PAOK vs Aris: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

PAOK played Aris in Super League (Greece). The match was played on 7 December 2025. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

PAOK: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Aris: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

PAOK scores 2.17 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Aris scores 0.92 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.75 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: PAOK 42%, Aris 50%. Over 2.5: PAOK 67%, Aris 33%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

PAOK has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.47. PAOK: 15.1 shots per match, Aris: 13.1.

Match halves

PAOK: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.33. Aris: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.58.

Goals by minute

PAOK: 61-75 (6 goals). Aris: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Super League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

65Possession (%)35
PAOKAris
19Shots9
PAOKAris
6Shots on target3
PAOKAris
2.03xG0.88
PAOKAris
7Corners2
PAOKAris
57Dangerous attacks14
PAOKAris
11Fouls11
PAOKAris
2Cards0
PAOKAris

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.17Goals scored / match0.92
PAOKAris
0.75Goals conceded / match1.08
PAOKAris
63%Average possession54%
PAOKAris
5.08Shots on target / match4.42
PAOKAris

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.08Shots per match13.08
PAOKAris
5.08Shots on target4.42
PAOKAris
14.4%Shot conversion7%
PAOKAris
63%Possession54%
PAOKAris
1.75xG for1.47
PAOKAris
0.81xG against1.22
PAOKAris

Shooting quality

PAOK: DominantAris: Balanced
PAOKAris
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

PAOK is 140% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - PAOK · 1 pts / match - Aris

PAOK
WWLWW
Season result split
75% W17% D8% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-2-1
2.42 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 0.77BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 100%
Aris
DLDLW
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-4
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

PAOK is 136% better for: goals scored per match.

2.17 goals / match - PAOK · 0.92 goals / match - Aris

PAOK is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.75 goals / match - PAOK · 1.08 goals / match - Aris

PAOK scoring profile: very strong

PAOK scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

Aris scoring profile: mixed

Aris scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while PAOK keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 matches).

26Goals scored (season)11
PAOKAris
9Goals conceded (season)13
PAOKAris
2.92Average goals in match2
PAOKAris
15Goals scored (last 5)4
PAOKAris
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
PAOKAris

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal67%
PAOKAris
67%2 goals25%
PAOKAris
42%3 goals0%
PAOKAris
8%4 goals0%
PAOKAris

How often they concede at least...

42%1 goal75%
PAOKAris
25%2 goals25%
PAOKAris
8%3 goals8%
PAOKAris
0%4 goals0%
PAOKAris

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time8%
PAOKAris
8%BTTS in both halves0%
PAOKAris
33%Scored in both halves17%
PAOKAris

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
PAOKAris
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
PAOKAris
40%BTTS - last 560%
PAOKAris

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
PAOKAris
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time8%
PAOKAris
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
PAOKAris

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
PAOKAris
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
PAOKAris
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
PAOKAris

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

PAOK is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - PAOK · 1.33 pts / match - Aris

PAOK - half-time state
42% leading42% draw17% trailing
Aris - half-time state
25% leading58% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)1.33
PAOKAris
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.33
PAOKAris
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
PAOKAris
1.33Average goals (1st half)0.58
PAOKAris
67%Clean sheet before half-time75%
PAOKAris
50%No goal before half-time67%
PAOKAris

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per match (2nd half)1.17
PAOKAris
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
PAOKAris
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
PAOKAris
1.58Average goals (2nd half)1.42
PAOKAris
75%Clean sheet after half-time42%
PAOKAris
25%No goal after half-time50%
PAOKAris

PAOK - second-half results

75% W8% D17% L
20
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding179%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Aris - second-half results

33% W17% D50% L
16
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

PAOK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.603.00
Goals scored / match0.82.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+1+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Aris - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.40
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match0.41.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

PAOK
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
4
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
6
2
61-75
6
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Aris
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
4
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

PAOK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.94
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Aris

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).

Teams vs league

PAOKLigaAris
Average goals in match 2.922.75 2.00
Both teams scored 42%51% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%51% 33%
Clean sheets 58%26% 25%
Goal before half-time 67%70% 50%
Goal after half-time 92%85% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / match
1.24
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PAOKYellow cardLuka Ivanušec
  2. PAOKSubstitutionOn: Anestis MythouOff: Giorgos Giakoumakis
  3. PAOKSubstitutionOn: Kiril Vasilev DespodovOff: Luka Ivanušec
  4. PAOKYellow cardMagomed Ozdoev
  5. PAOKSubstitutionOn: Mohamed Mady CamaraOff: Magomed Ozdoev
  6. ArisSubstitutionOn: Michail PanagidisOff: Noah Fadiga

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of PAOK vs Aris?

The Super League match finished PAOK 3:1 Aris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before PAOK vs Aris?

PAOK score 2.17 goals per game on average and Aris 0.92. The Super League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 42% of PAOK's matches and 50% of Aris's.

What form are PAOK and Aris in?

Over the last 5 games PAOK have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Aris 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PAOK vs Aris?

The statistical background for PAOK vs Aris — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.