Paphos vs APOEL: match statistics
APOEL presents significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.0 points per match compared to Paphos's mere 0.6 points. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 meetings and have not lost any away match in the Failed To Score category (0%), demonstrating their offensive effectiveness. Paphos is undergoing a clear crisis, losing 4 of their last 5 matches overall, which contrasts drastically with their earlier dominance at home (78% win rate in home matches this season). APOEL boasts a solid away record with 56% wins and only 11% losses, and their positive away goal difference (+12) surpasses Paphos's home advantage (+14). Considering the hosts' current poor streak and the visitors' excellent disposition, APOEL has a real chance of securing a victory, though Paphos's experience at their own stadium could make this a tight encounter.
Paphos vs APOEL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paphos played APOEL in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 4 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Paphos: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. APOEL: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paphos scores 1.84 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. APOEL scores 1.89 and concedes 0.79. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paphos 47%, APOEL 53%. Over 2.5: Paphos 58%, APOEL 53%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
APOEL has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.49. Paphos: 11.3 shots per match, APOEL: 14.2.
Match halves
Paphos: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.00. APOEL: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.37.
Goals by minute
Paphos: 76-90+ (13 goals). APOEL: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
APOEL presents significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.0 points per match compared to Paphos's mere 0.6 points. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 meetings and have not lost any away match in the Failed To Score category (0%), demonstrating their offensive effectiveness. Paphos is undergoing a clear crisis, losing 4 of their last 5 matches overall, which contrasts drastically with their earlier dominance at home (78% win rate in home matches this season). APOEL boasts a solid away record with 56% wins and only 11% losses, and their positive away goal difference (+12) surpasses Paphos's home advantage (+14). Considering the hosts' current poor streak and the visitors' excellent disposition, APOEL has a real chance of securing a victory, though Paphos's experience at their own stadium could make this a tight encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paphos | APOEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
APOEL is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Paphos · 2 pts / match - APOEL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
APOEL is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Paphos · 0.79 goals / match - APOEL
Paphos scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while APOEL keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
APOEL scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paphos
Over / Under - APOEL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paphos is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.05 pts / match - Paphos · 1.58 pts / match - APOEL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paphos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
APOEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paphos
APOEL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Paphos | Liga | APOEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.79 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 37% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 47% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 34% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 81% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paphos 1 - 0 - 0 APOEL. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paphos vs APOEL?
The First Division match finished Paphos 2:0 APOEL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paphos vs APOEL?
Paphos score 1.84 goals per game on average and APOEL 1.89. The First Division average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Paphos's matches and 53% of APOEL's.
What form are Paphos and APOEL in?
Over the last 5 games Paphos have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and APOEL 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paphos vs APOEL?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.