PAOK II vs Olympiakos Piraeus II: match statistics

PAOK II have been in clearly better form over their last five matches: they have recorded 3 wins, drawn once, and scored a total of 9 goals. Over the same period, Olympiakos Piraeus II have lost 4 of their 5 games, scoring just 2 goals while conceding as many as 11—an average of 2.2 per match. The hosts are averaging 1.8 goals across their last five appearances, compared with just 0.4 for the visitors, highlighting a significant difference in attacking efficiency. PAOK II have also shown a better balance between attack and defence, conceding 6 goals compared with their opponents’ 11. Given Olympiakos’s poor run of form and attacking problems, a home win is the most likely outcome.

The latest form clearly supports a scenario in which at least one team fails to score: Olympiakos II have scored just 0.4 goals per match across their last 5 fixtures, finding the net 2 times in total. The visitors recorded BTTS in only 20% of those matches, while PAOK II registered this outcome in 100%; however, this difference is primarily driven by the hosts’ greater attacking activity. PAOK II conceded an average of only 1.2 goals, with a low average xG against of 0.71, limiting the prospects of the low-scoring visitors. At the same time, Olympiakos II have conceded 11 goals in 5 matches, averaging 2.2 per game, so the most likely outcome appears to be a PAOK II goal combined with another match in which the visitors fail to score.

PAOK II have averaged 1.8 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while Olympiakos II conceded as many as 2.2 goals per game during this period, clearly supporting the home team’s scoring outlook. However, the visitors remain inefficient in attack: they scored just 2 goals in 5 appearances, or 0.4 per match, with an average xG of 0.95. PAOK II’s defence allowed opponents only 0.71 xG per game, which is why the projection for Olympiakos II stands at just 0.75 goals. Although both teams had at least 3 goals in 80% of their matches across the last five rounds, the combined projection of 2.35 goals limits the probability of four goals being scored. The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals, as a scenario with a maximum of three goals properly accounts for the visitors’ weak attacking output.

PAOK II have shown clearly better form in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Olympiakos II have scored just 0.4 goals per game and conceded 2.2. The hosts have won three of their last five matches, collecting an average of 2.0 points per game, whereas the visitors have lost four of five and managed only 0.6 points per match. PAOK II already hold the advantage at half-time, averaging 1.0 goal scored and keeping a clean sheet in 60% of their matches, while Olympiakos II have been behind at the break in as many as 80% of their recent fixtures. After the interval, the visitors have averaged no goals scored and 1.4 conceded, further supporting the scenario of PAOK II maintaining their lead. The most likely HT/FT outcome is therefore 1/1: the hosts to lead at the break and win after the final whistle.