2nd half)1.47
PalermoCalcio Padova
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.65
PalermoCalcio Padova
0.41Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
PalermoCalcio Padova
1.41Average goals (2nd half)1.12
PalermoCalcio Padova
65%Clean sheet after half-time59%
PalermoCalcio Padova
41%No goal after half-time41%
PalermoCalcio Padova

Palermo - second-half results

41% W47% D12% L
27
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Calcio Padova - second-half results

35% W41% D24% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding242%

Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Palermo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Calcio Padova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Palermo
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
0
16-30
4
6
31-45
6
1
46-60
4
2
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Calcio Padova
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
7
31-45
4
1
46-60
4
5
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Palermo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Calcio Padova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

PalermoLigaCalcio Padova
Average goals in match 2.352.49 2.12
Both teams scored 41%56% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%47% 35%
Clean sheets 41%26% 24%
Goal before half-time 82%70% 65%
Goal after half-time 71%75% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
1.04
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PalermoYellow cardJérémy Le Douaron
  2. PalermoYellow cardAntonio Palumbo
  3. PalermoSubstitutionOn: Aljosa VasicOff: Jérémy Le Douaron
  4. Calcio PadovaSubstitutionOn: Alessandro SeghettiOff: Mattia Bortolussi
  5. Calcio PadovaYellow cardJonas Harder
  6. Calcio PadovaSubstitutionOn: Cristian BuonaiutoOff: Jonas Harder
  7. Calcio PadovaYellow cardPietro Fusi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Marco PiccininiMatches officiated: 10
5.1Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 230%Home wins30%Draws40%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Palermo vs Calcio Padova?

The Serie B match finished Palermo 1:0 Calcio Padova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Palermo vs Calcio Padova?

Palermo score 1.59 goals per game on average and Calcio Padova 1.00. The Serie B average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Palermo's matches and 59% of Calcio Padova's.

What form are Palermo and Calcio Padova in?

Over the last 5 games Palermo have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Calcio Padova 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palermo vs Calcio Padova?

The statistical background for Palermo vs Calcio Padova — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.