Paphos vs Omonia Aradippou: match statistics
Paphos holds a decisive advantage as the host, boasting an impressive 86% home win rate and a +13 goal difference. They average 2.29 goals per game on their own turf while maintaining a rock-solid defense (conceding just 0.43 goals on average). Omonia Aradippou struggles on the road, with only a 25% win rate and a negative goal difference (-4), averaging a meager 0.63 goals per away match. The disparity in possession (60% vs 45%) and shot conversion efficiency (20% vs 6%) further tilts the odds in favor of the home side. Despite Omonia Aradippou's decent form in their last five outings, their poor away metrics combined with Paphos's dominance at home point strongly to a victory for the hosts.
Paphos vs Omonia Aradippou: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paphos played Omonia Aradippou in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 12 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Paphos: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Omonia Aradippou: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paphos scores 2.07 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Omonia Aradippou scores 0.69 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paphos 47%, Omonia Aradippou 25%. Over 2.5: Paphos 60%, Omonia Aradippou 31%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Paphos has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.24. Paphos: 11.3 shots per match, Omonia Aradippou: 9.9.
Match halves
Paphos: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.07. Omonia Aradippou: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Paphos: 76-90+ (10 goals). Omonia Aradippou: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paphos holds a decisive advantage as the host, boasting an impressive 86% home win rate and a +13 goal difference. They average 2.29 goals per game on their own turf while maintaining a rock-solid defense (conceding just 0.43 goals on average). Omonia Aradippou struggles on the road, with only a 25% win rate and a negative goal difference (-4), averaging a meager 0.63 goals per away match. The disparity in possession (60% vs 45%) and shot conversion efficiency (20% vs 6%) further tilts the odds in favor of the home side. Despite Omonia Aradippou's decent form in their last five outings, their poor away metrics combined with Paphos's dominance at home point strongly to a victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paphos | Omonia Aradippou | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paphos is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Paphos · 1.4 pts / match - Omonia Aradippou
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paphos is 200% better for: goals scored per match.
2.07 goals / match - Paphos · 0.69 goals / match - Omonia Aradippou
Paphos is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Paphos · 1.38 goals / match - Omonia Aradippou
Paphos scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Omonia Aradippou keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Omonia Aradippou scores in 50% of matches (8 of 16 matches), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paphos
Over / Under - Omonia Aradippou
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paphos is 148% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / match - Paphos · 0.94 pts / match - Omonia Aradippou
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paphos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Omonia Aradippou - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paphos
Omonia Aradippou
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Paphos | Liga | Omonia Aradippou | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.87 | 2.51 | ▼ 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 37% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 47% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 35% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paphos 1 - 0 - 0 Omonia Aradippou. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paphos vs Omonia Aradippou?
The First Division match finished Paphos 2:0 Omonia Aradippou. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paphos vs Omonia Aradippou?
Paphos score 2.07 goals per game on average and Omonia Aradippou 0.69. The First Division average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Paphos's matches and 25% of Omonia Aradippou's.
What form are Paphos and Omonia Aradippou in?
Over the last 5 games Paphos have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Omonia Aradippou 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paphos vs Omonia Aradippou?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.