Paraguarí vs Encarnación: match statistics
Paraguarí vs Encarnación: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paraguarí played Encarnación in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match was played on 17 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Paraguarí: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Encarnación: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paraguarí scores 2.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Encarnación scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paraguarí 50%, Encarnación 50%. Over 2.5: Paraguarí 100%, Encarnación 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Encarnación has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.36. Paraguarí: 10.5 shots per match, Encarnación: 17.0.
Match halves
Paraguarí: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 2.00. Encarnación: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Paraguarí: 61-75 (2 goals). Encarnación: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paraguarí demonstrates high efficiency at home: they average 3.0 goals per game from 8 shots and 3 on target, yielding a 38% conversion rate and an average xG of 1.10; in home fixtures they also record 100% clean sheets (0 goals conceded on average). Encarnación on the road generates significantly more chances (20 shots and 7 on target per game) and a higher xG (2.14), but their conversion is only 10%, translating to 2.0 goals per game and as many as 7 goals conceded in the last 5 matches. In the short term Paraguarí have better points and defensive metrics: 1.5 points per game in the last 5 versus 1.0 for Encarnación, and 3 goals conceded for the hosts versus 7 for the visitors over that period. Although the visitors produce superior xG (2.14 vs 1.10), their low efficiency (10% vs the hosts' 38%) and worse defensive record in the last five matches give Paraguarí the edge in converting created chances. Based on this, I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
xG and attacking metrics indicate a clear chance of both teams scoring: Encarnación has xG_for 2.14 vs xG_against_home 1.74, and Paraguarí has xG_for 1.66 vs xG_against_away 1.59, meaning both sides create scoring opportunities (2.14 vs 1.74 and 1.66 vs 1.59). Encarnación averages 20 shots and 7 on target, Paraguarí 15 and 5, and a higher conversion rate 10% vs 7% increases the visitors’ likelihood of finding the net. Although season-long indicators conflict (Paraguarí seasonBTTS 100% vs Encarnación 0% and clean sheets 0% vs 100%), the last 5 matches provide more reliable signals: last5 BTTS 50% for Paraguarí and 60% for Encarnación and last5 xG_for 1.36 vs 1.66. Defensively both teams show vulnerability — last5 xG_against 1.33 for Paraguarí and 1.66 for Encarnación and ga_l5 3 vs 7 demonstrate goals conceded on both sides. Considering the league BTTS share of 56% and the above figures, I assess BTTS probability at ~65% vs 35% for No Goal and recommend a 'BTTS - Yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate expected goals at 1.63 for Paraguarí and 1.94 for Encarnación (total 3.57), calculated as the average of offensive xG and opponent xG: (1.66+1.59)/2≈1.63 and (2.14+1.74)/2=1.94. Both teams have 100% of matches over 1.5 goals this season, while the league average is 3.06 goals per match, which strongly favors the over market. Paraguarí averages 15 shots (5 on target) versus Encarnación’s 20 (7 on target), and the higher xG for the visitors (2.14 vs 1.66) suggests greater offensive productivity and a realistic risk of multiple goals. Additionally, Paraguarí has 100% of matches over 2.5 in seasonal/recent data, whereas Encarnación has 40% over 2.5 in their last 5, so the strongest and safest signal is the over, particularly the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The data clearly favor Encarnación: the visitors have won 100% of their matches and held the lead at the break in 100% of cases. The hosts concede an average of 3.0 goals per match and 2.0 goals by half-time, while Encarnación scores an average of 2.0 goals per match and concedes none this season (0.0). Additionally, the visitors’ xG is 2.14 versus the hosts’ 1.66, and the visitors average 20 shots and 7 on target compared to the hosts’ 15 and 5, with conversion rates of 10% vs 7%. In second halves the visitors average 3.0 points and win 100% of second halves, which suggests they maintain their advantage after the break. On this basis the most reliable scenario is Encarnación leading at half-time and ultimately winning the match (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paraguarí | Encarnación | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.67 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paraguarí is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Paraguarí · 1.5 goals / match - Encarnación
Paraguarí scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Encarnación keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Encarnación scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Paraguarí keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paraguarí
Over / Under - Encarnación
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Encarnación is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Paraguarí · 1.5 pts / match - Encarnación
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paraguarí - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Encarnación - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paraguarí
Encarnación
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Paraguarí | Liga | Encarnación | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 29% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 65% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Paraguarí vs Encarnación?
The Division Intermedia match finished Paraguarí 0:1 Encarnación. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paraguarí vs Encarnación?
Paraguarí score 2.00 goals per game on average and Encarnación 1.50. The Division Intermedia average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Paraguarí's matches and 50% of Encarnación's.
What form are Paraguarí and Encarnación in?
Over the last 5 games Paraguarí have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Encarnación 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paraguarí vs Encarnación?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.