Paraguarí vs Sportivo Carapeguá: match statistics
Paraguarí vs Sportivo Carapeguá: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paraguarí played Sportivo Carapeguá in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Venue: Estadio Enrique Soler. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Paraguarí: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Sportivo Carapeguá: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paraguarí scores 0.67 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Sportivo Carapeguá scores 1.50 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paraguarí 17%, Sportivo Carapeguá 67%. Over 2.5: Paraguarí 33%, Sportivo Carapeguá 67%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Paraguarí has higher xG: 1.21 vs 0.91. Paraguarí: 8.0 shots per match, Sportivo Carapeguá: 6.5.
Match halves
Paraguarí: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Sportivo Carapeguá: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Paraguarí: 61-75 (2 goals). Sportivo Carapeguá: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sportivo Carapeguá holds a clear advantage in recent form and attacking efficiency: the visitors have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, won 3 of them and average 2.0 points over that span, whereas Paraguarí have scored only 1 goal in their last 5 and average 0.2 points. This season Carapeguá has 9 goals overall and averages 1.67 goals on the road, while Paraguarí have 4 goals this season and average 1.0 goal per home match. Paraguarí, however, defend solidly at home — the hosts concede only 0.67 goals per home game on average and their average xG against is 1.08, whereas the visitors concede 2.67 goals away with an xG against of 2.02. The difference in attack comes down to shot conversion: Carapeguá convert at 24% with an average of 7 shots and 3 on target away, versus Paraguarí’s 15% conversion with 6.67 shots and 3.33 on target. Considering the visitors have not had a goalless away game (0%), while the hosts failed to score in 67% of their home matches, I back a Sportivo Carapeguá win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS at 67% (Paraguarí 67%, Sportivo Carapeguá 67%), which is significantly above the league average of 48% and indicates a tendency for Goal/Goal matches. Sportivo away scores on average 1.67 goals and has scored 7 goals in the last 5 matches, while Paraguarí at home concedes on average 1.33 goals and has let in 7 goals in the last 5, so the visitors have attacking potential against a vulnerable home defense. Paraguarí has scored only 1 goal in the last 5 matches (0.2 average) and their recent BTTS is 20%, but their recent xG per match is 1.23 versus a seasonal xG of 0.8, meaning they are creating chances despite low finishing. Sportivo concedes 2.67 goals seasonally and has an xG against of 2.02, which indicates they readily allow scoring opportunities to opponents. Considering both 67% season BTTS, form discrepancy 20% vs 60% and xG 1.23 (Paraguarí recent) vs 2.02 (Sportivo against), I assess BTTS at 70% and choose 'BTTS - Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have season Over 0.5 rates of 100% and Over 1.5 at 67% (Paraguarí 67%, Sportivo 67%), indicating a tendency toward at least 2 goals in the match. xG analysis shows Paraguarí with xG_for 0.80 versus opponent xG_against 2.02, yielding an estimated expected goals for Paraguarí of 1.41, while Sportivo xG_for 0.96 against Paraguarí xG_against 0.80 gives 0.88; total = 2.29 expected goals. Additionally, Sportivo averages 7 shots and 3.0 on target per match, Paraguarí has a high conversion rate of 27%, and the percentage of matches with both teams scoring is 67% for both sides, which increases the likelihood of goals from both teams. Considering the combined expected value of 2.29 and season stats (Over 2.5 at 67% for both), the strongest and safest play is Over 1.5; Over 2.5 is feasible (compromise ~52% Over), whereas Over 3.5 appears unlikely (~20% per the xG model).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics clearly favor Paraguarí: the hosts led at the break in 67% of matches (2 of 3) and average 0.67 goals by half-time, while Sportivo Carapeguá average 0.0 goals at half-time. Seasonally Paraguarí are stronger at home — a season points rate of 2.0 and 67% wins versus the visitors’ 1.33 points and 33% wins — which supports a scenario of the home side leading and winning. xG and shot data show both teams create chances: the hosts have 0.8 xG with an average of 5 shots and 2.67 on target, the visitors have 0.96 xG with 7 shots and 3.0 on target, but the visitors also concede 2.02 xG against and lose on average 2.67 goals per match. The visitors perform better in the second half — they score an average of 1.67 goals after the break versus the hosts’ 0.67 — so a realistic risk is that a 1:0 half-time lead will be equalized, hence the 1/X scenario has significant probability. Taking all this into account, the most likely scenario is 1/1 (hence my pick) with the highest weight at 36%, while 1/X received 22% as the second-strongest option due to the visitors’ second-half attacking threat.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paraguarí | Sportivo Carapeguá | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.53 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sportivo Carapeguá is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Paraguarí · 2 pts / match - Sportivo Carapeguá
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sportivo Carapeguá is 124% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Paraguarí · 1.5 goals / match - Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguarí is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Paraguarí · 2 goals / match - Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguarí scores in 33% of matches (2 of 6 matches), while Sportivo Carapeguá keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Sportivo Carapeguá scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Paraguarí keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paraguarí
Over / Under - Sportivo Carapeguá
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sportivo Carapeguá is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Paraguarí · 1.33 pts / match - Sportivo Carapeguá
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paraguarí - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sportivo Carapeguá - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paraguarí
Sportivo Carapeguá
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Paraguarí | Liga | Sportivo Carapeguá | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.83 | 2.30 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 17% | 46% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 35% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 32% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Paraguarí vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
The Division Intermedia match finished Paraguarí 1:0 Sportivo Carapeguá. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paraguarí vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
Paraguarí score 0.67 goals per game on average and Sportivo Carapeguá 1.50. The Division Intermedia average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 17% of Paraguarí's matches and 67% of Sportivo Carapeguá's.
What form are Paraguarí and Sportivo Carapeguá in?
Over the last 5 games Paraguarí have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Sportivo Carapeguá 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paraguarí vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.