Palermo vs Juve Stabia: match statistics

Palermo have shown stronger form over their last five matches, collecting 8 points from 2 wins and 2 draws, compared with Juve Stabia’s 5 points. The hosts have scored 7 goals during this period—an average of 1.4 per match—while conceding just 5. Juve Stabia have scored 6 goals, but their defense has conceded as many as 9, averaging 1.8 goals allowed per game. Palermo have suffered only one defeat in their last five matches, whereas the visitors have lost two of their five. Therefore, the hosts’ superior recent consistency and better goal difference support Palermo. However, Palermo’s two draws and Juve Stabia’s two draws in this run increase the likelihood of a closely contested match.

The signal for both teams to score is driven primarily by Juve Stabia’s recent defensive form, having conceded 9 goals in five matches—an average of 1.8 per game—with an xG against of 1.71. During this period, Palermo scored an average of 1.4 goals and created chances worth 1.56 xG, clearly supporting the scenario of a home goal. The visitors scored an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Palermo allowed opponents 1.0 goal and 1.38 xG, giving Juve Stabia a solid basis to find the net. BTTS occurred in 80% of Juve Stabia’s last five matches, although Palermo’s rate is only 40%, so the advantage for BTTS - Yes is moderate rather than decisive. Overall, it is more likely that both sides will score than that at least one team will fail to find the net.

Palermo have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches and averaged 1.56 xG, while Juve Stabia conceded as many as 9 goals over the same period, or 1.8 per game. The hosts should therefore create solid attacking potential, especially given that the visitors’ average xG conceded stands at 1.71. Juve Stabia score an average of 1.2 goals per game, while Palermo concede 1.0, supporting the scenario of at least one goal for the away side. Although only 20% of Palermo’s recent matches went Over 2.5 goals, Juve Stabia’s matches did so in 60% of cases, making the 2.5 line finely balanced. The strongest signal remains Over 1.5: a projected 2.75 goals and the visitors’ recent defensive struggles clearly point towards at least two goals.

The strongest signal points to Palermo leading at the break: the hosts were ahead after 45 minutes in 60% of their last five matches, compared with just 20% for Juve Stabia. Palermo averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded before half-time, while the visitors scored only 0.2 and conceded 0.6. Across their last five matches, Palermo averaged 1.6 points and lost just 20% of the time, whereas Juve Stabia averaged 1.0 point per match and recorded a 40% loss rate. After the break, the visitors conceded an average of 1.2 goals—twice as many as Palermo, who conceded 0.6—further supporting the scenario of the hosts maintaining or extending their lead. Full-season data is unavailable, so the assessment is based on current form, in which the 1/1 HT/FT outcome has the clearest support.