PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis: match statistics
PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PAOK played Asteras Tripolis in Super League (Greece). The match was played on 1 November 2026. Venue: Stadio Toumbas. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
PAOK: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Asteras Tripolis: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
PAOK scores 2.00 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Asteras Tripolis scores 0.88 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PAOK 75%, Asteras Tripolis 63%. Over 2.5: PAOK 88%, Asteras Tripolis 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
PAOK has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.31. PAOK: 15.5 shots per match, Asteras Tripolis: 10.5.
Match halves
PAOK: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.00. Asteras Tripolis: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
PAOK: 31-45+ (8 goals). Asteras Tripolis: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PAOK are the favourites: they have won 3 of their 4 home matches, while Asteras Tripolis are still without an away win and have lost 2 of their 3 away games. The hosts average 2.25 goals per home match, while the visitors concede as many as 3.33 goals away from home, pointing to a clear attacking advantage for PAOK. The quality of the chances created reinforces this: PAOK average 1.68 xG at home, compared with Asteras’ 1.09 xG away. In their last 5 matches, PAOK have won 3 times and conceded 7 goals, while Asteras have managed just 1 win and conceded 10. The visitors have scored in every away match so far, so they could threaten the hosts’ defence, but the overall record points to a PAOK win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes landed in 100% of Asteras’s away matches and 40% of PAOK’s home games, and in the last five matches for the two teams it occurred in 60% and 80% of cases, respectively. PAOK have a good chance of scoring, as Asteras concede an average of 3.33 goals away from home, while the hosts generate an xG of 1.44 at home. The visitors’ chances of finding the net are supported by their average of 1.33 goals away from home and the fact that PAOK have kept a clean sheet in only 20% of their home matches. However, caution is warranted, as PAOK failed to score in 60% of their home games, despite averaging 1.6 goals per match over their last five games. Overall, the hosts’ recent scoring form and Asteras’s away record point towards both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, PAOK averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Asteras scored 1.0 and conceded 2.0, giving both teams an average of 3.0 goals per match. The hosts’ attacking potential is backed by an xG of 1.86 over this period, while the visitors allowed opponents an xG of 1.56. At least 3 goals were scored in 80% of PAOK’s last 5 matches and 60% of Asteras’ matches, although PAOK’s home games have been lower-scoring so far. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals offers a stronger signal than higher lines: the projected total of 3.0 goals leaves room for a weaker finishing performance from either side.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is PAOK leading at the break and holding on to their advantage until full time: Asteras were trailing at half-time in 67% of the away matches analysed, conceding an average of 1.33 goals before the break. The hosts average 1.44 xG compared with the visitors’ 1.09 and register 4.8 shots on target per match against Asteras’s 3.33, pointing to their superiority in chance creation. Asteras concede an average of 3.33 goals per away match overall, including 2.0 after half-time, so there is limited evidence to suggest they could recover from a potential deficit. In their last five matches, PAOK won three and scored an average of 1.6 goals, while Asteras won once and conceded an average of 2.0 goals. The 1/1 scenario is tempered by the fact that PAOK scored just 0.6 goals per home match, making a half-time draw followed by a home win a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PAOK | Asteras Tripolis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PAOK is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - PAOK · 1.2 pts / match - Asteras Tripolis
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PAOK is 127% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - PAOK · 0.88 goals / match - Asteras Tripolis
PAOK is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - PAOK · 1.88 goals / match - Asteras Tripolis
PAOK scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Asteras Tripolis keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Asteras Tripolis scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while PAOK keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PAOK
Over / Under - Asteras Tripolis
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PAOK is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - PAOK · 0.75 pts / match - Asteras Tripolis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PAOK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Asteras Tripolis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PAOK
Asteras Tripolis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| PAOK | Liga | Asteras Tripolis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 2.78 | • 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 48% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 88% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 29% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 71% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 78% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): PAOK 1 - 1 - 0 Asteras Tripolis. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?
The Super League match finished PAOK 2:1 Asteras Tripolis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between PAOK and Asteras Tripolis?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches PAOK won 1, Asteras Tripolis won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?
PAOK score 2.00 goals per game on average and Asteras Tripolis 0.88. The Super League average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 75% of PAOK's matches and 63% of Asteras Tripolis's.
What form are PAOK and Asteras Tripolis in?
Over the last 5 games PAOK have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Asteras Tripolis 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.