PAOK vs Panathinaikos: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

PAOK played Panathinaikos in Super League (Greece). The match was played on 21 December 2025. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

PAOK: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Panathinaikos: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

PAOK scores 2.07 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Panathinaikos scores 1.62 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: PAOK 43%, Panathinaikos 69%. Over 2.5: PAOK 64%, Panathinaikos 54%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

PAOK has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.55. PAOK: 15.1 shots per match, Panathinaikos: 13.4.

Match halves

PAOK: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.21. Panathinaikos: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.85.

Goals by minute

PAOK: 61-75 (6 goals). Panathinaikos: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Super League: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
PAOKPanathinaikos
16Shots3
PAOKPanathinaikos
11Shots on target1
PAOKPanathinaikos
2.08xG0.49
PAOKPanathinaikos
7Corners3
PAOKPanathinaikos
41Dangerous attacks30
PAOKPanathinaikos
13Fouls11
PAOKPanathinaikos
1Cards3
PAOKPanathinaikos

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.07Goals scored / match1.62
PAOKPanathinaikos
0.86Goals conceded / match1.15
PAOKPanathinaikos
64%Average possession56%
PAOKPanathinaikos
4.93Shots on target / match4.46
PAOKPanathinaikos

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.07Shots per match13.38
PAOKPanathinaikos
4.93Shots on target4.46
PAOKPanathinaikos
13.7%Shot conversion12.1%
PAOKPanathinaikos
64%Possession56%
PAOKPanathinaikos
1.74xG for1.55
PAOKPanathinaikos
0.82xG against0.89
PAOKPanathinaikos

Shooting quality

PAOK: DominantPanathinaikos: Balanced
PAOKPanathinaikos
Accuracy (shots on target)33%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Panathinaikos is 11% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - PAOK · 2 pts / match - Panathinaikos

PAOK
LWWWL
Season result split
71% W14% R14% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-2-2
2.29 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 0.90BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Panathinaikos
WWLDW
Season result split
46% W31% R23% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-3
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

PAOK is 28% better for: goals scored per match.

2.07 goals / match - PAOK · 1.62 goals / match - Panathinaikos

PAOK is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.86 goals / match - PAOK · 1.15 goals / match - Panathinaikos

PAOK scoring profile: very strong

PAOK scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Panathinaikos keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).

Panathinaikos scoring profile: strong

Panathinaikos scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while PAOK keeps a clean sheet in 50% (7 of 14 matches).

29Goals scored (season)21
PAOKPanathinaikos
12Goals conceded (season)15
PAOKPanathinaikos
2.93Average goals in match2.77
PAOKPanathinaikos
10Goals scored (last 5)11
PAOKPanathinaikos
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
PAOKPanathinaikos

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal92%
PAOKPanathinaikos
64%2 goals62%
PAOKPanathinaikos
43%3 goals8%
PAOKPanathinaikos
7%4 goals0%
PAOKPanathinaikos

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal77%
PAOKPanathinaikos
29%2 goals23%
PAOKPanathinaikos
7%3 goals15%
PAOKPanathinaikos
0%4 goals0%
PAOKPanathinaikos

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time23%
PAOKPanathinaikos
7%BTTS in both halves15%
PAOKPanathinaikos
36%Scored in both halves31%
PAOKPanathinaikos

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
PAOKPanathinaikos
21%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
PAOKPanathinaikos
60%BTTS - last 580%
PAOKPanathinaikos

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
PAOKPanathinaikos
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
PAOKPanathinaikos
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
PAOKPanathinaikos

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
PAOKPanathinaikos
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
PAOKPanathinaikos
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
PAOKPanathinaikos

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

PAOK - half-time state
43% leading36% draw21% trailing
Panathinaikos - half-time state
46% leading31% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.64Points per match (1st half)1.69
PAOKPanathinaikos
0.86Goals scored (1st half)0.77
PAOKPanathinaikos
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
PAOKPanathinaikos
1.43Average goals (1st half)1.31
PAOKPanathinaikos
57%Clean sheet before half-time54%
PAOKPanathinaikos
50%No goal before half-time38%
PAOKPanathinaikos

After half-time (2nd half)

2.21Points per match (2nd half)1.46
PAOKPanathinaikos
1.21Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
PAOKPanathinaikos
0.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.62
PAOKPanathinaikos
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.46
PAOKPanathinaikos
71%Clean sheet after half-time46%
PAOKPanathinaikos
29%No goal after half-time38%
PAOKPanathinaikos

PAOK - second-half results

71% W7% R21% P
23
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Panathinaikos - second-half results

38% W31% R31% P
22
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

PAOK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.40
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Panathinaikos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match2.01.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

PAOK
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
5
3
16-30
5
3
31-45
5
1
46-60
6
2
61-75
6
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Panathinaikos
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
2
3
16-30
4
3
31-45
5
0
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+5%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
79%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

PAOK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.92
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
139%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Panathinaikos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.66
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
137%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).

Teams vs league

PAOKLigaPanathinaikos
Average goals in match 2.932.66 2.77
Both teams scored 43%48% 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%50% 54%
Clean sheets 50%29% 23%
Goal before half-time 71%70% 85%
Goal after half-time 93%79% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PanathinaikosYellow cardErik Ross Palmer-Brown
  2. PanathinaikosYellow cardKarol Świderski
  3. PAOKSubstitutionOn: Antonis TsiftsisOff: Jiří Pavlenka
  4. PAOKYellow cardJonjoe Kenny
  5. PAOKSubstitutionOn: Fedor ChalovOff: Anestis Mythou
  6. PanathinaikosYellow cardAnastasios Bakasetas
  7. PanathinaikosSubstitutionOn: Vicente TabordaOff: Mateus Cardoso Lemos Martins
  8. PAOKSubstitutionOn: Luka IvanušecOff: Taison Barcellos Freda

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: PAOK 0 - 0 - 1 Panathinaikos. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Panathinaikos FC
2 : 1
PAOK Thessaloniki FC

FAQ

What was the result of PAOK vs Panathinaikos?

The Super League match finished PAOK 2:0 Panathinaikos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before PAOK vs Panathinaikos?

PAOK score 2.07 goals per game on average and Panathinaikos 1.62. The Super League average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 43% of PAOK's matches and 69% of Panathinaikos's.

What form are PAOK and Panathinaikos in?

Over the last 5 games PAOK have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Panathinaikos 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PAOK vs Panathinaikos?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.