Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai: match statistics
Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Panevėžys played Džiugas Telšiai in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Panevėžys: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Džiugas Telšiai: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Panevėžys scores 0.83 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Džiugas Telšiai scores 1.33 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Panevėžys 50%, Džiugas Telšiai 50%. Over 2.5: Panevėžys 50%, Džiugas Telšiai 33%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Džiugas Telšiai has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.24. Panevėžys: 10.8 shots per match, Džiugas Telšiai: 11.2.
Match halves
Panevėžys: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.17. Džiugas Telšiai: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Panevėžys: 16-30 (3 goals). Džiugas Telšiai: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A Lyga: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (2) — Džiugas Telšiai shows superior season numbers: 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss and a goal difference of 8-5, while Panevėžys has 2-2-2 and a 5-10 record. The visitors are more efficient in the opponent’s box: away they score 1.4 goals on average with a shot conversion rate of 13% and 3 shots on target per game, whereas the hosts at home produce more shots (14) and more shots on target (5.33) and higher xG (1.54) but convert only 7% and average 1.0 goal. Panevėžys creates better chances (xG 1.54 vs 1.26), which gives them opportunities, but a higher share of goalless home games (33% vs 20% for Džiugas) and poor finishing undermine that advantage. Defensively Džiugas is sturdier — they concede 0.6 goals on average away and keep 60% clean sheets, while Panevėžys concedes 0.67 at home and has only 33% clean sheets. Considering recent form (1.6 points per game for the visitors vs 1.4 for the hosts) and the fact that the hosts draw as many as 67% of home matches, I assign 50% probability to an away win, 30% to a draw and 20% to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Panevėžys has seen BTTS - Yes in 100% of home matches and concedes on average 2.0 goals per home game (10 goals conceded this season), strongly favoring a Both Teams To Score scenario. Džiugas has 60% clean sheets away and concedes 0.6 goals per away match (5 goals conceded this season), while scoring 1.4 goals per game themselves (8 goals this season). xG values are comparable: home xG 1.23 versus xG against the visitors 1.15, and visitors xG 1.26 versus xG against the hosts 1.36, indicating realistic scoring chances for both sides. In the last 5 matches Panevėžys scored 5 and conceded 10, while Džiugas scored 5 and conceded 3, confirming the hosts’ greater susceptibility to conceding. Given the home side’s 100% BTTS rate and higher average goals conceded, I recommend BTTS 'Yes' (70%) over 'No' (30%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I estimate about 1.19 goals for Panevėžys (home average 1.23 xG_for, away defense 1.15 xG_against) and 1.31 goals for Džiugas (away average 1.26 xG_for, home defense 1.36 xG_against), totaling ~2.50 goals. Panevėžys scores 1.0 and concedes 2.0 per match on average, while Džiugas scores 1.4 and concedes 0.6, so the hosts' weaker defense increases the likelihood of goals. A Poisson model with lambda=2.50 yields ~71% probability for Over 1.5; given Panevėžys have 100% of matches over 1.5 this season and Džiugas 60%, I boost the Over 1.5 estimate to 78% (Under 22%). For the 2.5 line Poisson indicates ~46% for Over; season rates show 100% Over 2.5 for the home team and 20% for the away team, plus 60% Over 2.5 in the hosts' last 5 home matches, therefore I assign Over 2.5 a 48% probability (Under 52%). Poisson gives about 24% for Over 3.5, and season values (0% for home, 20% for away) support Under 3.5 (76%), so the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data show a clear advantage for the visitors: Džiugas has a seasonal average of 2.2 points and a 60% win rate, while Panevėžys has 0.0 points per game and 0% wins, with the home side losing 100% of matches. Draws dominate at Halftime — hosts were level at the break in 100% of their games, visitors in 80%, with halftime goals averaging 1.0 for the hosts vs 0.2 for the visitors. In the second half Džiugas’s superiority is pronounced: visitors score an average of 1.2 goals after the break vs 0.0 for the hosts, have an 80% win rate in second halves and 13 points gained in second halves compared to 0 points for the hosts, while the hosts concede on average 1.0 goal in second halves. Both teams’ xG are similar (1.23 vs 1.26), but effectiveness favors the visitors (conversion 13% vs 8%) and seasonally visitors concede 0.6 goals per game vs 2.0 for hosts, so an HT draw with a visitor turnaround after the break is a logical scenario. Therefore the strongest signal is a Half-Time/Full-Time draw at half-time and Džiugas to win (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Panevėžys | Džiugas Telšiai | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Džiugas Telšiai is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Panevėžys · 1.6 pts / match - Džiugas Telšiai
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Džiugas Telšiai is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Panevėžys · 1.33 goals / match - Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai is 101% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Panevėžys · 0.83 goals / match - Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Džiugas Telšiai keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Džiugas Telšiai scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Panevėžys keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Panevėžys
Over / Under - Džiugas Telšiai
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Panevėžys is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Panevėžys · 0.83 pts / match - Džiugas Telšiai
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Panevėžys - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Džiugas Telšiai - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).
Teams vs league
| Panevėžys | Liga | Džiugas Telšiai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.27 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 39% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 39% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 67% | 67% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Panevėžys 1 - 1 - 2 Džiugas Telšiai. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai?
The A Lyga match finished Panevėžys 0:1 Džiugas Telšiai. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Panevėžys and Džiugas Telšiai?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Panevėžys won 1, Džiugas Telšiai won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Panevėžys score 0.83 goals per game on average and Džiugas Telšiai 1.33. The A Lyga average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Panevėžys's matches and 50% of Džiugas Telšiai's.
What form are Panevėžys and Džiugas Telšiai in?
Over the last 5 games Panevėžys have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Džiugas Telšiai 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.