Palermo vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Palermo played Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 5:0.

Current form

Palermo: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Carrarese: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Palermo scores 1.23 and concedes 0.77 goals per match. Carrarese scores 1.38 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.51 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Palermo 38%, Carrarese 54%. Over 2.5: Palermo 31%, Carrarese 46%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Palermo has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.47. Palermo: 13.9 shots per match, Carrarese: 13.4.

Match halves

Palermo: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.85. Carrarese: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.85.

Goals by minute

Palermo: 46-60 (5 goals). Carrarese: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
3 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
PalermoCarrarese
21Shots7
PalermoCarrarese
9Shots on target2
PalermoCarrarese
2.18xG0.86
PalermoCarrarese
3Corners4
PalermoCarrarese
31Dangerous attacks37
PalermoCarrarese
17Fouls12
PalermoCarrarese
2Cards3
PalermoCarrarese

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.23Goals scored / match1.38
PalermoCarrarese
0.77Goals conceded / match1.23
PalermoCarrarese
49%Average possession52%
PalermoCarrarese
4.38Shots on target / match4
PalermoCarrarese

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.92Shots per match13.38
PalermoCarrarese
4.38Shots on target4
PalermoCarrarese
8.8%Shot conversion10.3%
PalermoCarrarese
49%Possession52%
PalermoCarrarese
1.55xG for1.47
PalermoCarrarese
1.32xG against1.34
PalermoCarrarese

Shooting quality

Palermo: BalancedCarrarese: Balanced
PalermoCarrarese
Accuracy (shots on target)31%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Carrarese is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Palermo · 1 pts / match - Carrarese

Palermo
LLWLD
Season result split
38% W38% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-3
1.54 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Carrarese
WLLDD
Season result split
23% W54% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-7-3
1.23 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-1
Last 5 away
0-4-1
DDDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carrarese is 12% better for: goals scored per match.

1.23 goals / match - Palermo · 1.38 goals / match - Carrarese

Palermo is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.77 goals / match - Palermo · 1.23 goals / match - Carrarese

Palermo scoring profile: mixed

Palermo scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).

Carrarese scoring profile: strong

Carrarese scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).

16Goals scored (season)18
PalermoCarrarese
10Goals conceded (season)16
PalermoCarrarese
2Average goals in match2.62
PalermoCarrarese
6Goals scored (last 5)5
PalermoCarrarese
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
PalermoCarrarese

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal69%
PalermoCarrarese
38%2 goals46%
PalermoCarrarese
8%3 goals23%
PalermoCarrarese
8%4 goals0%
PalermoCarrarese

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal62%
PalermoCarrarese
8%2 goals46%
PalermoCarrarese
8%3 goals8%
PalermoCarrarese
0%4 goals8%
PalermoCarrarese

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time23%
PalermoCarrarese
0%BTTS in both halves23%
PalermoCarrarese
31%Scored in both halves46%
PalermoCarrarese

BTTS and goal count

15%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
PalermoCarrarese
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
PalermoCarrarese
20%BTTS - last 560%
PalermoCarrarese

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
PalermoCarrarese
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
PalermoCarrarese
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
PalermoCarrarese

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
PalermoCarrarese
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time62%
PalermoCarrarese
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
PalermoCarrarese

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Palermo is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Palermo · 1.31 pts / match - Carrarese

Palermo - half-time state
38% leading23% draw38% trailing
Carrarese - half-time state
23% leading62% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)1.31
PalermoCarrarese
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.54
PalermoCarrarese
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
PalermoCarrarese
0.77Average goals (1st half)1
PalermoCarrarese
62%Clean sheet before half-time62%
PalermoCarrarese
62%No goal before half-time54%
PalermoCarrarese

After half-time (2nd half)

1.62Points per match (2nd half)1.23
PalermoCarrarese
0.85Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
PalermoCarrarese
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
PalermoCarrarese
1.23Average goals (2nd half)1.62
PalermoCarrarese
69%Clean sheet after half-time38%
PalermoCarrarese
46%No goal after half-time31%
PalermoCarrarese

Palermo - second-half results

38% W46% D15% L
18
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Carrarese - second-half results

23% W54% D23% L
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Palermo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Carrarese - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Palermo
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
3
5
31-45
5
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Carrarese
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
2
4
46-60
3
3
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.30
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Palermo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Carrarese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

PalermoLigaCarrarese
Average goals in match 2.002.51 2.62
Both teams scored 38%54% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 31%47% 46%
Clean sheets 38%27% 38%
Goal before half-time 77%68% 62%
Goal after half-time 69%74% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.51
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.46
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PalermoYellow cardAntonio Palumbo
  2. PalermoSubstitutionOn: Aljosa VasicOff: Jérémy Le Douaron
  3. CarrareseYellow cardJulián Illanes Minucci
  4. PalermoGoalAntonio PalumboAssist: Jacopo Segre
  5. CarrareseSubstitutionOn: Mattia FinottoOff: Nikola Sekulov
  6. CarrareseSubstitutionOn: Kleis BozhanajOff: Emanuele Zuelli
  7. CarrareseSubstitutionOn: Niccolò BelloniOff: Manuel Cicconi
  8. CarrareseSubstitutionOn: Tommaso RubinoOff: Fabio Abiuso
  9. PalermoYellow cardAljosa Vasic
  10. CarrareseYellow cardMattia Finotto
  11. CarrareseSubstitutionOn: Gabriele ParlantiOff: Nicolás Adrián Schiavi
  12. CarrareseYellow cardNicolo Calabrese

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Mario PerriMatches officiated: 15
4.6Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 260%Home wins20%Draws20%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Palermo vs Carrarese?

The Serie B match finished Palermo 5:0 Carrarese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Palermo vs Carrarese?

Palermo score 1.23 goals per game on average and Carrarese 1.38. The Serie B average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Palermo's matches and 54% of Carrarese's.

What form are Palermo and Carrarese in?

Over the last 5 games Palermo have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Carrarese 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palermo vs Carrarese?

The statistical background for Palermo vs Carrarese — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.