Palmeiras vs Corinthians: match statistics
Palmeiras vs Corinthians: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Palmeiras played Corinthians in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Allianz Parque. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Palmeiras: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Corinthians: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Palmeiras scores 1.66 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. Corinthians scores 1.03 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Palmeiras 55%, Corinthians 55%. Over 2.5: Palmeiras 48%, Corinthians 45%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Palmeiras has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.36. Palmeiras: 15.3 shots per match, Corinthians: 12.6.
Match halves
Palmeiras: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.79. Corinthians: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Palmeiras: 16-30 (9 goals). Corinthians: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palmeiras sit 2nd in the table and have won 69% of their home matches, while 14th-placed Corinthians have won just 23% of their away games. The hosts average 1.77 goals scored and 0.69 conceded at home, compared with 1.08 scored and 1.23 conceded by the visitors on the road. Palmeiras’ advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances: their home xG stands at 1.71, while Corinthians’ away xG is just 1.12. In their last five matches, Palmeiras have recorded 2 wins and conceded 3 goals, whereas Corinthians have failed to win and have conceded 9. Although the hosts have scored only 5 goals over that period, their solid defence and clearly stronger home record point to a Palmeiras win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Palmeiras’ defense: they conceded an average of 0.6 goals over their last 5 matches and kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games this season. Over the same period, Corinthians scored an average of just 0.8 goals, making their failure to score the more likely route to this outcome. Palmeiras recorded BTTS in 40% of their matches this season and just 20% of their last 5, although Corinthians’ figures point in the opposite direction: 69% and 80%, respectively. The visitors have conceded an average of 1.8 goals recently, while Palmeiras posted an xG of 2.19, so a home win with only one team scoring is more likely than a goalless draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 87% of Palmeiras matches and 77% of Corinthians matches. Palmeiras concede an average of 1.07 goals and have conceded just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, limiting the visitors’ scoring potential. Corinthians have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 games, but Palmeiras averaged only 1.0 goal per match over that period despite an xG of 2.19. The 2.35-goal forecast accounts for the hosts’ advantage without assuming they will fully convert their chances. The 3.5 line offers more margin than 2.5, which 60% of Palmeiras matches and 54% of Corinthians matches finished Under.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: it occurred in 53% of Palmeiras’ matches and 54% of Corinthians’ matches over the season, and three times each in their last five games. The case for a home win later in the match is supported by Palmeiras’ edge in chance quality: they average 1.49 xG compared with Corinthians’ 1.12 xG and record 4.4 shots on target per match against their opponents’ 2.92. The form gap is clear: Palmeiras earned 8 points in their last five matches, while Corinthians managed just 1 and lost four times. The visitors conceded an average of 1.2 goals after the break over that period, increasing the likelihood that the hosts will settle the match in the second half. The risk to the X/1 pick is that Corinthians score an average of 0.69 goals after half-time over the season, compared with Palmeiras’ 0.47, so a scenario in which the hosts lead at the break also carries significant weight in the forecast.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Palmeiras | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
1.66 goals / match - Palmeiras · 1.03 goals / match - Corinthians
Palmeiras is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.72 goals / match - Palmeiras · 1.17 goals / match - Corinthians
Palmeiras scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Corinthians keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
Corinthians scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Palmeiras
Over / Under - Corinthians
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palmeiras is 141% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Palmeiras · 0.83 pts / match - Corinthians
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Corinthians - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Palmeiras
Corinthians
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Palmeiras | Liga | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 23% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 79% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Palmeiras 1 - 2 - 0 Corinthians. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Palmeiras vs Corinthians?
The Serie A match finished Palmeiras 4:1 Corinthians. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Palmeiras and Corinthians?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 1, Corinthians won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Palmeiras vs Corinthians?
Palmeiras score 1.66 goals per game on average and Corinthians 1.03. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Palmeiras's matches and 55% of Corinthians's.
What form are Palmeiras and Corinthians in?
Over the last 5 games Palmeiras have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Corinthians 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palmeiras vs Corinthians?
The statistical background for Palmeiras vs Corinthians — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.