Paphos vs Aris: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Paphos played Aris in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 21 November 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Paphos: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Aris: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Paphos scores 1.90 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. Aris scores 2.20 and concedes 0.60. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paphos 40%, Aris 40%. Over 2.5: Paphos 50%, Aris 60%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Aris has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.36. Paphos: 10.0 shots per match, Aris: 13.4.

Match halves

Paphos: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 1.00. Aris: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.30.

Goals by minute

Paphos: 76-90+ (8 goals). Aris: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First Division: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

54Possession (%)46
PaphosAris
10Shots6
PaphosAris
4Shots on target4
PaphosAris
1.38xG1.05
PaphosAris
5Corners4
PaphosAris
64Dangerous attacks53
PaphosAris
14Fouls9
PaphosAris
2Cards2
PaphosAris

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.9Goals scored / match2.2
PaphosAris
0.7Goals conceded / match0.6
PaphosAris
57%Average possession55%
PaphosAris
4.4Shots on target / match5.6
PaphosAris

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10Shots per match13.4
PaphosAris
4.4Shots on target5.6
PaphosAris
19%Shot conversion16.4%
PaphosAris
57%Possession55%
PaphosAris
1.36xG for1.82
PaphosAris
1.37xG against0.97
PaphosAris

Shooting quality

Paphos: Efficient finishingAris: Efficient finishing
PaphosAris
Accuracy (shots on target)44%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Aris is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Paphos · 2.2 pts / match - Aris

Paphos
WWLWD
Season result split
70% W10% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-1-2
2.20 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Aris
DWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
70% W20% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-1
2.30 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 away
1-2-1
WLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Aris is 16% better for: goals scored per match.

1.9 goals / match - Paphos · 2.2 goals / match - Aris

Aris is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.7 goals / match - Paphos · 0.6 goals / match - Aris

Paphos scoring profile: strong

Paphos scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 60% (6 of 10 matches).

Aris scoring profile: strong

Aris scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).

19Goals scored (season)22
PaphosAris
7Goals conceded (season)6
PaphosAris
2.6Average goals in match2.8
PaphosAris
11Goals scored (last 5)11
PaphosAris
5Goals conceded (last 5)2
PaphosAris

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal90%
PaphosAris
50%2 goals70%
PaphosAris
30%3 goals50%
PaphosAris
20%4 goals10%
PaphosAris

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal40%
PaphosAris
20%2 goals10%
PaphosAris
0%3 goals10%
PaphosAris
0%4 goals0%
PaphosAris

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time30%
PaphosAris
10%BTTS in both halves10%
PaphosAris
40%Scored in both halves60%
PaphosAris

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%
PaphosAris
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS30%
PaphosAris
60%BTTS - last 540%
PaphosAris

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
PaphosAris
10%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
PaphosAris
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
PaphosAris

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
PaphosAris
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
PaphosAris
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
PaphosAris

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paphos is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.6 pts / match - Paphos · 1.9 pts / match - Aris

Paphos - half-time state
80% leading20% draw0% trailing
Aris - half-time state
50% leading40% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.6Points per match (1st half)1.9
PaphosAris
0.9Goals scored (1st half)0.9
PaphosAris
0.1Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
PaphosAris
1Average goals (1st half)1.3
PaphosAris
90%Clean sheet before half-time70%
PaphosAris
20%No goal before half-time30%
PaphosAris

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)2.4
PaphosAris
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.3
PaphosAris
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.2
PaphosAris
1.6Average goals (2nd half)1.5
PaphosAris
50%Clean sheet after half-time80%
PaphosAris
50%No goal after half-time20%
PaphosAris

Paphos - second-half results

40% W30% D30% L
26
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 70%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Aris - second-half results

70% W30% D0% L
19
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paphos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.001.40
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal0%60%
Goal difference+5+1
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Aris - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paphos
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
8
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Aris
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
5
0
31-45
5
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
7
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
81%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paphos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.67
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

Aris

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.85
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.75
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
198%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
41%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).

Teams vs league

PaphosLigaAris
Average goals in match 2.602.57 2.80
Both teams scored 40%37% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%47% 60%
Clean sheets 50%34% 60%
Goal before half-time 80%70% 70%
Goal after half-time 80%84% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
37%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.46
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PaphosYellow cardDomingos Quina
  2. PaphosYellow cardIvan Šunjić
  3. ArisSubstitutionOn: Giorgi KvilitaiaOff: Arthur Gomis

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Menelaos AntoniouMatches officiated: 17
5.12Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 241%Home wins28%Draws28%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Paphos vs Aris?

The First Division match finished Paphos 2:1 Aris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Paphos vs Aris?

Paphos score 1.90 goals per game on average and Aris 2.20. The First Division average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Paphos's matches and 40% of Aris's.

What form are Paphos and Aris in?

Over the last 5 games Paphos have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Aris 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paphos vs Aris?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Paphos vs Aris: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.