Panaitolikos vs Atromitos: match statistics
Panaitolikos vs Atromitos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Panaitolikos played Atromitos in Super League (Greece). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Panaitolikos: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Atromitos: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Panaitolikos scores 0.92 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Atromitos scores 1.00 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Panaitolikos 35%, Atromitos 42%. Over 2.5: Panaitolikos 42%, Atromitos 42%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Atromitos has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.01. Panaitolikos: 9.0 shots per match, Atromitos: 10.3.
Match halves
Panaitolikos: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.50. Atromitos: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Panaitolikos: 61-75 (7 goals). Atromitos: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atromitos is a narrow favorite due to superior form and efficiency in recent matches: the visitors average 1.6 points per game over the last five matches and have scored 5 goals, while Panaitolikos averages 1.0 point per game and only 2 goals in the same period. The key advantage for Atromitos is defense — away they concede 1.00 goal per game on average and keep 38% clean sheets, whereas Panaitolikos at home concedes 1.77 goals per game and records only 15% matches without conceding. Chance creation quality (xG) is comparable: Panaitolikos posts xG 1.06 versus the visitors' 0.99, but the hosts have a negative goal difference at home (-8) and as many as 62% home defeats. Shot statistics show Panaitolikos attempts more shots (9.77 vs 8.77) and has slightly higher conversion (12% vs 11%), while Atromitos registers more shots on target (2.69 vs 2.38) and in practice scores more goals in the last 5 matches. Therefore I tip an away win (2) with probabilities: 48% away win, 28% draw, 24% home win — defensive strength and better form of Atromitos outweigh Panaitolikos’s moderate shot-volume advantage.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict “No” (No Goal/Both Teams To Score - No) because despite Panaitolikos having a season BTTS rate of 54% vs Atromitos 31%, recent form and clean sheets are decisive. In the last 5 matches Panaitolikos had BTTS in only 20% of games and averaged 0.4 goals, while Atromitos in that period had BTTS in 40% and averaged 1.0 goal, highlighting the hosts’ weak offense. Seasonally Atromitos fails to score in 46% of matches and has 38% clean sheets, and the league features a high clean sheet rate of 63%, all increasing the likelihood of No Goal. Panaitolikos generates 1.3 xG with 11.92 shots and only 3.23 shots on target and has an 8% conversion rate, so despite creating chances their finishing is poor; Atromitos concedes 1.55 xG to opponents but actually concedes only 1.0 goals on average, indicating defensive resilience. Considering these figures (last 5 matches, FTS 46%, CS 38% and league CS 63%), I assess BTTS probability at 36% vs 64% for No BTTS.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects 1.43 goals for Panaitolikos and 1.10 for Atromitos, totaling 2.53 goals. This stems from xG: Panaitolikos generates 1.30 xG while Atromitos concedes 1.55 xG on average; Atromitos creates 0.99 xG against Panaitolikos' defense at 1.22 xG. Panaitolikos averages 11.92 shots and 3.23 on target versus Atromitos' 8.77 shots and 2.69 on target, supporting a higher scoring probability for the hosts. Seasonal frequencies confirm the trend — Over 1.5: 69% (Panaitolikos) vs 54% (Atromitos), Over 2.5: 46% vs 38%, Over 3.5: 23% vs 15% with a league average of 2.54 goals. Based on the probability distribution for λ=2.53, the chance of Over 1.5 is about 72% (Over 2.5 ≈46%, Over 3.5 ≈25%), hence the recommendation to back Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Atromitos appears to be the favorite: they have a 38% win rate this season and average 1.38 points per match, while Panaitolikos have a 15% win rate and average 0.85 points per match. In the last 5 fixtures the visitors led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5) and averaged 0.8 goals by half-time and 2.2 half-time points, whereas the hosts led at the break in only 20% (1 of 5) with 0.4 first-half goals and 1.0 half-time points. After the break Atromitos more often turns the result in their favor: in second halves they score an average of 0.46 goals versus 0.31 for Panaitolikos, they have at least one goal after the break in 85% of matches (vs 69% for the hosts) and win the second half in 31% of games vs 8% for the hosts. Considering also the higher shot conversion rate (11% vs 8%) and better second-half performance, the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and an Atromitos win at full-time (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Panaitolikos | Atromitos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atromitos is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Panaitolikos · 1.6 pts / match - Atromitos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atromitos is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Panaitolikos · 1 goals / match - Atromitos
Atromitos is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - Panaitolikos · 1.15 goals / match - Atromitos
Panaitolikos scores in 46% of matches (12 of 26 matches), while Atromitos keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
Atromitos scores in 62% of matches (16 of 26 matches), while Panaitolikos keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Panaitolikos
Over / Under - Atromitos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atromitos is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Panaitolikos · 1.5 pts / match - Atromitos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Panaitolikos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atromitos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Panaitolikos
Atromitos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Panaitolikos | Liga | Atromitos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 49% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 31% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 72% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Panaitolikos 0 - 0 - 2 Atromitos. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Panaitolikos vs Atromitos?
The Super League match finished Panaitolikos 1:1 Atromitos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Panaitolikos and Atromitos?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Panaitolikos won 0, Atromitos won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Panaitolikos vs Atromitos?
Panaitolikos score 0.92 goals per game on average and Atromitos 1.00. The Super League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Panaitolikos's matches and 42% of Atromitos's.
What form are Panaitolikos and Atromitos in?
Over the last 5 games Panaitolikos have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Atromitos 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Panaitolikos vs Atromitos?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Panaitolikos vs Atromitos: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.