Greece - Super LeagueStadio ToumbasData current as of 08 October 2026

PAOK vs Kalamata: match statistics

Reasoning:

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PAOK vs Kalamata: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

PAOK play Kalamata in Super League (Greece). The match date is 12 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Toumbas.

Current form

PAOK: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Kalamata: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

PAOK scores 2.40 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Kalamata scores 1.20 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.51 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: PAOK 60%, Kalamata 60%. Over 2.5: PAOK 80%, Kalamata 40%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

PAOK has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.23. PAOK: 12.2 shots per match, Kalamata: 11.4.

Match halves

PAOK: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.00. Kalamata: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

PAOK: 31-45+ (7 goals). Kalamata: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Super League: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.17)
(7.20)
(13.00)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.4Goals scored / match1.2
PAOKKalamata
1Goals conceded / match1.6
PAOKKalamata
45%Average possession44%
PAOKKalamata
4.2Shots on target / match3.8
PAOKKalamata

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.2Shots per match11.4
PAOKKalamata
4.2Shots on target3.8
PAOKKalamata
19.7%Shot conversion10.5%
PAOKKalamata
45%Possession44%
PAOKKalamata
1.41xG for1.23
PAOKKalamata
1.43xG against1.57
PAOKKalamata

Shooting quality

PAOK: Counter-attackingKalamata: Balanced
PAOKKalamata
Accuracy (shots on target)34%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.570.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

PAOK is 200% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - PAOK · 0.8 pts / match - Kalamata

PAOK
WWLWW
Season result split
80% W0% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Kalamata
LLDWL
Season result split
20% W20% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
LD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

PAOK is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

2.4 goals / match - PAOK · 1.2 goals / match - Kalamata

PAOK is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - PAOK · 1.6 goals / match - Kalamata

PAOK scoring profile: very strong

PAOK scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Kalamata keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

Kalamata scoring profile: mixed

Kalamata scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while PAOK keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

12Goals scored (season)6
PAOKKalamata
5Goals conceded (season)8
PAOKKalamata
3.4Average goals in match2.8
PAOKKalamata
12Goals scored (last 5)6
PAOKKalamata
5Goals conceded (last 5)8
PAOKKalamata

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal60%
PAOKKalamata
80%2 goals40%
PAOKKalamata
40%3 goals20%
PAOKKalamata
20%4 goals0%
PAOKKalamata

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal100%
PAOKKalamata
20%2 goals40%
PAOKKalamata
20%3 goals20%
PAOKKalamata
0%4 goals0%
PAOKKalamata

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
PAOKKalamata
0%BTTS in both halves20%
PAOKKalamata
60%Scored in both halves20%
PAOKKalamata

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
PAOKKalamata
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PAOKKalamata
60%BTTS - last 560%
PAOKKalamata

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
PAOKKalamata
100%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
PAOKKalamata
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
PAOKKalamata

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
PAOKKalamata
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
PAOKKalamata
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
PAOKKalamata

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

PAOK is 900% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - PAOK · 0.2 pts / match - Kalamata

PAOK - half-time state
60% leading20% draw20% trailing
Kalamata - half-time state
0% leading20% draw80% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)0.2
PAOKKalamata
1.4Goals scored (1st half)0.2
PAOKKalamata
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)1
PAOKKalamata
2Average goals (1st half)1.2
PAOKKalamata
60%Clean sheet before half-time0%
PAOKKalamata
20%No goal before half-time80%
PAOKKalamata

After half-time (2nd half)

1.8Points per match (2nd half)1.4
PAOKKalamata
1Goals scored (2nd half)1
PAOKKalamata
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
PAOKKalamata
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.6
PAOKKalamata
60%Clean sheet after half-time60%
PAOKKalamata
20%No goal after half-time40%
PAOKKalamata

PAOK - second-half results

40% W60% D0% L
10
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kalamata - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
1
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.20
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

PAOK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.80
Goals scored / match1.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+4+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Kalamata - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.40
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet0%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

PAOK
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
7
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
0
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Kalamata
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.10
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
124%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

PAOK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.99
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
159%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Kalamata

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).

Teams vs league

PAOKLigaKalamata
Average goals in match▲ 3.402.51▲ 2.80
Both teams scored▲ 60%49%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%43%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▲ 40%29%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%71%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 80%77%▲ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.51
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+51%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

When do PAOK and Kalamata play?

PAOK face Kalamata on 12 October 2026 in Super League at Stadio Toumbas. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before PAOK vs Kalamata?

PAOK score 2.40 goals per game on average and Kalamata 1.20. The Super League average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 60% of PAOK's matches and 60% of Kalamata's.

What form are PAOK and Kalamata in?

Over the last 5 games PAOK have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Kalamata 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PAOK vs Kalamata?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.