Pardubice vs Líšeň: match statistics

Both teams are in very poor form: Pardubice and Líšeň have each recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last five matches. However, the hosts have a clear advantage in the quality of chances created at home, with an average xG of 1.74 compared with Líšeň’s 1.15 away from home, while also averaging 17 shots per match versus 11 for their opponents. Líšeň have conceded chances worth an average of 1.47 xG away from home, whereas Pardubice allow their opponents just 0.90 xG on their own turf, indicating a more solid defensive structure from the hosts. Both teams score an average of only 0.5 goals in their respective home and away matches, and fail to score in 50% of such games. Therefore, a draw remains a realistic outcome, but the greater attacking creativity points towards a narrow Pardubice victory.

The BTTS signal is moderately positive: both teams scored in 67% of Pardubice’s matches and in 50% of Líšeň’s, compared with a league average of 64%. Over the last five matches, these figures rose to 80% for the home side and 60% for the visitors, while both teams conceded heavily, averaging 2.0 and 2.4 goals per match, respectively. Pardubice have not kept a clean sheet in any of these matches, and neither have Líšeň, which supports the likelihood of both sides finding the net. Caution is warranted due to the visitors’ low attacking efficiency: they average 0.5 goals per game over the season and 0.8 across their last five appearances. However, their xG of 1.15 and 3 shots on target per match provide a realistic chance of scoring. The most likely scenario therefore remains one in which at least one goal is scored by each side.

Pardubice concede an average of 3.33 goals per match, while their opponents create chances worth 1.91 xG, which clearly favors Líšeň finding the net. Although the visitors score just 0.50 goals per game on average this season, they generate 1.15 xG and register 3.0 shots on target per match, so their attacking potential increases against such a weak defense. In their last five matches, both teams have conceded heavily: Pardubice 2.0 goals and Líšeň 2.4 goals per game; in both runs, 60% of matches finished with at least three goals. The hosts have seen 100% of their matches produce a minimum of two goals, while the lack of a clean sheet from either side further reduces the likelihood of a very tight match. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.67 goals gives this line a clearly higher probability than the higher thresholds.

A draw at half-time and after the final whistle is the most likely outcome, as neither team has won any of their last five matches, with both recording an 80% loss rate during that period. Líšeň were level at half-time in 50% of their away matches so far and have not scored a single first-half goal, while Pardubice average just 0.33 goals in the opening half. In their last five matches, both teams scored only 0.2 goals per game before the break, which points to a cautious and closely contested start. After the interval, Pardubice average 0.67 goals, while Líšeň concede just 0.5, meaning that any narrow lead for either side has a relatively high chance of being cancelled out rather than developing into a convincing victory.