Palermo vs Südtirol: match statistics
Palermo is showing impressive home form with a 69% win rate at their stadium and only 8% losses, scoring an average of 1.85 goals per match while maintaining a 69% clean sheet rate. The hosts are in excellent shape, confirmed by an unbeaten run in their last 5 matches and a +17 goal difference in home games. Südtirol, on the other hand, has poor away statistics with only 15% wins on the road and as many as 69% draws, scoring just 0.85 goals on average per away match. The difference in xG quality (1.61 for Palermo vs 1.29 for Südtirol) and the advantage in shots on target (5.15 vs 3.31) further support the hosts. Considering the table position (4th place for Palermo vs 9th for Südtirol) and the significant statistical advantage of the home side, I expect a confident victory for Palermo, although the guests' solid defense could result in a win by a narrow margin.
Palermo vs Südtirol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Palermo played Südtirol in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Palermo: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Südtirol: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Palermo scores 1.68 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. Südtirol scores 1.04 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Palermo 40%, Südtirol 56%. Over 2.5: Palermo 44%, Südtirol 36%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Palermo has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.44. Palermo: 14.0 shots per match, Südtirol: 12.4.
Match halves
Palermo: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.00. Südtirol: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Palermo: 76-90+ (11 goals). Südtirol: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palermo is showing impressive home form with a 69% win rate at their stadium and only 8% losses, scoring an average of 1.85 goals per match while maintaining a 69% clean sheet rate. The hosts are in excellent shape, confirmed by an unbeaten run in their last 5 matches and a +17 goal difference in home games. Südtirol, on the other hand, has poor away statistics with only 15% wins on the road and as many as 69% draws, scoring just 0.85 goals on average per away match. The difference in xG quality (1.61 for Palermo vs 1.29 for Südtirol) and the advantage in shots on target (5.15 vs 3.31) further support the hosts. Considering the table position (4th place for Palermo vs 9th for Südtirol) and the significant statistical advantage of the home side, I expect a confident victory for Palermo, although the guests' solid defense could result in a win by a narrow margin.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Palermo | Südtirol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palermo is 62% better for: goals scored per match.
1.68 goals / match - Palermo · 1.04 goals / match - Südtirol
Palermo is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.76 goals / match - Palermo · 0.96 goals / match - Südtirol
Palermo scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Südtirol keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
Südtirol scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 48% (12 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Palermo
Over / Under - Südtirol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palermo is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Palermo · 1.4 pts / match - Südtirol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Palermo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Südtirol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 28%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Palermo
Südtirol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Palermo | Liga | Südtirol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.44 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 47% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 74% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Palermo 1 - 0 - 0 Südtirol. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Palermo vs Südtirol?
The Serie B match finished Palermo 4:0 Südtirol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Palermo vs Südtirol?
Palermo score 1.68 goals per game on average and Südtirol 1.04. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Palermo's matches and 56% of Südtirol's.
What form are Palermo and Südtirol in?
Over the last 5 games Palermo have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Südtirol 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palermo vs Südtirol?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.