Paphos vs Omonia Nicosia: match statistics
Omonia Nicosia is the league leader and is clearly in better form than Paphos, averaging 2.4 points per match in their last five games compared to the hosts' 1.2 points. The visitors have an impressive away record with a 70% win rate and an average of 2.5 goals per game, outperforming Paphos both in offensive efficiency (averaging 5.9 shots on target vs. 4.4) and expected goals (xG 1.73 vs. 1.53). Paphos has lost three of their last five matches and is showing a decline in form, while Omonia has won four of their last five. Despite the hosts' advantage at home (80% win rate), the quality and form of Omonia Nicosia point to their victory in this clash. The identical goal difference of both teams (+16) in their matches confirms their balanced defensive quality, but Omonia's offensive edge and current form give them a clear advantage.
Paphos vs Omonia Nicosia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paphos played Omonia Nicosia in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Paphos: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Omonia Nicosia: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paphos scores 1.85 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Omonia Nicosia scores 2.40 and concedes 0.65. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paphos 45%, Omonia Nicosia 35%. Over 2.5: Paphos 55%, Omonia Nicosia 60%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Omonia Nicosia has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.48. Paphos: 11.2 shots per match, Omonia Nicosia: 14.2.
Match halves
Paphos: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 1.05. Omonia Nicosia: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.35.
Goals by minute
Paphos: 76-90+ (14 goals). Omonia Nicosia: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Omonia Nicosia is the league leader and is clearly in better form than Paphos, averaging 2.4 points per match in their last five games compared to the hosts' 1.2 points. The visitors have an impressive away record with a 70% win rate and an average of 2.5 goals per game, outperforming Paphos both in offensive efficiency (averaging 5.9 shots on target vs. 4.4) and expected goals (xG 1.73 vs. 1.53). Paphos has lost three of their last five matches and is showing a decline in form, while Omonia has won four of their last five. Despite the hosts' advantage at home (80% win rate), the quality and form of Omonia Nicosia point to their victory in this clash. The identical goal difference of both teams (+16) in their matches confirms their balanced defensive quality, but Omonia's offensive edge and current form give them a clear advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paphos | Omonia Nicosia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Omonia Nicosia is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Paphos · 3 pts / match - Omonia Nicosia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Omonia Nicosia is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.85 goals / match - Paphos · 2.4 goals / match - Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Paphos · 0.65 goals / match - Omonia Nicosia
Paphos scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Omonia Nicosia keeps a clean sheet in 60% (12 of 20 matches).
Omonia Nicosia scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paphos
Over / Under - Omonia Nicosia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paphos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Omonia Nicosia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paphos
Omonia Nicosia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Paphos | Liga | Omonia Nicosia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.55 | ▲ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 38% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 48% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 34% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 81% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paphos 0 - 0 - 1 Omonia Nicosia. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paphos vs Omonia Nicosia?
The First Division match finished Paphos 2:4 Omonia Nicosia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paphos vs Omonia Nicosia?
Paphos score 1.85 goals per game on average and Omonia Nicosia 2.40. The First Division average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Paphos's matches and 35% of Omonia Nicosia's.
What form are Paphos and Omonia Nicosia in?
Over the last 5 games Paphos have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Omonia Nicosia 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paphos vs Omonia Nicosia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Paphos vs Omonia Nicosia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.