Panathinaikos vs Aris: match statistics
Panathinaikos is in significantly better home form with a 60% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +10 at their stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.8 goals per home game while conceding just 0.8, which highlights their defensive solidity. Aris perform significantly worse in away matches – only 36% wins, a negative goal difference of -4, and just 0.82 goals scored on average away from home. The recent form of both teams is evenly matched; however, Panathinaikos' home advantage and the clear difference in offensive efficiency (xG 1.67 vs 1.18) speak in favor of the hosts. Aris may opt for a defensive approach, which increases the chance of a draw, but the quality of Panathinaikos at home should decide the victory for the hosts.
Panathinaikos vs Aris: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Panathinaikos played Aris in Super League (Greece). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Panathinaikos: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Aris: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Panathinaikos scores 1.48 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Aris scores 0.86 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Panathinaikos 48%, Aris 50%. Over 2.5: Panathinaikos 48%, Aris 27%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Panathinaikos has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.39. Panathinaikos: 12.7 shots per match, Aris: 12.9.
Match halves
Panathinaikos: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.71. Aris: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Panathinaikos: 0-15 (8 goals). Aris: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Panathinaikos is in significantly better home form with a 60% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +10 at their stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.8 goals per home game while conceding just 0.8, which highlights their defensive solidity. Aris perform significantly worse in away matches – only 36% wins, a negative goal difference of -4, and just 0.82 goals scored on average away from home. The recent form of both teams is evenly matched; however, Panathinaikos' home advantage and the clear difference in offensive efficiency (xG 1.67 vs 1.18) speak in favor of the hosts. Aris may opt for a defensive approach, which increases the chance of a draw, but the quality of Panathinaikos at home should decide the victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Panathinaikos | Aris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Panathinaikos is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Panathinaikos · 1.4 pts / match - Aris
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Panathinaikos is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Panathinaikos · 0.86 goals / match - Aris
Aris is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Panathinaikos · 1 goals / match - Aris
Panathinaikos scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Aris scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Panathinaikos keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Panathinaikos
Over / Under - Aris
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Panathinaikos is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Panathinaikos · 1.36 pts / match - Aris
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Panathinaikos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Panathinaikos
Aris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Panathinaikos | Liga | Aris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.52 | 2.60 | ▼ 1.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 49% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 30% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 72% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Panathinaikos 0 - 1 - 0 Aris. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Panathinaikos vs Aris?
The Super League match finished Panathinaikos 3:1 Aris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Panathinaikos vs Aris?
Panathinaikos score 1.48 goals per game on average and Aris 0.86. The Super League average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Panathinaikos's matches and 50% of Aris's.
What form are Panathinaikos and Aris in?
Over the last 5 games Panathinaikos have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Aris 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Panathinaikos vs Aris?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Panathinaikos vs Aris: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.