PAOK vs AEK Athens: match statistics
PAOK are displaying impressive home form with 90% of matches won at their stadium and conceding only 0.3 goals per game on average. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.95 vs 1.6) and boast better shot conversion in home matches. AEK Athens, despite leading the table, show weaker efficiency away from home (70% win rate) and concede more goals (0.8 per match). PAOK's home goal difference (+19) significantly exceeds AEK's away goal difference (+12), confirming the hosts' strength at their own ground. Both teams' form in the last five matches is identical (2 PPG), yet PAOK's advantage when playing in front of their home crowd, combined with a 70% clean sheet rate at home, gives them a slight edge. We expect a tight encounter with a slight indication towards a home win, although a draw is also a realistic scenario.
PAOK vs AEK Athens: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PAOK played AEK Athens in Super League (Greece). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
PAOK: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. AEK Athens: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
PAOK scores 2.16 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. AEK Athens scores 1.85 and concedes 0.65. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PAOK 37%, AEK Athens 35%. Over 2.5: PAOK 63%, AEK Athens 35%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
PAOK has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.71. PAOK: 15.2 shots per match, AEK Athens: 15.3.
Match halves
PAOK: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.00. AEK Athens: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
PAOK: 16-30 (9 goals). AEK Athens: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PAOK are displaying impressive home form with 90% of matches won at their stadium and conceding only 0.3 goals per game on average. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.95 vs 1.6) and boast better shot conversion in home matches. AEK Athens, despite leading the table, show weaker efficiency away from home (70% win rate) and concede more goals (0.8 per match). PAOK's home goal difference (+19) significantly exceeds AEK's away goal difference (+12), confirming the hosts' strength at their own ground. Both teams' form in the last five matches is identical (2 PPG), yet PAOK's advantage when playing in front of their home crowd, combined with a 70% clean sheet rate at home, gives them a slight edge. We expect a tight encounter with a slight indication towards a home win, although a draw is also a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PAOK | AEK Athens | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PAOK is 18% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - PAOK · 2.2 pts / match - AEK Athens
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PAOK is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
2.16 goals / match - PAOK · 1.85 goals / match - AEK Athens
AEK Athens is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.68 goals / match - PAOK · 0.65 goals / match - AEK Athens
PAOK scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while AEK Athens keeps a clean sheet in 55% (11 of 20 matches).
AEK Athens scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while PAOK keeps a clean sheet in 58% (11 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PAOK
Over / Under - AEK Athens
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PAOK is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / match - PAOK · 1.5 pts / match - AEK Athens
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PAOK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AEK Athens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +9 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PAOK
AEK Athens
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| PAOK | Liga | AEK Athens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.84 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 45% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 50% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 58% | 30% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: PAOK 1 - 0 - 0 AEK Athens. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PAOK vs AEK Athens?
The Super League match finished PAOK 0:0 AEK Athens. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PAOK vs AEK Athens?
PAOK score 2.16 goals per game on average and AEK Athens 1.85. The Super League average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 37% of PAOK's matches and 35% of AEK Athens's.
What form are PAOK and AEK Athens in?
Over the last 5 games PAOK have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and AEK Athens 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PAOK vs AEK Athens?
The statistical background for PAOK vs AEK Athens — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.