PAOK II vs Kavala: match statistics
PAOK II presents decidedly better form in the last five matches with a record of 3 wins and 9 points (PPG 1.8), while Kavala has earned only 5 points (PPG 1.0). The hosts show a significant advantage in possession (54% vs 41%) and scoring efficiency, averaging 1.33 goals per match at home compared to just 0.44 goals for Kavala away. A key factor is also the poor offensive form of the guests, who failed to score in 67% of away matches. Kavala has a negative goal difference on the road (-8), which, given the relatively solid defense of PAOK II at home (1.44 goals conceded on average), argues for the hosts. Nevertheless, PAOK II has only a 44% win rate at home and a low xG (0.86), leaving room for a surprise or a draw, hence the moderate probability of a home victory.
PAOK II vs Kavala: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PAOK II played Kavala in Super League 2 (Greece). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
PAOK II: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Kavala: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
PAOK II scores 1.39 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Kavala scores 0.89 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PAOK II 50%, Kavala 33%. Over 2.5: PAOK II 44%, Kavala 28%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
PAOK II has higher xG: 0.96 vs 0.94. PAOK II: 6.2 shots per match, Kavala: 5.4.
Match halves
PAOK II: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78. Kavala: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
PAOK II: 61-75 (6 goals). Kavala: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League 2: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PAOK II presents decidedly better form in the last five matches with a record of 3 wins and 9 points (PPG 1.8), while Kavala has earned only 5 points (PPG 1.0). The hosts show a significant advantage in possession (54% vs 41%) and scoring efficiency, averaging 1.33 goals per match at home compared to just 0.44 goals for Kavala away. A key factor is also the poor offensive form of the guests, who failed to score in 67% of away matches. Kavala has a negative goal difference on the road (-8), which, given the relatively solid defense of PAOK II at home (1.44 goals conceded on average), argues for the hosts. Nevertheless, PAOK II has only a 44% win rate at home and a low xG (0.86), leaving room for a surprise or a draw, hence the moderate probability of a home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PAOK II | Kavala | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PAOK II is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - PAOK II · 1.6 pts / match - Kavala
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PAOK II is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - PAOK II · 0.89 goals / match - Kavala
Kavala is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - PAOK II · 1.22 goals / match - Kavala
PAOK II scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Kavala keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
Kavala scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while PAOK II keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PAOK II
Over / Under - Kavala
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PAOK II is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - PAOK II · 0.78 pts / match - Kavala
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PAOK II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kavala - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PAOK II
Kavala
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League 2).
Teams vs league
| PAOK II | Liga | Kavala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.31 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 40% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 39% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 33% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 66% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- PAOK IIGoalGiannis Gitersos
- PAOK IIGoalDimitrios Kottas
- PAOK IIGoalGiorgos Kosidis
- PAOK IIGoalKarel Mustmaa
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): PAOK II 0 - 1 - 1 Kavala. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PAOK II vs Kavala?
The Super League 2 match finished PAOK II 4:0 Kavala. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between PAOK II and Kavala?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches PAOK II won 0, Kavala won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before PAOK II vs Kavala?
PAOK II score 1.39 goals per game on average and Kavala 0.89. The Super League 2 average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 50% of PAOK II's matches and 33% of Kavala's.
What form are PAOK II and Kavala in?
Over the last 5 games PAOK II have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Kavala 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PAOK II vs Kavala?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.