Pardubice vs Karviná: match statistics
Pardubice vs Karviná: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pardubice played Karviná in First League (Czechia). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Pardubice: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Karviná: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pardubice scores 1.32 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Karviná scores 1.42 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pardubice 68%, Karviná 65%. Over 2.5: Pardubice 52%, Karviná 71%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Karviná has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.26. Pardubice: 10.2 shots per match, Karviná: 14.5.
Match halves
Pardubice: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.84. Karviná: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Pardubice: 61-75 (9 goals). Karviná: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pardubice are in strong form – they have won 5 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding only 3, while Karviná in their last five fixtures have a record of 3 wins and 2 losses and have conceded 8 goals. At home Pardubice average 1.13 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match (home xG 1.37), whereas Karviná away average 1.53 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (away xG 1.66), indicating the visitors create more high-quality chances. This is confirmed by the shot difference: Karviná averages 14.53 shots and 5.27 on target away versus Pardubice’s 11.73 shots and 3.47 on target at home, but Karviná also allows a higher xG against (1.87 vs 1.56 for Pardubice). Considering the hosts’ form (Pardubice 5/5), a lower share of goalless matches (20% vs 27%) and the fact Karviná conceded 8 goals in their last 5 games, I favor a home win. Estimated probabilities: 55% Pardubice win, 20% draw, 25% Karviná win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high BTTS rates this season: Pardubice 63% and Karviná 67% versus a 50% league average, indicating above-average likelihood of goals from both sides. Pardubice score 1.31 and concede 1.63 per match, while Karviná score 1.53 and concede 1.80, so both teams record above-average goals conceded this season. This is supported by xG figures: attacking xG 1.62 for Pardubice and 1.66 for Karviná, with xG against 1.37 and 1.87, and shots on target 4.69 vs 5.27 showing real threat. In the shorter term Pardubice have averaged 2.0 goals and conceded 0.6 in their last 5 (10-3), whereas Karviná averaged 1.6 and conceded 1.6 (8-8), and the last 5 matches yielded BTTS rates of 60% and 80%. Considering the combined offensive advantage and very low clean sheet percentages (13% and 7%), I recommend BTTS - Yes with a probability of 78%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model estimates around 1.74 goals for the home side (Pardubice attacking xG 1.62 vs Karviné conceded xG 1.87) and 1.52 for the away side (Karviné attacking xG 1.66 vs Pardubice conceded xG 1.37), totaling approximately 3.26 goals. Seasonally Over 1.5 occurs for Pardubice in 88% of matches and for Karviné in 93%, while Over 2.5 occurs in 63% and 80% of cases respectively (average ~72%), which strongly supports an Over 2.5 bet. In the last 5 matches Pardubice have scored 10 and conceded 3 (avg. 2.0 scored and 0.6 conceded), and Karviné 8 scored and 8 conceded (1.6/1.6), so the home form favors an open game. Both teams record BTTS in 63% and 67% of matches, and the average on-target shots are 4.69 vs 5.27, which confirms a goal-scoring scenario from both sides. Based on this, I recommend Over 2.5 (side: over, line: 2.5) as the strongest signal; Over 3.5 is considerably less likely (~29%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time appears to be the most common scenario: Pardubice were level at the break in 44% of their home matches and Karviná in 40%, with the home side leading after 45 minutes in only 19% of games and the visitors in 33%. Over the full 90 minutes the statistical favorite is the away team — Karviná win 47% of matches this season versus Pardubice’s 31%, scoring on average 1.53 goals per game compared to the hosts’ 1.31, with similar xG (1.66 vs 1.62). The second half favors a turnaround: average goals in second halves are 2.0 for away matches versus 1.5 for home games, and in the last five matches both teams have scored after the break in 100% of cases. Karviná also concede more xG against (1.87 vs 1.37), which increases the likelihood of goals after half-time; therefore the most probable and strongest signal is Half-Time draw and Full-Time away win (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pardubice | Karviná | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pardubice is 150% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Pardubice · 1.2 pts / match - Karviná
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karviná is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Pardubice · 1.42 goals / match - Karviná
Pardubice is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Pardubice · 1.71 goals / match - Karviná
Pardubice scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while Karviná keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 31 matches).
Karviná scores in 71% of matches (22 of 31 matches), while Pardubice keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pardubice
Over / Under - Karviná
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Karviná is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Pardubice · 1.19 pts / match - Karviná
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pardubice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Karviná - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pardubice
Karviná
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Pardubice | Liga | Karviná | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.84 | 2.60 | ▲ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 51% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 29% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 72% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 74% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Pardubice 3 - 0 - 0 Karviná. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pardubice vs Karviná?
The First League match finished Pardubice 1:3 Karviná. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Pardubice and Karviná?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Pardubice won 3, Karviná won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Pardubice vs Karviná?
Pardubice score 1.32 goals per game on average and Karviná 1.42. The First League average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Pardubice's matches and 65% of Karviná's.
What form are Pardubice and Karviná in?
Over the last 5 games Pardubice have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Karviná 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pardubice vs Karviná?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pardubice vs Karviná: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.