Palmeiras vs Grêmio: match statistics
Palmeiras vs Grêmio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Palmeiras play Grêmio in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 3 April 2026 at 02:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Palmeiras: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Grêmio: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Palmeiras scores 1.74 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Grêmio scores 1.11 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Palmeiras 63%, Grêmio 58%. Over 2.5: Palmeiras 53%, Grêmio 42%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Palmeiras has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.23. Palmeiras: 13.1 shots per match, Grêmio: 11.2.
Match halves
Palmeiras: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.68. Grêmio: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Palmeiras: 16-30 (9 goals). Grêmio: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Palmeiras holds a clear home advantage: on average 15.25 shots and 6 shots on target at home versus Grêmio’s 9.75 shots and 2.75 on target away, with a conversion rate of 16% versus 8%. This translates into goals — Palmeiras scores 2.5 goals per home match with xG 1.66, while Grêmio scores only 0.75 goals away with xG 1.06; the difference in average goals is 1.75 (2.5 vs 0.75), and in xG 0.60 (1.66 vs 1.06). Defensively the hosts concede 0.75 goals per home match, while Grêmio concedes 1.75 away; the visitors also have 0% clean sheets away, whereas Palmeiras has 25% clean sheets at home. In the last 5 matches Palmeiras won 4 and averages 2.4 points per game, while Grêmio recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in that period, averaging 1.2 points per game, which confirms the hosts’ superior form. Considering the advantage in shot volume, accuracy and efficiency (15.25 vs 9.75, 6 vs 2.75, 16% vs 8%) and the higher goals average (2.5 vs 0.75), I predict a Palmeiras victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Palmeiras | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palmeiras is 175% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Palmeiras · 0.8 pts / match - Grêmio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 57% better for: goals scored per match.
1.74 goals / match - Palmeiras · 1.11 goals / match - Grêmio
Palmeiras is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Palmeiras · 1.32 goals / match - Grêmio
Palmeiras scores in 95% of matches (18 of 19 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Grêmio scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Palmeiras
Over / Under — Grêmio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palmeiras is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.21 pts / match - Palmeiras · 1.05 pts / match - Grêmio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Palmeiras
Grêmio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Palmeiras | Liga | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 59% | • 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 23% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 77% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 78% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Palmeiras 1 - 0 - 1 Grêmio. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Palmeiras vs Grêmio?
The Serie A match finished Palmeiras 2:1 Grêmio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Palmeiras and Grêmio?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 1, Grêmio won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Palmeiras vs Grêmio?
Palmeiras score 1.74 goals per game on average and Grêmio 1.11. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Palmeiras's matches and 58% of Grêmio's.
What form are Palmeiras and Grêmio in?
Over the last 5 games Palmeiras have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Grêmio 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palmeiras vs Grêmio?
The statistical background for Palmeiras vs Grêmio — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.